Builders FirstSource, Inc.

(New York Stock Exchange)

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) stock at a glance

Full Builders FirstSource report
Ticker
BLDR
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
News sentiment · last 30 days
-9 Neutral ▲ +17 vs. previous 30 days
30-day average of 7 articles · scale −100 to +100

Across 7 scored articles from Oct 16 to Nov 14, 2026 (UTC), the average sentiment of Builders FirstSource news is Neutral (-9) on a scale from −100 to +100. That is up 17 points from the previous 30 days (-26).

+45 Somewhat Bullish 1 article

Sector and industry come from company profile data. Sentiment is the AI score of the news articles on this page, averaged per day. Not investment advice.

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Somewhat Bullish +45

If You Invested $1000 in Builders FirstSource a Decade Ago, This is How Much It'd Be Worth Now

The article analyzes the long-term performance of Builders FirstSource (BLDR), noting that a $1,000 investment made in November 2016 would be worth approximately $5,809 as of November 13, 2026. This represents a total gain of roughly 481%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 and gold over the same decade-long period. The piece highlights BLDR's position as the largest supplier of building materials and manufactured components to professional homebuilders, operating approximately 575 locations across 43 states following a 2021 merger with BMC Stock Holdings. Builders FirstSource recently reported third-quarter 2026 earnings that beat Zacks Consensus Estimates for adjusted earnings and sales. However, the company faced headwinds including weak housing demand, competitive pricing pressures, and higher costs which collectively weighed on margins. Consequently, free cash flow declined and elevated leverage restricted capital allocation options. In response to these challenges, management narrowed its 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance while maintaining both midpoints, signaling a cautious stance toward the current housing market conditions. Despite recent underperformance relative to its industry peers over the past three months, several positive factors support BLDR's outlook. The company has benefited from strategic acquisitions, market-share gains, and realized cost savings that partly offset weak single-family demand. Furthermore, ongoing technology investments and value-added products are strengthening customer relationships. Recent stock price action shows resilience with shares up 12% over the past four weeks, and analyst consensus estimates for fiscal 2026 have moved higher without any recent downgrades.

📈 $1k Nov 2016 investment now worth $5,809 by Nov 2026.

🏗️ Operates 575 locations across 43 states post-2021 BMC merger.

📉 Q3 2026 earnings and sales declined 24.5% and 2.2% YoY.

💰 Elevated leverage restricts free capital allocation amid falling cash flow.

📈 Shares rose 12% in four weeks despite industry weakness.

📈 A $1,000 investment in Builders FirstSource (BLDR) from November 2016 is estimated to be worth $5,809 as of November 13, 2026.

🏗️ BLDR operates approximately 575 locations across 43 states following its merger with BMC Stock Holdings in January 2021.

📉 Third-quarter 2026 earnings showed adjusted earnings and sales declining 24.5% and 2.2% year over year due to weak housing demand.

💰 Free cash flow declined while elevated leverage limits the company's ability to allocate capital freely.

📉 Management narrowed its 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoints reflecting caution in the housing market.

🤝 The company benefited from acquisitions, market-share gains, and cost savings that offset weak single-family demand.

💻 Technology investments and value-added products are supporting customer relationships and operational efficiency.

📈 Shares of Builders FirstSource rose 12% over the past four weeks despite recent industry underperformance.

🔍 No earnings estimate for fiscal 2026 has gone lower in the past two months compared to five estimates that went higher.

📊 The consensus analyst estimate for BLDR has moved up, indicating improving investor sentiment.

Bullish Signals
  • Investment grew 481% from Nov 2016 to Nov 2026.
Risk Factors
  • Adjusted earnings and sales declined 24.5% and 2.2% YoY.
  • Pricing pressures and higher costs weighed on profit margins.
  • Free cash flow declined, reducing internal liquidity.
  • Elevated leverage limits capital allocation flexibility.
Bullish Signals
  • A $1,000 investment from November 2016 is estimated to be worth $5,809 as of November 13, 2026, representing a gain of approximately 481%.
  • The company reported third-quarter 2026 earnings and revenues that exceeded Zacks Consensus Estimates.
  • BLDR benefited from acquisitions, market-share gains, and cost savings which partly offset weak single-family housing demand.
  • Technology investments and value-added products are strengthening customer relationships and supporting the business model.
  • Shares of Builders FirstSource were up 12% over the past four weeks, showing recent price strength.
  • No earnings estimate for fiscal 2026 has gone lower in the past two months compared to five estimates that increased.
Risk Factors
  • Adjusted earnings and sales declined 24.5% and 2.2% year over year, respectively, driven by weak housing demand.
  • Competitive pricing pressures and higher costs weighed on the company's profit margins in the third quarter of 2026.
  • Free cash flow declined during the reporting period, reducing internal liquidity.
  • Elevated leverage levels currently limit the company's flexibility for capital allocation initiatives.
  • Management narrowed its 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoints to reflect caution regarding the housing market.
Bearish -65

Moody’s cuts Builders FirstSource to Ba2 on housing slump and rising leverage

Moody's Ratings has downgraded Builders FirstSource Inc. (NYSE:BLDR) to Ba2 from Ba1 and revised its outlook to negative, citing severe margin compression and surging leverage driven by persistent weakness in the U.S. residential construction market. The agency attributes these challenges to elevated mortgage rates, deteriorating housing affordability, and an industry-wide capacity overhang that are expected to delay a meaningful earnings recovery for the next 12 to 18 months. Builders FirstSource reported sharp erosion in operating profitability during the third quarter of 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins contracting significantly to 7.4% from 10.5% a year earlier. This decline outpaced a 2% top-line contraction as volume declines, lower gross margins, and reduced operating leverage pushed the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 5.0x, well above management's targeted corridor of 1x to 2x. Despite these headwinds, the company maintains solid near-term balance sheet protection with $1.5 billion in total liquidity as of September and no debt maturities until 2030. However, Moody's warns that further downgrades could occur if debt-to-EBITDA remains sustained above 3.5x or if management pursues aggressive debt-funded acquisitions or share buybacks before market conditions stabilize. Management is pursuing $140 million in targeted cost reductions and up to $70 million in productivity initiatives, but Moody's indicates these measures will likely be insufficient to materially bolster credit metrics given the anticipated 5% annual contraction in single-family starts through 2027.

📉 Moody's downgraded BLDR rating to Ba2 with negative outlook.

📊 Q3 adjusted EBITDA margins contracted sharply to 7.4%.

💸 Debt-to-EBITDA surged to 5.0x, exceeding management targets.

🏠 Single-family starts face anticipated 5% annual contraction through 2027.

💰 BLDR holds $1.5B liquidity with no debt maturities until 2030.

📉 Moody's downgraded Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) corporate family rating to Ba2 from Ba1 and revised the outlook to negative.

📊 Adjusted EBITDA margins contracted sharply to 7.4% in Q3 2026, dropping from 10.5% a year earlier.

💸 Debt-to-EBITDA surged to 5.0x, significantly exceeding management's targeted range of 1x to 2x.

🏠 Single-family starts, generating roughly two-thirds of revenue, face an anticipated 5% annual contraction through 2027.

💰 The company closed September with $1.5 billion in total liquidity and no debt maturities until 2030.

🛡️ Moody's affirmed the top-tier SGL-1 liquidity rating despite the downgrade to Ba2.

📉 Management plans $140 million in cost reductions and up to $70 million in productivity initiatives.

⚠️ Further downgrades could follow if debt-to-EBITDA remains above 3.5x or if aggressive acquisitions occur.

🏗️ Elevated mortgage rates and deteriorating housing affordability are delaying earnings recovery for 12 to 18 months.

Bullish Signals
  • Retains top-tier SGL-1 liquidity rating affirming solid balance sheet protection.
  • Holds $1.5B liquidity with no debt maturities until 2030.
Risk Factors
  • Moody's downgraded to Ba2 with negative outlook due to margin compression and leverage.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margins contracted sharply to 7.4% in Q3 2026.
  • Debt-to-EBITDA ratio surged to 5.0x, exceeding management targets.
  • Further downgrades possible if debt-to-EBITDA stays above 3.5x.
  • Single-family starts face anticipated 5% annual contraction through 2027.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource retains a top-tier SGL-1 liquidity rating, affirming its solid near-term balance sheet protection despite the downgrade.
  • The company holds $1.5 billion in total liquidity as of September with no debt maturities until 2030, providing significant financial stability.
Risk Factors
  • Moody's downgraded BLDR to Ba2 with a negative outlook due to severe margin compression and surging leverage amid the U.S. housing slump.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margins contracted sharply to 7.4% in Q3 2026, significantly outpacing the 2% top-line contraction.
  • Debt-to-EBITDA ratio surged to 5.0x, far exceeding management's targeted corridor of 1x to 2x.
  • Moody's warns that further rating downgrades could occur if debt-to-EBITDA remains sustained above 3.5x or if the company pursues aggressive debt-funded acquisitions.
  • Single-family starts, which generate roughly two-thirds of revenue, face an anticipated 5% annual contraction through 2027.
Bullish +60

BLDR Q3 deep dive: cost controls and tech investment support margin in ...

Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) reported third-quarter results that beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and non-GAAP profit, despite a year-over-year sales decline of 2.2% to $3.85 billion. The company's adjusted earnings per share surged 44.8% above consensus estimates at $1.51, driven by disciplined cost management and productivity initiatives that generated $23 million in savings during the quarter. Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $14.4 billion and EBITDA guidance of $1.1 billion, both exceeding analyst estimates. CEO Peter Jackson attributed the strong performance to value-added offerings and operational efficiency, which helped cushion lower volumes. However, operating margins compressed to 2.6% from 5.8% a year ago due to higher transportation and fuel expenses. Looking ahead, the company faces headwinds from soft single-family housing starts and elevated mortgage rates. To navigate these challenges, Builders FirstSource is focusing on further cost reductions, selective M&A in the Southeast, and technology investments like a new sales app that reduces order times by up to 90%. The stock rose approximately 15% following the earnings release.

📈 BLDR beat Q3 revenue estimates with actuals of $3.85 billion.

💰 Adjusted EPS of $1.51 significantly exceeded analyst consensus of $1.04.

🚀 Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $14.4 billion.

🛠️ Company delivered $23 million in productivity savings via efficiencies.

📉 Operating margins contracted to 2.6% due to elevated fuel costs.

📈 BLDR beat Q3 revenue estimates of $3.75 billion with actuals of $3.85 billion, despite a 2.2% year-over-year decline.

💰 Adjusted EPS of $1.51 significantly exceeded analyst consensus of $1.04, representing a 44.8% beat.

📉 Operating margins contracted to 2.6% from 5.8% in the prior-year quarter due to elevated fuel and transportation costs.

🚀 Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $14.4 billion, which sits 1.1% above analyst estimates.

🛠️ The company delivered $23 million in productivity savings through supply chain initiatives and manufacturing efficiencies.

🤖 BLDR invested in digital tools including a new sales app that reduces order processing times by up to 90%.

🏗️ Recent acquisitions of ICG and Gleckler and Sons expanded the company's regional presence and value-added product offerings.

📉 Full-year EBITDA guidance of $1.1 billion was issued, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.06 billion.

⚠️ Management warns that persistent housing softness and affordability challenges could require additional cost adjustments.

📈 Shares rallied to $64.03 following the earnings report, up from $55.88 prior to the announcement.

Bullish Signals
  • Revenue beat estimates at $3.85B despite YoY decline.
Risk Factors
  • Margins contracted to 2.6% due to higher expenses.
  • Sales fell 2.2% YoY amid housing softness.
  • Headwinds persist from high mortgage rates and weak demand.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource beat Q3 revenue estimates of $3.75 billion with actuals of $3.85 billion despite a year-over-year decline.
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.51 significantly exceeded analyst consensus of $1.04, representing a 44.8% beat driven by cost discipline.
  • Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $14.4 billion, which sits 1.1% above analyst estimates.
  • The company delivered $23 million in productivity savings during the quarter through targeted supply chain initiatives.
  • Recent acquisitions of ICG and Gleckler and Sons expanded the company's regional presence and value-added product offerings.
  • Full-year EBITDA guidance of $1.1 billion was issued, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.06 billion.
  • Shares rallied to $64.03 following the earnings report, indicating strong market reaction to the results.
Risk Factors
  • Operating margins contracted to 2.6% from 5.8% in the prior-year quarter due to higher transportation and fuel expenses.
  • Sales fell by 2.2% year over year to $3.85 billion, reflecting ongoing softness in single-family housing starts.
  • Management anticipates persistent headwinds from elevated mortgage rates and subdued consumer confidence affecting demand.
Somewhat Bearish -25

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Stock Rebounds As Q3 Earnings Face Margin Strain

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) reported Q3 2026 earnings showing a return to profitability with basic EPS of US$0.56 on revenue of US$3.9 billion, resulting in a roughly 3% stock price increase. However, the company faces significant margin pressure, with net profit margins hovering near 0.3% and interest costs continuing to strain overall earnings despite the swing back into the black. Financial metrics for the quarter reveal a decline in performance compared to the prior year, with revenue dropping approximately 2% to US$3.85 billion and net income halving from US$122.4 million to US$60.4 million. Basic earnings per share fell by about 50% to US$0.56, while gross margins compressed by roughly 260 basis points to 27.8%, indicating that higher value-added products and tech initiatives have not yet offset housing weakness. Management maintains a strategic focus on shifting toward higher margin value-added products, digital tools, and AI partnerships to build a more efficient business over time. Despite reaffirming guidance for 2026, the company acknowledges ongoing softness in single-family and multifamily housing starts, which has led to lower net sales guidance and keeps leverage at around 4.1x EBITDA, above its long-run target. Analysts remain divided on the outlook, with optimists citing scale gains from M&A and share growth, while bears point to execution risks and persistent pricing pressure. The consensus suggests that while the return to profit is a positive step, structural challenges in the housing backdrop and competitive intensity continue to weigh on profitability and free cash flow generation.

📈 BLDR returned to Q3 profitability with basic EPS of US$0.56.

📉 Revenue fell 2% YoY to US$3.85B amid margin compression.

🏗️ Consolidation added US$2.5B annual sales via 44 deals since 2021.

💻 Strategy shifts toward higher-margin products and AI partnerships.

⚠️ Leverage remains elevated at 4.1x EBITDA above target.

📈 Builders FirstSource stock edged up roughly 3% to US$64.91 following Q3 2026 earnings that returned the company to profitability with basic EPS of US$0.56.

📉 Revenue declined approximately 2% year-over-year to US$3.85 billion, while net income halved from US$122.4 million to US$60.4 million due to margin compression.

📉 Gross margins compressed by roughly 260 basis points to 27.8%, and adjusted EBITDA dropped 28% year-over-year as housing weakness and pricing pressure impacted results.

🏗️ The company achieved 1% to 2% market share gains and added roughly US$2.5 billion in annual sales through 44 deals since 2021, supporting its consolidation strategy.

💻 Management is pressing a strategic shift toward higher margin value-added products, digital tools, and AI partnerships to upgrade the business model over time.

📉 Single family core organic revenue declined 6% in Q3, reflecting ongoing softness in housing starts and a weaker repair and remodel backdrop.

💰 Free cash flow for Q3 was US$76 million, but leverage remains elevated at around 4.1x EBITDA, above the company's long-run target.

📉 Net profit margins sit near 0.3% over the past year, with interest costs continuing to strain earnings despite the return to profitability.

🔮 Guidance for 2026 was reaffirmed, though analysts warn that housing weakness and competitive intensity could keep revenue and EBITDA under pressure longer than expected.

Bullish Signals
  • EPS hit $0.56 in Q3 2026, boosting stock 3%.
  • Gained 1-2% market share via $2.5B M&A sales.
  • Generated $76M free cash flow for liquidity.
Risk Factors
  • Revenue fell 2% YoY to $3.85B; net income halved to $60.4M.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource returned to profitability in Q3 2026 with basic earnings per share of US$0.56, driving a roughly 3% stock price increase.
  • The company achieved market share gains of 1% to 2% and added roughly US$2.5 billion in annual sales through 44 M&A deals since 2021.
  • Free cash flow generation remained robust at US$76 million for Q3, providing liquidity for strategic initiatives despite margin pressures.
Risk Factors
  • Revenue declined approximately 2% year-over-year to US$3.85 billion, and net income halved from US$122.4 million to US$60.4 million.
  • Gross margins compressed by roughly 260 basis points to 27.8%, while adjusted EBITDA dropped 28% year-over-year due to housing weakness.
  • Single family core organic revenue declined 6% in Q3, reflecting ongoing softness in housing starts and a weaker repair and remodel backdrop.
  • Net profit margins sit near 0.3% over the past year, with interest costs continuing to strain earnings despite the return to profitability.
  • Leverage remains elevated at around 4.1x EBITDA, above the company's long-run target, indicating financial stress from high interest costs.
Slightly Bearish -20

Builders FirstSource Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) reported third-quarter results reflecting continued weakness in the single-family housing market, with net sales falling 2% year-over-year to $3.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA declining 28% to $311 million. Despite these headwinds, the company maintained its full-year outlook for sales between $14.2 billion and $14.6 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $1.075 billion to $1.125 billion, and free cash flow of $400 million to $450 million. Management attributed the decline in earnings primarily to lower housing starts and elevated mortgage rates constraining new-home demand. To offset lower volumes, BLDR executed significant cost actions and productivity measures, including consolidating 45 facilities year-to-date and generating $23 million in quarterly productivity savings. The company gained an estimated 1–2 percentage points of single-family market share during the quarter, driven by product bundling and value-added offerings rather than price competition alone. Regional performance was uneven, with strength in California, Florida, and the Northeast offsetting softness in Texas and Colorado. Financially, BLDR ended the quarter with net debt to adjusted EBITDA of approximately 4.1 times and $1.5 billion in liquidity. While leverage remains above its long-term target, management expects it to return to range as EBITDA improves. The company also invested $71 million in capital expenditures and $91 million in acquisitions, including deals with ICG and Gleckler and Sons to expand operations in the Southeast and Florida markets.

📉 Net sales fell 2% YoY to $3.9B amid weak housing activity.

💰 Adjusted EBITDA dropped 28% to $311M with margins at 8.1%.

🛡️ Management maintained full-year outlook for sales and adjusted EBITDA.

🏭 Consolidated 45 facilities to offset lower production volumes and drive efficiency.

📈 Gained 1–2 percentage points of single-family market share via value offerings.

📉 Net sales fell 2% year-over-year to $3.9 billion as single-family housing activity remained weak.

💰 Adjusted EBITDA declined 28% to $311 million, with margins contracting to 8.1% due to lower volume and higher input costs.

🛡️ Management maintained its full-year outlook for sales ($14.2B–$14.6B) and adjusted EBITDA ($1.075B–$1.125B) despite market headwinds.

🏭 The company consolidated 45 facilities year-to-date to drive efficiency and offset lower production volumes.

📈 BLDR gained an estimated 1–2 percentage points of single-family market share through value-added offerings and capacity expansion.

💵 Free cash flow totaled $76 million in the quarter, with total liquidity standing at approximately $1.5 billion.

🤝 Acquisitions of ICG and Gleckler and Sons expanded operations in the Southeast and Florida regions.

📉 Adjusted EPS dropped 25% to $1.51 due to lower net income, though share repurchases partially offset this impact.

🏗️ The company expects single-family starts in its markets to decline nearly 7% over the full year.

🔮 Management projects leverage will return to its long-term target range as EBITDA improves in future quarters.

Bullish Signals
  • Maintained full-year sales and EBITDA outlook midpoints.
  • Gained 1-2% single-family market share amid soft housing.
  • Generated $23M quarterly productivity savings via efficiencies.
  • Holds $1.5B liquidity for acquisitions and operations.
Risk Factors
  • Net sales fell 2% YoY to $3.9B.
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined 28% to $311M.
  • Gross profit dropped 11% to $1.1B.
  • EPS decreased 25% YoY to $1.51.
  • Operating cash flow fell to $147M.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource maintained its full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook midpoints despite elevated mortgage rates and weak consumer confidence.
  • The company gained an estimated 1–2 percentage points of single-family market share during the quarter, demonstrating resilience in a softening housing market.
  • BLDR generated $23 million in quarterly productivity savings through supply-chain initiatives and manufacturing efficiencies.
  • Management remains comfortable with its financial position, citing $1.5 billion in liquidity to support strategic acquisitions and operations.
Risk Factors
  • Net sales fell 2% year-over-year to $3.9 billion, driven by a 6% decline in core organic single-family sales.
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined 28% to $311 million as lower housing starts and related market headwinds pressured profitability.
  • Gross profit dropped 11% to $1.1 billion, with gross margins falling 260 basis points to 27.8% due to reduced volume and higher costs.
  • Adjusted earnings per share decreased 25% year-over-year to $1.51 as lower net income weighed on profitability metrics.
  • Operating cash flow fell significantly to $147 million from $548 million a year earlier due to lower net income and the absence of prior working-capital releases.
Slightly Bearish -15

Is Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Undervalued As Q3 Earnings Approach?

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is approaching its Q3 earnings report after missing revenue expectations in the previous quarter and cutting full-year EBITDA guidance. Analysts currently project a 4.9% year-on-year sales decline, reflecting a challenging operating environment for the construction materials distributor. The stock has experienced significant volatility, with shares down 51.53% over the last year despite a recent short-term price bounce of 4.43%. Valuation metrics present a mixed picture: while some models suggest a fair value of $73.36 based on a 10.76% discount rate, the current P/E ratio of 58.6x remains substantially higher than the US Building industry average of 20.7x and peer group averages. The company is actively investing in digital transformation, including ERP integration and prefabricated components, aiming to improve operating efficiency and customer retention as housing activity potentially recovers. However, investors face risks if housing demand remains soft or competitive pricing pressures continue to erode margins, which could lead to multiple compression rather than expansion. Simply Wall St highlights a divergence between bullish narratives regarding undervaluation and the reality of rich valuation multiples relative to historical and peer benchmarks. The upcoming earnings release is viewed as a critical test to determine if the company can justify its current price or if the recent drawdown has captured most of the potential upside.

📉 BLDR missed revenue and cut guidance with projected 4.9% sales decline.

📊 Stock down 51.53% yearly but bounced 4.43% recently.

💰 P/E of 58.6x exceeds US Building industry average of 20.7x.

🛠️ Investing in digital tools and prefabricated components to boost efficiency.

⚠️ Risk of multiple compression if earnings fail to ramp up.

📉 BLDR recently missed revenue expectations and cut full-year EBITDA guidance, with analysts projecting a 4.9% year-on-year sales decline.

📊 The stock is down 51.53% over the last year, though it has seen a short-term price bounce of 4.43% recently.

💰 Valuation metrics show a current P/E of 58.6x, which is significantly higher than the US Building industry average of 20.7x and peer averages around 40.8x.

🛠️ The company is investing heavily in digital transformation tools, ERP integration, and prefabricated components to boost operating efficiency.

⚠️ A key risk involves potential multiple compression if earnings do not ramp up as strongly as current forecasts imply.

🏠 Future performance depends on whether housing demand recovers or if competitive pricing pressures continue to impact margins.

Bullish Signals
  • Investing in digital transformation to boost efficiency and stickiness.
  • Valuation models suggest fair value of $73.36 with upside.
Risk Factors
  • Missed revenue expectations and cut full-year EBITDA guidance.
Bullish Signals
  • The company is investing heavily in digital transformation and value-added solutions like ERP integration and prefabricated components, which positions it to improve operating efficiency and customer stickiness as housing activity recovers.
  • Some valuation models suggest a fair value of $73.36 using a 10.76% discount rate, indicating potential upside if the long-term thesis holds despite recent drawdowns.
Risk Factors
  • The company recently missed revenue expectations and cut full-year EBITDA guidance, with analysts projecting a 4.9% year-on-year sales decline.
  • The current P/E ratio of 58.6x is well above the US Building industry average of 20.7x and peer averages, creating risk for multiple compression if earnings do not improve.
  • If housing demand stays soft or competitive pricing keeps pressure on margins, the bullish narrative regarding undervaluation could quickly lose traction.
Somewhat Bearish -45

Oppenheimer cuts target for Builders FirstSource stock to USD 78

Oppenheimer has lowered its price target for Builders FirstSource (BLDR) from USD 90.00 to USD 78.00, reflecting concerns over recent financial performance. The analyst firm's revision comes after the company reported a significant decline in second-quarter revenue and a sharp drop in earnings compared to the prior year. Builders FirstSource reported second-quarter revenue of USD 3.86 billion, representing an 8.80 percent year-over-year decrease from USD 4.23 billion. Additionally, the company posted a GAAP net loss of USD 3.90 million in Q2, a stark contrast to the net income of USD 185.03 million recorded in the same quarter a year earlier. Trading on the NYSE, BLDR shares were priced at USD 54.11 as of October 20, 2026, with a market capitalization of USD 5.8 billion. The stock currently trades within its 52-week range of USD 49.67 to USD 131.50, and the new analyst target remains above the current trading price. Builders FirstSource operates across 565 locations in 43 states, serving professional homebuilders and consumers with manufactured components and building materials. The company is scheduled to release its third-quarter results on October 29, 2026, which will provide further insight into whether the revenue decline persists.

📉 Oppenheimer cut BLDR price target to USD 78.00 on Oct 16, 2026.

📉 Q2 revenue fell 8.8% YoY to USD 3.86 billion.

💸 GAAP net loss of USD 3.90 million in Q2.

📊 BLDR stock traded at USD 54.11 with USD 5.8B market cap.

🏗️ Company operates 565 locations across 43 states.

📉 Oppenheimer cut its price target for Builders FirstSource from USD 90.00 to USD 78.00 on October 16, 2026.

📉 Second-quarter revenue fell 8.80 percent year over year to USD 3.86 billion, down from USD 4.23 billion.

💸 The company reported a GAAP net loss of USD 3.90 million in Q2, compared to net income of USD 185.03 million in the prior-year quarter.

📊 BLDR stock traded at USD 54.11 on October 20, 2026, with a market cap of USD 5.8 billion.

🏗️ Builders FirstSource operates approximately 565 locations across 43 states serving homebuilders and consumers.

📅 Third-quarter results are scheduled for release on October 29, 2026.

Risk Factors
  • Oppenheimer lowered price target from $90 to $78.
  • Q2 revenue declined 8.8% year over year.
  • Swung to GAAP net loss of $3.9M in Q2.
Risk Factors
  • Oppenheimer lowered its price target from USD 90.00 to USD 78.00 following disappointing financial results.
  • Second-quarter revenue declined 8.80 percent year over year to USD 3.86 billion, indicating weakening demand or pricing pressure.
  • The company swung to a GAAP net loss of USD 3.90 million in Q2, down from net income of USD 185.03 million in the prior-year quarter.
Slightly Bullish +25

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Stock Looks Undervalued Based On Future Cash Flow

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares have declined sharply by 56.9% over the past year, trading at approximately $52.85 per share. This significant price retreat has renewed investor interest in whether the current valuation aligns with the company's underlying cash generation capabilities and intrinsic value. The article analyzes Builders FirstSource using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model based on trailing twelve-month free cash flow of roughly $571 million. The analysis projects that future cash flows, extending to 2036, will remain in the hundreds of millions, suggesting an intrinsic value meaningfully higher than the current market price. Simply Wall St presents two distinct valuation narratives for the company. A bullish case argues the stock is 34% undervalued, citing a strategic shift toward offsite manufacturing and factory-built components with higher margins. Conversely, a bearish view suggests the stock is roughly fairly valued, noting a roughly 9% year-on-year decline in net sales despite management's focus on digital tools and M&A. Ultimately, the article concludes that while price and cash flow are critical factors, the company's future performance will heavily depend on its management team and their compensation structure. The analysis highlights a divergence between bullish investors seeing significant upside and cautious investors viewing the current price as fair given recent sales declines.

📉 BLDR stock fell 56.9% over the past year, trading at $52.85.

💰 Company generated $571 million in free cash flow last twelve months.

📈 Bullish view sees BLDR undervalued by 34% based on DCF models.

📉 Bearish view cites 9% net sales decline as fair valuation reason.

🏭 BLDR pivots to offsite manufacturing to improve margins and growth.

📉 Builders FirstSource stock has fallen 56.9% over the past year, trading at $52.85 per share.

💰 The company generated approximately $571 million in free cash flow over the last twelve months.

📈 A bullish valuation narrative suggests BLDR is currently 34% undervalued based on DCF models.

📉 A bearish perspective views the stock as roughly fairly valued due to a 9% year-on-year net sales decline.

🏭 The company is pivoting toward offsite manufacturing and factory-built components to improve margins.

🔍 Analysts note that management's focus on digital tools and M&A aims to support long-term growth.

⚖️ Simply Wall St offers a DCF estimate indicating intrinsic value exceeds the current share price.

Bullish Signals
  • Generated $571M trailing twelve-month free cash flow.
  • Stock appears 34% undervalued based on future cash flows.
  • Management increasing focus on high-margin offsite manufacturing.
Risk Factors
  • Share price dropped 56.9% over past year.
  • Net sales fell 9% year-on-year due to demand concerns.
  • Growth strategy relies on digital tools and M&A.
Bullish Signals
  • The company generated approximately $571 million in trailing twelve-month free cash flow, providing a substantial base for valuation models.
  • A bullish narrative suggests the stock is 34% undervalued based on projected future cash flows extending to 2036.
  • Management is increasing capital and focus on offsite manufacturing and factory-built components which carry higher margins.
Risk Factors
  • The company has experienced a sharp share price decline of 56.9% over the past year.
  • Net sales have declined by roughly 9% year-on-year, raising concerns about demand in the construction sector.
  • Management's reliance on digital tools and M&A to support growth is noted as a long-term strategy rather than an immediate fix.
Somewhat Bearish -45

StoneX cuts target for Builders FirstSource stock to USD 85

StoneX analyst firm has lowered its price target for Builders FirstSource stock from USD 100.00 to USD 85.00 following a disappointing second-quarter performance reported in early October 2026. Despite maintaining a Buy rating, the revision reflects concerns over weaker operating results and lower earnings expectations for the building products manufacturer. Builders FirstSource reported Q2 revenue of USD 3.86 billion, representing an 8.80 percent decline year-over-year. Earnings per share came in at USD 1.17, missing the consensus estimate of USD 1.25 by eight cents, while the company recorded a net loss of USD 3.9 million for the period. The revenue shortfall is attributed to reduced demand for structural building products and construction services across the United States. With a market capitalization of approximately USD 6.1 billion, the stock trades within its 52-week range, though the consensus analyst target remains slightly higher at USD 87.27 according to MarketBeat data.

📉 StoneX cuts BLDR price target to $85 after Q2 earnings miss.

💰 Q2 revenue fell 8.8% YoY to $3.86B due to soft demand.

📊 EPS of $1.17 missed consensus, resulting in a net loss.

🏗️ BLDR faces headwinds in material demand across the US market.

📈 Consensus target is $87.27 with nine Buy and twelve Hold ratings.

📉 StoneX cuts price target for Builders FirstSource from USD 100.00 to USD 85.00 following Q2 earnings miss.

💰 Q2 revenue fell 8.80 percent year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion due to softer construction demand.

📊 EPS of USD 1.17 missed the USD 1.25 consensus estimate by eight cents, resulting in a net loss.

🏗️ Company supplies structural building products and services across the US facing headwinds in material demand.

📈 Consensus analyst target remains at USD 87.27 with nine Buy ratings against twelve Hold recommendations.

💵 Stock trades near the lower end of its 52-week range between USD 54.75 and USD 131.50.

Bullish Signals
  • StoneX maintains Buy rating despite lower price target.
  • Consensus target of $87.27 exceeds StoneX's revised target.
Risk Factors
  • Revenue declined 8.80% year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion.
  • EPS of USD 1.17 missed estimates by eight cents.
  • StoneX cut price target from USD 100.00 to USD 85.00.
Bullish Signals
  • StoneX maintains a Buy rating for Builders FirstSource despite lowering the price target, indicating continued long-term confidence in the business model.
  • The consensus analyst target of USD 87.27 remains above StoneX's revised target, suggesting other analysts view the current valuation as more attractive.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource Q2 revenue declined 8.80 percent year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion, signaling a contraction in core business demand.
  • Earnings per share of USD 1.17 missed the consensus estimate by eight cents, and the company reported a net loss of USD 3.9 million for the quarter.
  • StoneX's downward revision of the price target from USD 100.00 to USD 85.00 reflects growing analyst caution regarding the company's near-term performance.
Slightly Bullish +15

Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) Stock Forecast (2026)

As of October 2, 2026, Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) trades at $57.35, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with a neutral RSI of 37. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus price target of $81.00, implying approximately 41% upside from current levels, while CleaRank Financial AI rates the stock as a Hold with a fair value estimate of $66.16. The company recently reported an 8.8% revenue decrease in its latest quarter, with current estimates projecting a further 4% decline for the current quarter, which poses a direct risk to future earnings and operational performance. Despite these near-term headwinds, insider buying activity has been notable, with insiders purchasing approximately $60.7 million of BLDR stock against minimal sales, signaling strong internal conviction in the company's long-term prospects. Long-term statistical simulations suggest divergent outcomes for BLDR investors over the next decade. CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects a base case growth to roughly $30,862 per $10,000 invested by 2036, while historical backtesting indicates significant outperformance against the S&P 500 since 2016. However, the analysis explicitly notes that BLDR is highly volatile and that these projections are statistical simulations rather than guarantees of future returns.

📉 BLDR trades below moving averages with neutral RSI of 37.

📊 Consensus price target of $81.00 suggests 41.2% upside.

💰 Insiders bought $60.7M while sales remained minimal.

📉 Revenue dropped 8.8% with estimates projecting further 4% decline.

⚠️ Stock is highly volatile; extreme projections are statistical tails.

📉 BLDR trades at $57.35, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with a neutral RSI of 37.

📊 Wall Street consensus price target is $81.00 across 23 analysts, suggesting 41.2% upside potential.

📉 CleaRank Financial AI rates the stock as Hold with a fair value estimate of $66.16.

📉 Revenue decreased 8.8% in the latest quarter with estimates projecting a further 4% decline for the current quarter.

💰 Insiders have purchased approximately $60.7 million of BLDR stock against minimal sales.

📈 Historical backtest shows a $10,000 investment in October 2016 grew to $50,307 by 2026 versus $35,406 for the S&P 500.

🔮 Monte Carlo simulations project a base case value of $30,862 per $10,000 invested by 2036.

⚠️ The analysis highlights that BLDR is highly volatile and treats extreme upside projections as statistical tails.

Bullish Signals
  • Insiders bought $60.7M stock showing strong conviction.
  • Analysts see upside to $81.00 price target.
Risk Factors
  • Revenue fell 8.8%, with estimates projecting a further 4% decline.
  • Trading below 50-day/200-day SMAs with bearish RSI/MACD signals.
Bullish Signals
  • Insiders have purchased approximately $60.7 million of BLDR stock against minimal sales, indicating strong internal conviction in the company's future prospects.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus price target of $81.00, suggesting significant upside potential from the current trading price.
Risk Factors
  • The company reported an 8.8% revenue decrease in the latest quarter, with current estimates projecting a further 4% decline for the current quarter.
  • BLDR is trading below its key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA) and exhibits bearish RSI and MACD signals.
Bearish -65

StoneX cuts target for Builders FirstSource stock to USD 85.00

StoneX analyst firm has downgraded its price target for Builders FirstSource (BLDR) to USD 85.00 from USD 100.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. The revision reflects growing concerns over rising fuel costs, higher mortgage rates, and weakening housing conditions that are impacting the construction materials sector. The downgrade coincides with significant financial deterioration for Builders FirstSource in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Adjusted earnings per share plummeted by 51% to USD 1.17, while revenue declined 8.8% year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion. The company reported an operating profit of USD 128.51 million but posted a net loss of USD 3.90 million. Management has provided fiscal 2026 guidance expecting net sales between USD 14.00 billion and USD 14.80 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margins ranging from 7.1% to 8.1%. The company plans to host its 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026, at the New York Stock Exchange to discuss strategies for offsetting weaker construction demand through cost reductions and operational improvements. Builders FirstSource stock was trading at USD 54.98 on October 1, 2026, placing it near its 52-week low of USD 54.75. The market capitalization stands at approximately USD 5.9 billion as of that date, reflecting the immediate negative sentiment surrounding the earnings miss and analyst target reduction.

📉 StoneX cut BLDR price target to $85 citing macro headwinds.

📉 Q2 adjusted EPS fell 51% to $1.17 amid revenue drop.

💰 Company posted net loss of $3.9M despite operating profit.

🏠 Rising fuel costs and slowing housing market pressure BLDR.

📅 BLDR holds 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026.

📉 StoneX cut its price target for Builders FirstSource to USD 85.00 from USD 100.00 while retaining a Buy rating.

📉 Analysts reduced fiscal 2026 EPS estimates to USD 3.25 and fiscal 2027 estimates to USD 3.50 due to macroeconomic headwinds.

📉 Builders FirstSource reported a sharp 51% decline in adjusted Q2 earnings per share to USD 1.17 compared to the prior year.

📉 Revenue fell 8.8% year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2026.

💰 The company posted a net loss of USD 3.90 million despite generating an operating profit of USD 128.51 million.

🏗️ Management forecasts fiscal 2026 net sales between USD 14.00 billion and USD 14.80 billion with EBITDA margins of 7.1% to 8.1%.

📅 Builders FirstSource will hold its 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026, at the New York Stock Exchange.

📉 Stock price dropped 3.28% to EUR 48.66 (approx. USD 54.98) following the analyst downgrade and earnings report.

🏠 The company faces pressure from rising fuel costs, higher mortgage rates, and a slowing housing market.

💸 Market capitalization is approximately USD 5.9 billion as of October 1, 2026.

Bullish Signals
  • StoneX maintains Buy rating showing long-term confidence.
  • Management projects 7.1%-8.1% adjusted EBITDA margins for FY2026.
Risk Factors
  • StoneX cut target to $85 from $100.
  • Fiscal 2026 EPS lowered to $3.25.
  • Q2 adjusted earnings fell 51% to $1.17.
  • Revenue declined 8.8% year-over-year.
  • Stock dropped 3.28% near 52-week low.
Bullish Signals
  • StoneX maintains a Buy rating despite cutting the price target, indicating continued long-term confidence in the company's fundamentals.
  • Management projects adjusted EBITDA margins between 7.1% and 8.1% for fiscal 2026, suggesting potential for margin expansion through cost management.
Risk Factors
  • StoneX cut its price target to USD 85.00 from USD 100.00, signaling a significant reduction in near-term valuation expectations.
  • Fiscal 2026 EPS estimates were lowered to USD 3.25 from USD 3.50 due to rising fuel costs and weaker housing conditions.
  • Adjusted earnings per share fell 51% year-over-year to USD 1.17 in the second quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • Revenue declined 8.8% year-over-year to USD 3.86 billion, reflecting a contraction in core business demand.
  • The company reported a net loss of USD 3.90 million for the second quarter despite positive operating profits.
  • Fiscal 2027 EPS estimates were slashed from USD 4.75 to USD 3.50, indicating analysts see prolonged headwinds ahead.
  • Stock price dropped 3.28% to trade near its 52-week low of USD 54.75 following the negative analyst revision.
Neutral +10

Builders FirstSource stock after-hours: no euro price or percentage stated; Investor Day set

After-hours trading data for Builders FirstSource is currently unavailable as no specific euro price or percentage change has been reported. Despite the lack of immediate market movement, the company has officially confirmed plans to host its 2026 Investor Day event on November 17 in New York. The upcoming presentation will feature CEO Peter Jackson, CFO Pete Beckmann, and other senior leadership discussing the firm's growth strategy, operational and technology initiatives, capital allocation framework, and long-term financial targets. The session is scheduled to run from 8:45 a.m. to noon Eastern Time at the New York Stock Exchange. Builders FirstSource has made the live webcast, archived replay, and accompanying presentation materials available through its investor-relations website under the Events and Presentations section. The online archive will remain accessible for approximately 120 days following the event, allowing investors to review the company's strategic outlook and management commentary.

📅 Builders FirstSource confirms 2026 Investor Day on November 17 in New York.

💼 CEO Peter Jackson and CFO Pete Beckmann will present growth strategy.

🌐 Webcast materials available for 120 days on the investor-relations website.

⏰ NYSE presentations begin at 8:45 a.m. ET and conclude around noon.

📅 Builders FirstSource has confirmed its 2026 Investor Day will take place on November 17 in New York.

💼 Senior leadership including CEO Peter Jackson and CFO Pete Beckmann will present the company's growth strategy and capital allocation framework.

🌐 The event webcast and presentation materials are available on the company's investor-relations website for a 120-day period.

⏰ Presentations at the NYSE are scheduled to begin at 8:45 a.m. Eastern Time and conclude around noon.

📊 No specific after-hours price or percentage change was reported in the latest market data.

Bullish Signals
  • Engaging investors at scheduled Investor Day for long-term targets.
  • Webcast archives accessible for 120 days showing transparency.
Risk Factors
  • No after-hours price or percentage change reported.
  • Euro price absent, suggesting limited European liquidity.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource is actively engaging with investors through a scheduled Investor Day event to discuss long-term financial targets and operational initiatives.
  • The company has made its strategic presentations and webcast archives accessible for 120 days, demonstrating transparency in sharing growth strategy details.
Risk Factors
  • No specific after-hours price or percentage change was reported, indicating a lack of immediate market reaction or volatility at this moment.
  • The absence of a stated euro price suggests limited liquidity or reporting availability for European investors during the current trading session.
Somewhat Bearish -35

Builders FirstSource stock falls 1.49 percent as Stifel holds target

Builders FirstSource stock declined 1.49 percent to close at USD 58.28 on September 24, 2026, following a second-quarter earnings miss that weighed heavily on investor sentiment. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of USD 1.17, which fell short of the USD 1.28 analyst consensus and represented a significant drop compared to the prior year's figures. Despite the near-term earnings weakness, analysts at Stifel maintained their Hold rating with a price target of USD 65.00, suggesting potential for modest recovery rather than an immediate return to yearly highs. The stock currently trades well below its 52-week high, reflecting market caution regarding the gap between the company's broad building-materials platform and its weaker short-term earnings trajectory. Management is set to address these strategic concerns at the upcoming 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026, where they will present their growth strategy, technology initiatives, and capital allocation framework. This event serves as a critical checkpoint for investors to evaluate the company's long-term financial targets and operational improvements amidst the current housing supply dynamics. The article highlights the immediate investment debate surrounding cautious analyst expectations versus the longer-term argument for housing supply needs. With a market capitalization of approximately USD 6.27 billion, Builders FirstSource faces the challenge of bridging the disconnect between its substantial platform capabilities and the disappointing quarterly performance that keeps shares near yearly lows.

📉 BLDR stock fell 1.49% to $58.28 on Q2 earnings miss.

💰 Adjusted EPS was $1.17 vs $1.28 forecast, down from prior year.

🎯 Stifel maintains Hold rating with $65.00 price target for modest recovery.

📅 Management to present updated strategy at Nov 17, 2026 Investor Day.

💵 Q2 revenue reached $3.86 billion despite cautious market outlook.

📉 Builders FirstSource stock fell 1.49 percent to USD 58.28 on September 24, 2026, as investors reacted negatively to a second-quarter earnings miss.

💰 The company reported adjusted EPS of USD 1.17 against a USD 1.28 forecast, marking a significant decline from the prior year's performance.

🎯 Stifel analyst maintained a Hold rating with a USD 65.00 price target, indicating expectations for modest recovery rather than immediate growth.

📅 Management will present its updated growth strategy and capital allocation framework at the 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026.

🏗️ The stock trades within a 52-week range of USD 56.56 to USD 131.50, currently sitting 55.68 percent below its yearly high.

💵 Builders FirstSource generated second-quarter revenue of USD 3.86 billion despite the earnings miss and cautious market outlook.

Bullish Signals
  • Analyst sees potential upside from current levels.
  • Broad platform supports long-term housing supply.
Risk Factors
  • Q2 EPS of $1.17 missed $1.28 forecast.
  • Stock near yearly lows on weak earnings.
Bullish Signals
  • Stifel analyst maintains a Hold rating with a USD 65.00 price target, suggesting potential upside from current levels.
  • The company possesses a broad building-materials platform that supports long-term housing supply arguments despite near-term earnings weakness.
Risk Factors
  • Second-quarter adjusted EPS of USD 1.17 missed the USD 1.28 analyst forecast and was significantly lower than the prior year.
  • Stock price remains close to yearly lows due to the disconnect between operational scale and weaker near-term earnings trajectory.
Bearish -65

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights - Zacks Investment Research

In the latest trading session, Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares declined 2.81% to close at $59.16, significantly underperforming the broader market as the S&P 500 fell by only 0.76%. Over the past month, BLDR has dropped 12.24%, trailing both its Retail-Wholesale sector peers and the overall S&P 500 performance. Analysts are closely monitoring upcoming financial results for Builders FirstSource, with consensus estimates projecting a sharp contraction in earnings and revenue for the current quarter. Specifically, analysts expect EPS of $1.16, representing a 38.3% decrease year-over-year, and revenue of $3.8 billion, down 3.62% from the prior-year quarter. Full-year projections indicate even more significant declines, with consensus estimates calling for earnings of $3.19 per share and revenue of $14.32 billion, reflecting decreases of -53.7% and -5.71% respectively compared to the prior year. These downward revisions have contributed to a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell) for the company. Despite the negative outlook, valuation metrics show Builders FirstSource trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.1, which is slightly below the industry average of 19.24. The stock also carries a PEG ratio of 1.95, matching the industry average, while the broader Building Products - Retail industry ranks in the bottom 8% of all tracked industries.

📉 BLDR shares dropped 2.81%, lagging significantly behind S&P 500 and sector declines.

📉 Stock fell 12.24% monthly, underperforming Retail-Wholesale sector and broader market indices.

💰 Analysts project quarter EPS of $1.16, a 38.3% decrease from last year.

📉 Revenue expected at $3.8 billion, down 3.62% compared to prior-year quarter.

🏆 Company holds Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) due to negative analyst estimates.

📉 Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares dropped 2.81% to $59.16, lagging significantly behind the S&P 500's 0.76% decline and the sector's monthly performance.

📉 The stock has fallen 12.24% over the past month, underperforming both the Retail-Wholesale sector and the broader market indices.

💰 Analysts project current quarter EPS of $1.16, marking a substantial 38.3% decrease from the same quarter last year.

📉 Revenue is expected to reach $3.8 billion for the quarter, representing a 3.62% decline compared to the prior-year quarter.

📉 Full-year consensus estimates forecast earnings of $3.19 per share and revenue of $14.32 billion, with declines of -53.7% and -5.71% respectively.

🏆 The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell) due to the negative shift in analyst estimates.

💹 Builders FirstSource trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.1, offering a slight discount relative to the industry average of 19.24.

📊 The stock's PEG ratio stands at 1.95, which is identical to the Building Products - Retail industry average.

🏭 The Building Products - Retail industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 228, placing it in the bottom 8% of all 250+ industries.

Bullish Signals
  • Trades at Forward P/E of 19.1, below industry average of 19.24.
  • PEG ratio is 1.95, matching industry average for Building Products sector.
Risk Factors
  • Shares dropped 2.81%, lagging S&P 500's 0.76% loss.
  • Stock declined 12.24% over past month.
  • Projected EPS is $1.16, down 38.3% YoY.
  • Revenue estimates are $3.8B, down 3.62% YoY.
  • Full-year EPS projected at $3.19, -53.7% drop.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.1, which denotes a discount relative to the industry average Forward P/E of 19.24.
  • The company's PEG ratio is 1.95, matching the widely-used industry average for the Building Products - Retail sector.
Risk Factors
  • BLDR shares dropped 2.81% in the latest session, significantly lagging the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.76%.
  • The stock has declined by 12.24% over the past month, falling short of the Retail-Wholesale sector's performance and the S&P 500's gain.
  • Analysts project current quarter EPS of $1.16, reflecting a severe 38.3% decrease from the same quarter last year.
  • Consensus revenue estimates for the quarter are set at $3.8 billion, down 3.62% from the prior-year quarter.
  • Full-year earnings projections indicate a drastic drop to $3.19 per share, representing a -53.7% change from the prior year.
  • Recent downward adjustments to analyst estimates have resulted in a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell) for the company.
Slightly Bearish -15

Builders FirstSource stock gains 1.50 percent as valuation stays high

Builders FirstSource shares rose 1.50% to close at $58.99 on September 22, 2026, following a daily gain of $0.87. Despite the intraday recovery, the stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of $131.50 and trades near its 52-week low of $56.56, reflecting a broader annual downtrend where the share price is down over 52% year-to-date. Financial performance for Q2 FY26 showed revenue of $3.86 billion but reported earnings of negative $3.9 million with a profit margin of -0.10%. The company missed analyst EPS estimates by $0.09, reporting actual diluted EPS of $1.17 against an expectation of $1.26. Trailing figures indicate a price-to-earnings ratio of 64.02, suggesting the current valuation is sensitive to a return to stronger earnings growth. Analyst sentiment remains cautious with Wells Fargo lowering its price target from $65 to $63 while maintaining an Equal-Weight rating. The average analyst price target stands at $80.62, with a high target of $100.00, highlighting the gap between current market prices and future expectations as a key factor for investors monitoring the building products sector.

⚠️ BLDR missed EPS estimates by $0.09 with negative Q2 earnings.

📉 Stock closed at $58.99 after gaining 1.50% on Sept 22.

🔽 Wells Fargo lowered price target to $63 while maintaining Equal-Weight rating.

📊 High P/E of 64.02 signals valuation sensitivity to earnings recovery.

🎯 Analyst consensus average target remains elevated at $80.62.

📈 Builders FirstSource stock gained 1.50% to close at $58.99 on September 22, 2026, after a $0.87 daily gain.

📉 The company reported Q2 FY26 revenue of $3.86 billion alongside negative earnings of $3.9 million and a -0.10% profit margin.

⚠️ Builders FirstSource missed EPS estimates by $0.09, reporting actual diluted EPS of $1.17 versus an analyst expectation of $1.26.

📊 The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 64.02, indicating high valuation sensitivity to earnings recovery.

🔽 Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $65 to $63 while maintaining an Equal-Weight rating on the stock.

🎯 Analyst consensus targets remain elevated at an average of $80.62 and a high of $100.00, suggesting potential upside if fundamentals improve.

Bullish Signals
  • Shares gained 1.50% to close at $58.99.
  • Q2 FY26 revenue reached $3.86 billion.
Risk Factors
  • Q2 FY26 earnings were negative $3.9M with -0.10% margin.
  • Missed EPS by $0.09; actual $1.17 vs $1.26 estimate.
  • Wells Fargo cut price target from $65 to $63.
  • High P/E of 64.02 risks valuation if earnings slow.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource shares posted a 1.50% daily gain to close at $58.99, demonstrating intraday resilience despite broader annual weakness.
  • The company recorded revenue of $3.86 billion in Q2 FY26, maintaining top-line scale even as profitability faced headwinds.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource reported negative earnings of $3.9 million and a -0.10% profit margin for Q2 FY26, signaling operational challenges.
  • The stock missed EPS estimates by $0.09, reporting actual diluted EPS of $1.17 against an analyst expectation of $1.26.
  • Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $65 to $63, reflecting a more cautious assessment of near-term upside potential.
  • The stock trades at a high trailing P/E ratio of 64.02, leaving valuation sensitive to a return to stronger earnings growth.
Somewhat Bearish -45

Builders FirstSource stock falls out of S&P 500 as shares hover near 52-week low

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares fell out of the S&P 500 index on September 21, 2026, as the stock hovered near its 52-week low. The company's stock closed at USD 58.10 on the NYSE on September 18, 2026, representing a significant decline of approximately 43.5 percent year to date from its start-of-year level of USD 102.89. Financial performance for the quarter ended July 30, 2026, showed weakness with revenue slipping 8.8 percent year over year to USD 3.86 billion. Earnings per share were reported at USD 1.17, missing analyst consensus by USD 0.08. The company also lowered its full-year EBITDA guidance significantly below expectations, reinforcing market caution regarding its growth trajectory. Analyst sentiment remains cautious with a consensus rating of Hold and an average price target of USD 87.27, implying potential upside from current levels. However, Wells Fargo recently reduced its price target to USD 63. The company maintains a USD 500 million share repurchase program initiated in April 2026, though the stock trades at roughly 64 times trailing earnings. The removal from major S&P indices like the S&P 500 Value and Capital Goods segments may trigger rebalancing outflows from passive funds. With the next earnings release scheduled for October 29, 2026, investors are closely watching for stabilization in housing-related demand and margin improvements to reverse the recent downward trend.

📉 Shares dropped 13.9% after Q2 EPS missed consensus by USD 0.08.

💰 Revenue fell 8.8% YoY to USD 3.86 billion amid sector challenges.

🏦 Analysts hold BLDR with a USD 87.27 price target despite recent weakness.

💸 Company authorized a USD 500 million share repurchase program in April.

📈 Stock trades at 64x trailing earnings, signaling high valuation multiples.

📉 Builders FirstSource was removed from the S&P 500 index on September 21, 2026, adding pressure as shares trade near their 52-week low of USD 56.56.

💰 Q2 2026 revenue declined 8.8 percent year over year to USD 3.86 billion, reflecting a challenging environment for the building products sector.

📊 The company reported EPS of USD 1.17 in the quarter ended July 30, 2026, which missed analyst consensus by USD 0.08.

📉 Full-year EBITDA guidance was cut significantly below expectations, contributing to a 13.9 percent stock decline since the earnings release.

🏦 Analysts maintain a Hold consensus rating with an average price target of USD 87.27, suggesting potential upside despite current weakness.

📉 Wells Fargo reduced its price target on Builders FirstSource to USD 63 while maintaining an Equalweight rating in early September.

💸 The company has a USD 500 million share repurchase program authorized since April 30, 2026, providing flexibility to support the stock price.

📈 The stock trades at approximately 64 times trailing earnings, indicating a relatively high valuation multiple compared to recent performance.

🏗️ Builders FirstSource is now included in smaller indices like the S&P 600 Building Products segment following its removal from larger benchmarks.

📅 The next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026, serving as a key checkpoint for revenue and margin stabilization.

Bullish Signals
  • $500M buyback program initiated April 2026.
  • Analysts see ~50% upside to $87.27 target.
Risk Factors
  • Removed from S&P 500 on Sept 21, 2026.
  • Q2 2026 revenue slipped 8.8% to USD 3.86B.
  • Missed EPS consensus by USD 0.08 at USD 1.17.
  • Full-year EBITDA guidance fell short of expectations.
  • Stock down 43.5% YTD, trading near USD 56.56 low.
Bullish Signals
  • Builders FirstSource maintains a USD 500 million share repurchase program initiated in April 2026, providing management with flexibility to support the share price if conditions permit.
  • Analysts track a consensus average price target of USD 87.27, implying potential upside of approximately 50 percent from the current trading level around USD 58.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource was removed from the S&P 500 and other major indices on September 21, 2026, which can trigger rebalancing outflows from passive funds.
  • Q2 2026 revenue slipped 8.8 percent year over year to USD 3.86 billion, indicating a decline in core business performance.
  • The company missed earnings per share consensus by USD 0.08, reporting USD 1.17 in the quarter ended July 30, 2026.
  • Full-year EBITDA guidance fell significantly short of analysts' expectations, signaling weaker future profitability outlook.
  • The stock has declined roughly 43.5 percent year to date and is trading near its 52-week low of USD 56.56.
  • Wells Fargo reduced its price target on Builders FirstSource to USD 63, reflecting increased caution among major analysts.
Somewhat Bearish -25

Builders FirstSource stock holds near its yearly low

Builders FirstSource stock opened at $58.10 on September 18, 2026, trading near its yearly low of $56.56 and significantly below its high of $131.50. The company reported earnings for the quarter ended July 30, 2026, with EPS of $1.17, which missed analyst estimates by $0.08. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion, reflecting a challenging operating environment for the building products sector. Financial metrics for the quarter showed a net margin of 0.71% and a return on equity of 11.73%. Analysts maintain a consensus full-year EPS expectation of $3.19. The stock currently trades at a forward multiple of 63.85 times trailing earnings, indicating a valuation that is elevated relative to recent performance but supported by the company's market position in industrials. Analyst sentiment remains cautious with a consensus rating of Hold and an average price target of $87.27, implying approximately 50.2% upside potential from current levels. Wells Fargo recently lowered its price target to $63 while maintaining an Equalweight rating. The company has initiated a $500 million buyback program starting April 30, 2026, signaling management's commitment to capital allocation despite recent earnings misses.

📉 Q2 EPS missed estimates by $0.08 at $1.17.

📉 Revenue fell 8.8% year over year to $3.86B.

💰 $500M buyback program active since April 30, 2026.

🎯 Analysts project ~50% upside with $87.27 price target.

📉 Wells Fargo lowered price target to $63 on Sept 11.

📉 Builders FirstSource stock opened at $58.10 on September 18, 2026, trading just above its 12-month low of $56.56.

💰 The company reported Q2 EPS of $1.17, missing consensus estimates by $0.08 for the quarter ended July 30, 2026.

📉 Revenue fell 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion in the most recent quarter.

📊 Net margin compressed to 0.71% while return on equity stood at 11.73% for the period.

🎯 Analysts project full-year EPS of $3.19 with a consensus price target of $87.27, suggesting ~50% upside.

📉 Wells Fargo lowered its price target to $63 on September 11, 2026, maintaining an Equalweight rating.

💸 The company has a $500 million buyback program active since April 30, 2026, supporting shareholder returns.

📈 Market capitalization is approximately $6.25 billion as of September 20, 2026.

Bullish Signals
  • $500M buyback active since April 30, 2026.
  • Analysts expect full-year EPS of $3.19.
Risk Factors
  • Q2 EPS missed estimates by $0.08.
  • Revenue fell 8.8% year over year.
Bullish Signals
  • The company has a $500 million buyback program active since April 30, 2026, demonstrating management's commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
  • Analysts maintain a consensus full-year EPS expectation of $3.19, indicating confidence in the company's ability to recover or stabilize earnings performance.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource reported Q2 EPS of $1.17, missing analyst estimates by $0.08 for the quarter ended July 30, 2026.
  • Revenue declined 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion in the most recent quarter, signaling a contraction in core business demand.
Somewhat Bearish -45

Builders FirstSource stock heads into the open after a 0.05 percent gain

Builders FirstSource stock finished the trading session on September 15, 2026, at USD 60.24 on the New York Stock Exchange, marking a negligible 0.05 percent gain. The shares traded within a range of USD 59.05 to USD 60.27 with a volume of 1,439,340 shares, closing slightly above the day's low but significantly below its 52-week high of USD 142.26. Despite the firm market backdrop where the S&P 500 rose 0.63 percent, sector pressure weighed on Builders FirstSource following Reuters reports that U.S. homebuilder sentiment fell to a one-year low in September. This decline was attributed to rising mortgage rates and persistent demand pressures that are currently weighing heavily on the broader housing outlook. Analyst sentiment remains cautious as Wells Fargo maintained its Equal-Weight rating for the company but cut its price target to USD 63 on September 11, 2026. The stock is set to face further scrutiny today as the company prepares to present at the Zelman Housing Summit 2026, an event where industry leaders will likely discuss the current challenges facing the residential construction sector. Market data indicates that Builders FirstSource is trading against a backdrop of declining confidence in the housing market, with the NAHB/Wells Fargo index falling three points to 32 in September. These macroeconomic factors suggest ongoing headwinds for homebuilding materials and components, which directly impacts the operational environment for Builders FirstSource.

📉 BLDR stock closed at USD 60.24 with minimal gain despite market strength.

📊 Shares traded near USD 60, far below the 52-week high of USD 142.26.

🏠 Sector pressure intensified as homebuilder sentiment fell to a one-year low.

📉 Wells Fargo cut BLDR price target to USD 63 while maintaining Equal-Weight rating.

🗣️ Company scheduled to present at Zelman Housing Summit 2026 today.

📉 Builders FirstSource stock closed at USD 60.24 on September 15, 2026, representing a minimal 0.05 percent gain despite broader market strength.

📊 The shares traded between USD 59.05 and USD 60.27 with a volume of 1,439,340, remaining far below the 52-week high of USD 142.26.

🏠 Sector pressure intensified as Reuters reported U.S. homebuilder sentiment fell to a one-year low due to mortgage rates and demand issues.

📉 Wells Fargo maintained an Equal-Weight rating but cut its price target for Builders FirstSource to USD 63 on September 11, 2026.

🗣️ The company is scheduled to present at the Zelman Housing Summit 2026 today to address current industry challenges.

📉 The NAHB/Wells Fargo index dropped three points to 32 in September, reflecting a deteriorating outlook for the housing sector.

Risk Factors
  • Stock trades at $60.24, far below its $142.26 52-week high.
  • U.S. homebuilder sentiment hit a one-year low due to mortgage rates.
  • Wells Fargo cut price target to $63, signaling analyst caution.
  • Housing sector confidence declined as NAHB/Wells Fargo index fell.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of USD 142.26, trading at USD 60.24 amid weak sector performance.
  • U.S. homebuilder sentiment fell to a one-year low due to rising mortgage rates and demand pressures, creating headwinds for the company's core market.
  • Wells Fargo cut its price target for Builders FirstSource to USD 63 while maintaining an Equal-Weight rating, signaling analyst caution.
  • The NAHB/Wells Fargo index fell three points to 32 in September, indicating a broader decline in housing sector confidence that impacts the company.
Very Bearish -75

Builders FirstSource stock heads into the open after a sharp recent slide

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares opened near $60 on the NYSE, cementing a steep decline of over 50% from their previous year's peak. The stock is currently trading well below its 52-week high of approximately $146 and sits just above its 52-week low of roughly $58, reflecting sustained selling pressure as technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day moving averages remain significantly higher than the current price. The recent underperformance is directly linked to disappointing quarterly fundamentals released recently. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.17, which missed the consensus expectation of $1.27. Additionally, revenue fell by 8.77% year over year to $3.86 billion, while adjusted EBITDA dropped sharply by 34.9% to $329.3 million. Profitability metrics have also deteriorated significantly, with margin compression of 350 basis points bringing the margin down to 8.5%. Analysts currently maintain a consensus Hold rating on the stock with a target price near $90.26, suggesting that investors are weighing these softer fundamentals against the broader market's resilience. Builders FirstSource continues to face headwinds as it trades far below its historical highs while the broader US equity market has held up better. The disconnect between company-specific factors and overall market performance highlights the severity of the recent slide in BLDR stock price.

📉 Stock fell over 50% year-over-year, trading near 52-week low.

💰 EPS missed consensus at $1.17 vs expected $1.27.

📉 Revenue dropped 8.77% to $3.86 billion.

📉 Adjusted EBITDA fell 34.9% to $329.3 million.

🏷️ Analysts maintain Hold rating with $90.26 target price.

📉 Builders FirstSource stock closed near $60, marking a loss of more than 50% over the past year as shares trade well below their 52-week high.

💰 The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.17 for the latest quarter, missing the consensus expectation of $1.27.

📉 Revenue declined by 8.77% year over year to reach $3.86 billion in the most recent reporting period.

📉 Adjusted EBITDA dropped significantly by 34.9% to $329.3 million, indicating a substantial reduction in operating profitability.

📉 Margin compression of 350 basis points reduced the profit margin to 8.5%, reflecting deteriorating operational efficiency.

📊 Technical analysis shows the stock trading near its 52-week low with moving averages positioned notably higher than the current price.

🏷️ Analysts maintain a consensus Hold rating on Builders FirstSource with a target price near $90.26.

🌍 The broader US market has held up better compared to the pronounced underperformance of BLDR shares.

Risk Factors
  • Stock lost >50% value, trading near 52-week low.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource stock has declined heavily over the past year, losing more than 50% of its value and trading near its 52-week low.
  • The company missed earnings expectations with adjusted EPS of $1.17 falling short of the consensus target of $1.27.
  • Revenue contracted by 8.77% year over year to $3.86 billion, signaling a decline in top-line growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA plummeted by 34.9% to $329.3 million, indicating severe pressure on operating earnings.
  • Profit margins compressed by 350 basis points to just 8.5%, reflecting significant margin deterioration.
  • The stock trades well below its 52-week high of approximately $146 while the broader market remains near its peaks.
Somewhat Bearish -25

Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio Makes New $2.67 Million Investment in Builders FirstSource, Inc. $BLDR - MarketBeat

Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio (PERS) increased its stake in Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) by purchasing 29,865 shares worth approximately $2.67 million during the second quarter. This transaction contributes to a high level of institutional ownership, with funds now controlling 95.53% of the company's outstanding stock. Builders FirstSource reported mixed financial results for the quarter ended July 30, posting earnings per share of $1.17, which missed analyst estimates by $0.08. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion, falling short of the consensus expectation of $3.91 billion. The company reported a net margin of 0.71% and a return on equity of 11.73%. Wall Street sentiment remains cautious with a consensus 'Hold' rating and an average price target of $90.35, significantly above the current trading price of roughly $65.74. Major analysts including Oppenheimer, UBS, and Stifel have recently lowered their price targets following the earnings miss, though ratings vary from 'Buy' to 'Sell'. The article notes that several other institutional investors, including Littlejohn & Co. LLC and Hauser Brothers GmbH, also established new positions in BLDR during the second quarter. Despite these inflows, MarketBeat suggests there are five alternative stocks currently preferred by top analysts over Builders FirstSource.

🏛️ Ohio Public Employees Retirement System bought $2.67M in BLDR shares Q2.

📉 Revenue dropped 8.8% YoY to $3.86B, missing analyst expectations.

📉 EPS of $1.17 missed estimates by $0.08 per share.

🏦 Institutional ownership is 95.53% with recent hedge fund stake additions.

📉 Oppenheimer, UBS, and Stifel lowered price targets after earnings miss.

🏛️ Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio purchased $2.67 million worth of BLDR shares in the second quarter.

📉 Builders FirstSource reported quarterly EPS of $1.17, missing analyst estimates by $0.08.

💰 Revenue fell 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion, trailing expectations of $3.91 billion.

🏦 Institutional ownership stands at 95.53%, with multiple hedge funds adding new stakes recently.

📊 The stock trades at a PE ratio of 72.24 with a market capitalization of $7.07 billion.

🎯 Analysts maintain a consensus 'Hold' rating with an average price target of $90.35.

📉 Oppenheimer, UBS, and Stifel recently lowered their price targets following the earnings miss.

🏗️ The company supplies structural building products to professional contractors and homebuilders.

📉 BLDR opened at $65.74, trading well below its 52-week high of $151.03.

🔍 MarketBeat lists five alternative stocks as better buys than Builders FirstSource currently.

Bullish Signals
  • Institutional investors like PERS opened new positions in Q2.
  • Strong balance sheet with current ratio of 1.79.
Risk Factors
  • EPS missed by $0.08, reporting $1.17 vs $1.25 consensus.
Bullish Signals
  • Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio and several other institutional investors, including Littlejohn & Co. LLC and Hauser Brothers GmbH, established new positions in the company during the second quarter.
  • The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 1.79 and a quick ratio of 1.09.
Risk Factors
  • Builders FirstSource missed quarterly earnings estimates by $0.08 per share, reporting $1.17 EPS against a consensus of $1.25.
  • Revenue declined 8.8% year over year to $3.86 billion, failing to meet analyst expectations of $3.91 billion.
  • Major analysts including Oppenheimer, UBS, and Stifel recently decreased their price targets following the disappointing earnings report.
  • The stock is trading at a high PE ratio of 72.24 while significantly below its 52-week high of $151.03.