Autodesk (ADSK) shares have declined approximately 23% since late August, driven by investor concerns over a third-quarter adjusted profit forecast that missed Wall Street estimates despite the company beating revenue and EPS guidance. While the immediate drop has attracted attention as a potential buying opportunity based on historical patterns where deep dips often resulted in significant long-term gains, the stock currently trades at a premium valuation compared to the broader market.
The article analyzes Autodesk's fundamental business health, noting that revenue grew 17.9% over the past twelve months, significantly outpacing its three-year average. The company's largest segment, Architecture, Engineering, Construction and Operations, saw robust growth of 22% in fiscal 2026. Furthermore, Autodesk maintains superior profitability metrics with an operating margin of 28% against the S&P 500 average of 18.6%, and generates strong operating cash flow representing 37% of revenue.
However, the investment case hinges on valuation concerns and upcoming guidance adjustments. Management raised its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to include MaintainX, an acquired company, but simultaneously lowered its standard accounting operating margin guidance to 25%-27% due to acquisition-related dilution effects. With Autodesk trading at 33.1 times past year's earnings versus the S&P 500's 22.1x, investors face a choice between betting on historical rebound patterns or accepting the current high valuation and potential further downside before recovery.
Looking ahead, analysts expect Autodesk to report its fiscal third-quarter results in late November with adjusted EPS guidance of $3.04 to $3.09. The investment thesis relies on the company's sound business fundamentals holding up against these headwinds; a result within or above this range would validate the current strategy, whereas missing it could break the bullish case for the stock despite its strong historical performance following similar corrections.
📉 ADSK shares fell 23% after missing Q3 profit estimates.
📈 Historical data shows 7 of 9 deep dips ended higher next year.
💰 Revenue grew 17.9%, exceeding the three-year average growth rate.
🏗️ AEC segment achieved strong 22% growth in fiscal 2026.
⚠️ Management lowered margin guidance to 25%-27% due to MaintainX dilution.
📉 Autodesk (ADSK) shares have fallen 23% since late August after investors reacted negatively to a third-quarter adjusted profit forecast that missed Wall Street estimates.
📈 Historical data shows that 7 out of 9 previous deep dips for Autodesk ended higher the following year, with a median annual return of 26%.
💰 Revenue grew 17.9% over the past twelve months, exceeding the company's three-year average growth rate of 14.4% per year.
🏗️ The Architecture, Engineering, Construction and Operations segment achieved strong growth of 22% in fiscal 2026.
💵 Autodesk maintains a superior operating margin of 28%, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 18.6%.
📊 Operating cash flow reached 37% of revenue over the past year, indicating strong liquidity generation capabilities.
⚠️ Management lowered its standard accounting operating margin guidance to 25%-27% from 27% due to dilution effects from the MaintainX acquisition.
🔭 Autodesk trades at a premium valuation of 33.1 times past year's earnings compared to the S&P 500's 22.1x multiple.
📅 The company is expected to report fiscal third-quarter results in late November with adjusted EPS guidance of $3.04 to $3.09.
🔄 Management raised its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to include MaintainX, an acquired company that impacts future financial metrics.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 17.9%, exceeding the 14.4% three-year average.
Architecture segment achieved robust 22% growth in fiscal 2026.
Operating margin of 28% surpasses S&P 500 average of 18.6%.
Operating cash flow reached 37% of revenue last year.
Historical dips ended higher with median annual return of 26%.
Risk Factors
Shares fell 23% after missing Q3 profit forecast.
Management lowered operating margin guidance to 25%-27%.
Trades at 33.1x earnings, above S&P 500 average.
Stock may fall additional median of 12%.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 17.9% over the past twelve months, significantly outpacing the company's three-year average growth rate of 14.4% per year.
The largest segment, Architecture, Engineering, Construction and Operations, achieved robust growth of 22% in fiscal 2026.
Autodesk maintains a superior operating margin of 28%, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500 average of 18.6%.
Operating cash flow reached 37% of revenue over the past year, demonstrating strong financial health and liquidity generation.
Historical data indicates that 7 out of 9 previous deep dips for Autodesk ended higher the following year with a median annual return of 26%.
Risk Factors
Shares have fallen 23% since late August after investors reacted negatively to a third-quarter adjusted profit forecast that missed Wall Street estimates.
Management lowered its standard accounting operating margin guidance to 25%-27% from 27% due to dilution effects from the MaintainX acquisition.
Autodesk trades at a premium valuation of 33.1 times past year's earnings, which is significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 22.1x.
Historical patterns suggest that after deep dips, the stock typically falls an additional median of 12% before turning higher.
Company updateEarnings reportAI-generated analysis
Autodesk Inc. reported strong fiscal second-quarter results for 2027, with revenue reaching USD 2.046 billion, representing a 16% year-over-year increase. GAAP diluted earnings per share rose to USD 2.33, driven by an expansion in operating margins to 29% on a GAAP basis and 41% on a non-GAAP basis. The company's stock closed at USD 209.40 on September 25, 2026, reflecting the positive financial performance despite a slight decline from the prior session.
Analyst sentiment remains mixed regarding the sustainability of this growth and future monetization strategies. Guggenheim maintained its Buy rating with a price target of USD 283.00, citing the company's position after Autodesk University. Conversely, Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a lower price target of USD 215.00, highlighting concerns about AI monetization, pricing discipline, and the integration of MaintainX.
Key metrics indicate that while total revenue grew significantly, contract backlog growth was more modest at 2%, suggesting a shift in how multiyear contracts are structured with reduced discounting. The company's market capitalization stands at USD 44.2 billion as of late September 2026, trading below its 52-week high but above its low. Investors will be watching the upcoming fiscal Q3 revenue outlook, which is expected to range between USD 2.125 billion and USD 2.140 billion.
Autodesk continues to focus on collaborative work in architecture and illustration using AI tools. The divergence between strong top-line growth and slower backlog expansion suggests a strategic pivot in contract duration and discounting policies. Market attention is now focused on how the company can translate its technological capabilities, particularly in AI and MaintainX integration, into sustained financial performance and margin expansion.
📈 Autodesk Q2 2027 revenue rose 16% to USD 2.046 billion.
Company updateCustomer growthAI-generated analysis
Autodesk (ADSK) shares have declined 33% over the past year as of September 23, 2026, underperforming the S&P 500's 13% return. The article identifies Autodesk's construction business as a primary growth driver within its Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations (AECO) product family. This segment is highlighted for its high growth potential driven by the industry's historically low adoption of technology.
In fiscal Q2 2027, the AECO family generated $3.6 billion in revenue, representing a 22% increase year-over-year, which outpaced the company's overall 17.5% growth. Management reported significant customer wins, including a major retailer adopting Autodesk Forma and Tandem for digital twin capabilities across its North American portfolio. Additionally, the acquisition of MaintainX is expected to contribute approximately $60 million in revenue during the second half of fiscal 2027.
Despite strong recent performance, investor sentiment remains cautious due to two primary concerns: potential disruption from AI tools and the non-recurrence of a one-time transaction model boost that added roughly 2 percentage points to Q2 growth. The stock currently trades at 5.9 times trailing revenue, down from 10.4x in 2024, reflecting market skepticism about sustaining high growth rates as enterprise contract renewals concentrate in fiscal Q4 2027.
🏗️ Construction segment grew 22% to $3.6B, outpacing overall revenue growth.
💰 MaintainX acquisition adds ~$60M revenue in H2 fiscal 2027.
⚠️ Emerging AI tools threaten business model, causing stock drop post-earnings.
📅 Q4 2027 renewals test sustainability without one-time transaction boosts.
📉 Autodesk shares fell 33% over the past year while the S&P 500 returned 13%, reflecting market skepticism about sustaining high growth rates.
🏗️ The construction business within the AECO product family grew 22% to $3.6 billion in fiscal 2026, significantly outpacing the company's overall 17.5% revenue growth.
🤝 Autodesk secured a major win with a world-class retailer adopting Forma and Tandem for digital twin operations across its North American portfolio.
💰 The MaintainX acquisition is projected to add approximately $60 million in revenue in the second half of fiscal 2027, representing less than 1% of the full-year guide.
📉 Autodesk's stock trades at 5.9x trailing revenue, a significant drop from 10.4x in 2024, suggesting the market prices in lower future growth expectations.
⚠️ Investors are concerned about potential disruption to Autodesk's business model from emerging AI tools, which caused shares to fall over 5% following Q2 earnings.
📉 A one-time transaction model boost added roughly 2 percentage points to Q2 revenue growth but will not recur in fiscal 2028.
📅 Enterprise contract renewals are heavily concentrated in fiscal Q4 2027, creating a key test for whether construction growth can sustain momentum without the one-off boost.
Bullish Signals
AECO revenue grew 22% to $3.6B in fiscal 2026.
Construction segment growth exceeds 20% due to low tech adoption.
Major retailer adopted Forma and Tandem for digital twins.
Risk Factors
Profit forecast missed estimates; shares fell >5% on AI disruption fears.
One-time model boost won't recur in fiscal 2028, slowing growth.
Heavy Q4 2027 renewals create critical test without one-off boost.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk's AECO product family grew 22% to $3.6 billion in fiscal 2026, significantly outperforming the company's overall 17.5% revenue growth.
The construction segment is growing at a rate exceeding 20%, driven by the industry's low baseline technology adoption which leaves substantial room for expansion.
Autodesk secured a strategic win with one of the world's largest retailers adopting its Forma and Tandem platforms for digital twin capabilities across a major North American portfolio.
Risk Factors
Autodesk's quarterly profit forecast came in below Wall Street estimates, causing shares to fall more than 5% in extended trading due to investor worries about AI disruption.
A one-time transaction model boost added roughly 2 percentage points to Q2 revenue growth but will not recur in fiscal 2028, potentially slowing overall growth rates.
Enterprise contract renewals are heavily concentrated in fiscal Q4 2027, creating a critical test for whether the company can maintain momentum without the one-off boost.
Autodesk Inc. reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of USD 2.046 billion, representing a 16 percent year-over-year increase. The company beat analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share (EPS), which reached USD 3.30 compared to the consensus estimate of USD 3.12. Despite this strong financial performance, Autodesk stock fell 1.12 percent in after-hours trading, closing at USD 217.15 on September 23, 2026.
Operating margins expanded significantly during the quarter, with GAAP operating margin reaching 29 percent, up four percentage points year over year. Non-GAAP operating margin also improved to 41 percent, reflecting better operational leverage. However, management noted that the acquisition of MaintainX will introduce additional costs into the fiscal outlook, creating a tension between improving efficiency and integration expenses.
Autodesk provided forward guidance for fiscal 2027 revenue ranging from USD 8.295 billion to USD 8.345 billion, with billings expected between USD 8.575 billion and USD 8.650 billion. Analyst sentiment remains favorable, with an average 12-month price target of approximately USD 318 set by the majority of analysts covering the stock.
Currently trading 33.5 percent below its 52-week high, Autodesk faces a market test regarding its ability to execute against its raised fiscal outlook while integrating new acquisitions. The company maintains a market capitalization of roughly USD 45.85 billion as of late September 2026.
📈 Q2 FY27 revenue rose 16% to USD 2.046 billion.
💰 Adjusted EPS beat consensus at USD 3.30.
🚀 GAAP operating margin expanded to 29%.
🔮 Fiscal 2027 guidance set between USD 8.295B and 8.345B.
Autodesk Inc. reported strong fiscal second-quarter 2027 results, driven by a 16 percent year-over-year revenue increase to USD 2.046 billion for the period ended July 31, 2026. The company achieved a GAAP operating margin of 29 percent and delivered non-GAAP earnings per share of USD 3.30, which exceeded the analyst consensus estimate of USD 3.12 by USD 0.18.
Key financial metrics included GAAP diluted EPS of USD 2.33, an operating profit of USD 599 million, and operating cash flow of USD 575 million for the quarter. These figures demonstrate robust cash conversion capabilities alongside the reported revenue growth, reinforcing the company's operational efficiency in its core CAD software business.
Looking ahead, Autodesk raised its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to a range between USD 8.295 billion and USD 8.345 billion. Additionally, the company increased its non-GAAP EPS guidance for the year to between USD 12.52 and USD 12.60, signaling management's confidence in continued execution and cash generation for the remainder of the fiscal year.
Despite the positive earnings beat and raised guidance, Autodesk shares traded at USD 219.48 on September 23, 2026, which is approximately 32.75 percent below its 52-week high of USD 326.35. Analyst sentiment remains bullish with 25 buy ratings and one strong-buy rating among 32 analysts, maintaining an average 12-month price target of USD 318.03.
📈 Autodesk Q2 2027 revenue rose 16% to USD 2.046 billion.
💰 GAAP operating margin hit 29% with USD 599 million profit.
🚀 Non-GAAP EPS of USD 3.30 beat estimates by USD 0.18.
🔭 Full-year 2027 revenue guidance raised to USD 8.295-8.345 billion.
📊 Analyst price target is USD 318.03 with 25 buy ratings.
📈 Autodesk reported fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of USD 2.046 billion, representing a 16 percent year-over-year increase.
💰 The company achieved a GAAP operating margin of 29 percent and generated USD 599 million in operating profit for the quarter.
🚀 Non-GAAP EPS reached USD 3.30, beating the consensus estimate of USD 3.12 by USD 0.18.
🔭 Autodesk raised full-year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to a range of USD 8.295 billion to USD 8.345 billion.
📈 Non-GAAP EPS guidance for fiscal 2027 was increased to a range between USD 12.52 and USD 12.60.
📊 Analysts maintain an average 12-month price target of USD 318.03, with 25 buy ratings among 32 total analysts.
📉 Shares traded at USD 219.48 on September 23, 2026, remaining 32.75 percent below the 52-week high of USD 326.35.
Bullish Signals
Q2 2027 revenue rose 16% to $2.046B.
Non-GAAP EPS of $3.30 beat consensus by $0.18.
Raised full-year 2027 revenue guidance to $8.295-$8.345B.
Increased non-GAAP EPS guidance to $12.52-$12.60.
Achieved 29% GAAP operating margin and $575M cash flow.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk reported fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of USD 2.046 billion, a significant 16 percent year-over-year increase that demonstrates strong top-line growth.
The company delivered non-GAAP EPS of USD 3.30, beating the analyst consensus of USD 3.12 by USD 0.18, indicating better-than-expected profitability.
Autodesk raised its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to a range between USD 8.295 billion and USD 8.345 billion, reflecting management's confidence in future performance.
Non-GAAP EPS guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2027 was increased to between USD 12.52 and USD 12.60, signaling strong earnings visibility.
The company achieved a healthy GAAP operating margin of 29 percent while generating USD 575 million in operating cash flow for the quarter.
Autodesk Inc. reported strong financial results for the quarter ended July 30, 2026, with revenue rising 16.1% year-over-year to USD 2.05 billion and adjusted earnings per share reaching USD 3.30, beating the consensus estimate of USD 3.12. Despite this operational success, the stock closed down 0.77% at USD 216.95 on September 18, 2026, reflecting a market that remains cautious about the company's valuation despite solid growth metrics.
Analyst sentiment regarding Autodesk is mixed following the annual Autodesk University conference held in mid-September. While Guggenheim reiterated its Buy rating with a USD 283 price target and Stifel maintained a Buy at USD 285, Goldman Sachs kept a Neutral stance at USD 265, and Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage with a Neutral rating near the current market price.
The company's net income surged 43.44% to USD 492 million, supported by free cash flow of USD 561 million. However, the disconnect between these robust earnings figures and the stock trading near its 52-week low suggests investors are weighing potential headwinds or expecting a higher valuation multiple before fully pricing in the growth trajectory.
📈 Revenue rose 16.1% to $2.05B for quarter ended July 30, 2026.
💰 Adjusted EPS hit $3.30, beating analyst consensus of $3.12.
📉 Stock fell 0.77% to $216.95 on Sept 18, 2026.
🤝 Guggenheim reiterated Buy rating with $283 price target.
⚖️ Goldman Sachs maintained Neutral rating with $265 price target.
📈 Autodesk revenue increased 16.1% year-over-year to USD 2.05 billion for the quarter ended July 30, 2026.
💰 Adjusted earnings per share reached USD 3.30, surpassing the analyst consensus of USD 3.12.
📉 Stock price declined 0.77% to close at USD 216.95 on September 18, 2026, trading near the lower end of its 52-week range.
🤝 Guggenheim reiterated a Buy rating with a USD 283 price target following the Autodesk University conference.
⚖️ Goldman Sachs maintained a Neutral rating with a USD 265 price target after the recent user conference.
🆕 Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a USD 215 price target close to current market levels.
💵 Net income jumped 43.44% to USD 492 million, driven by strong operational performance.
💧 Free cash flow reached USD 561 million for the quarter ended July 30, 2026.
📊 Market capitalization stands near USD 45.34 billion as of September 18, 2026.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 16.1% YoY to $2.05B.
EPS beat consensus at $3.30.
Net income surged 43.44% to $492M.
Free cash flow reached $561M.
Guggenheim reiterated Buy with $283 target.
Risk Factors
Stock declined 0.77% near 52-week low despite earnings beats.
Goldman Sachs maintains Neutral rating with $265 target.
Cantor Fitzgerald initiates Neutral coverage at $215.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk revenue grew 16.1% year-over-year to USD 2.05 billion in the latest quarter.
Adjusted earnings per share beat consensus estimates at USD 3.30 versus a forecast of USD 3.12.
Net income surged 43.44% to USD 492 million, demonstrating strong profitability growth.
Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) shares opened near $216 on September 21, 2026, following a post-earnings rebound that saw the stock close at approximately $216 on September 18, 2026. The company's performance was highlighted by a recent quarterly earnings beat where revenue grew by 16.1%, driving investor optimism despite the broader market showing mixed signals with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.39% while the Dow Jones slipped.
The stock traded within its established 52-week range of $185.50 to $326.54, positioning itself closer to the lower end than recent peaks. Trading volume remained consistent with recent averages, indicating steady institutional interest even as some analysts like Baird Financial Group adjusted their positions. The market environment favored technology and growth names over industrial benchmarks, providing a constructive backdrop for Autodesk's design software sector.
Looking ahead, Autodesk faces no immediate company-specific catalysts such as earnings releases or annual meetings within the next two weeks. However, the stock remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic factors, particularly interest rate expectations and central bank commentary that influence valuation multiples for software firms. Investors are monitoring how sentiment toward technology peers continues to shape trading interest in design-oriented companies like Autodesk as the new week progresses.
📈 Autodesk stock closed near $216 after beating earnings with 16.1% revenue growth.
📊 Shares traded between $185.50 and $326.54, staying above lows but below highs.
🏦 Baird sold shares citing current price levels and the established 52-week trading band.
🗓️ No company-specific events are scheduled for Autodesk before September 21, 2026.
📈 Autodesk stock closed near $216 on September 18, 2026, following a quarterly earnings beat with revenue growth of 16.1%.
📊 The shares traded within a 52-week range of $185.50 to $326.54, remaining above the low but below recent highs.
🏦 Baird Financial Group Inc. sold some Autodesk shares while citing current price levels and the established 52-week trading band.
📉 The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.39% on September 18, contrasting with a slight decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
🗓️ No widely publicized company-specific events are scheduled for Autodesk before the bell on September 21, 2026.
🌍 Broader market factors and interest rate expectations may influence Autodesk's trading range in the absence of direct news.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 16.1% on earnings beat.
Stock stable near $216 above $185.50 low.
Risk Factors
Baird sold shares, signaling institutional position adjustments.
Stock nears lower 52-week range limit ($185.50).
Bullish Signals
Autodesk reported a quarterly earnings beat with revenue growth of 16.1%, supporting share price stability near $216.
The stock closed comfortably above its 52-week low of $185.50, indicating resilience in the current trading environment.
Risk Factors
Baird Financial Group Inc. sold some Autodesk shares, signaling potential institutional position adjustments despite positive earnings.
The stock price remains near the lower portion of its 52-week range ($185.50 - $326.54), suggesting room for volatility or lack of immediate breakout momentum.
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) reported a strong quarterly performance, beating analyst estimates with revenue rising 16.1% year-over-year to USD 2.05 billion and adjusted earnings per share of USD 3.30, surpassing the consensus of USD 3.12. The company's stock traded near USD 216 on Nasdaq as of September 20, 2026, reflecting investor digestion of these positive results despite a modest intraday decline.
Wall Street sentiment remains broadly bullish, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and an average price target of USD 318.03, significantly above the current market price. Major analysts like Argus and BTIG maintain Buy ratings with targets ranging from USD 300 to USD 355, while institutional ownership stands at approximately 90.24%, indicating strong confidence in the firm's long-term trajectory.
Despite the earnings beat, some institutional investors reduced their stakes, such as Baird Financial Group which cut its position by over 58% in the second quarter. Analysts expect full-year EPS of roughly USD 9.71, suggesting that while recent growth is solid, valuation sensitivity and broader technology sector risks continue to influence trading levels near the lower end of the 52-week range.
📈 Revenue surged 16.1% YoY to $2.05 billion, beating estimates.
💰 EPS hit $3.30, surpassing consensus by $0.18.
📊 Moderate Buy rating with $318 price target vs $216 stock.
🏦 Institutional ownership stands at 90.24% despite some position cuts.
📉 Stock trades near 52-week low amid sector risk concerns.
📈 Autodesk beat quarterly estimates with revenue up 16.1% year-over-year to USD 2.05 billion.
💰 Adjusted earnings per share reached USD 3.30, exceeding the analyst consensus of USD 3.12 by USD 0.18.
📊 Analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus with an average price target of USD 318.03 versus the current stock price of roughly USD 216.
🏦 Institutional ownership remains high at approximately 90.24%, though some firms like Baird Financial Group reduced their positions significantly.
📅 Analysts project full-year EPS of about USD 9.71, supporting a forward valuation based on continued growth momentum.
📉 Stock traded near the lower end of its 52-week range (USD 185.50 to USD 326.54) as investors weighed recent gains against sector risks.
Bullish Signals
Revenue rose 16.1% YoY to USD 2.05 billion.
Risk Factors
Baird reduced position by 58.3%, selling over 5,900 shares.
Stock trades near lower end of 52-week range.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk beat quarterly revenue estimates with a 16.1% year-over-year increase to USD 2.05 billion, demonstrating strong operating momentum.
The company exceeded adjusted earnings per share expectations, reporting USD 3.30 against a consensus of USD 3.12.
Wall Street maintains a Moderate Buy consensus with an average price target of USD 318.03, implying significant upside potential from current levels.
Argus reaffirmed a Buy rating with a high price target of USD 355.00, reflecting confidence in the company's growth initiatives.
High institutional ownership at 90.24% suggests strong investor conviction, with major funds like Nykredit A S increasing their stakes.
Risk Factors
Baird Financial Group significantly reduced its position by 58.3% in the second quarter, selling over 5,900 shares.
The stock trades near the lower end of its 52-week range, indicating some market sensitivity to valuation and broader technology sector risks despite recent earnings strength.
Autodesk has successfully launched a $1 billion debt offering, splitting the issuance equally between two series of notes due in 2029 and 2033. The company issued $500 million of 5.05% notes maturing in 2029 and $500 million of 5.65% notes maturing in 2033, with interest payments scheduled semiannually starting March 15, 2027.
The primary purpose of this capital raise is to repay $1 billion in principal under Autodesk's existing term-loan credit agreement. After accounting for underwriting discounts totaling approximately $5.4 million and estimated additional offering expenses of roughly $2.5 million, the company expects net proceeds of about $993.2 million before other costs.
This transaction reflects a refinancing strategy where the new debt terms are incorporated into Autodesk's adjusted capitalization as of July 31, 2026. The offering was managed by a syndicate including Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, BofA Securities, and US Bancorp, though no established public trading market currently exists for these specific notes.
📄 Autodesk issued $1 billion in new debt notes to refinance existing credit agreement.
💰 Offering includes $500M of 5.05% notes due 2029 and $500M of 5.65% notes due 2033.
💵 Net proceeds estimated at $993.19 million after underwriting discounts and expenses.
📅 Interest payments semiannually on March 15 and September 15 starting March 15, 2027.
🔄 New debt reflected in Autodesk's adjusted capitalization as of July 31, 2026.
📄 Autodesk issued $1 billion in new debt notes to refinance its existing term-loan credit agreement.
💰 The offering consists of $500 million of 5.05% notes due 2029 and $500 million of 5.65% notes due 2033.
📅 Interest payments for both note series will be made semiannually on March 15 and September 15, commencing March 15, 2027.
💵 Net proceeds from the offering are estimated at $993.19 million after underwriting discounts and expenses.
🔄 The new debt issuance is reflected in Autodesk's adjusted capitalization as of July 31, 2026.
🏦 A syndicate led by Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, BofA Securities, and US Bancorp managed the book-run.
📉 There is currently no established public market for these specific notes, and Autodesk does not plan to list them on an exchange.
Bullish Signals
Executed $1B debt offering to refinance term-loan principal.
Secured ~$993.2M net proceeds for debt restructuring.
Risk Factors
No established public trading market for notes.
Notes cannot be easily traded immediately after issuance.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk successfully executed a $1 billion debt offering to refinance its term-loan principal, securing necessary liquidity without diluting equity.
The company secured net proceeds of approximately $993.2 million after underwriting discounts and expenses, providing clear capital for debt restructuring.
Risk Factors
There is currently no established public trading market for these notes, meaning they cannot be easily traded by investors immediately after issuance.
Autodesk (ADSK) stock has declined approximately 31% over the past twelve months, trading near a support level of $209.29 with a resistance ceiling around $272.34. Despite the significant price drop, the company's underlying business fundamentals remain robust, challenging the narrative that the business itself has broken down.
Revenue growth for the last twelve months reached 17.9%, surpassing the three-year average of 14.4%. This strength is primarily driven by the construction sector, where Autodesk Forma is growing at over 20% following a major contract with one of the world's largest retailers to serve as their common data environment for planning and design.
However, recent financial guidance in late August 2026 revealed mixed signals. While revenue projections exceeded Wall Street estimates, adjusted profit guidance came in below expectations due to the integration costs associated with its acquisition of MaintainX on August 3, 2026. The market reacted negatively, causing shares to fall more than 5% in extended trading as investors expressed concerns regarding AI disruption and the profitability timeline of the acquired entity.
Management expects operating margins to rise in fiscal 2028 despite the current drag from MaintainX. Investors are advised to monitor the renewal cohort of Autodesk's largest enterprise agreements, which management indicates will be concentrated in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027, as this is a critical indicator for sustaining growth at current price levels.
📉 Stock down 31% YTD near $209 support with resistance at $272.
💰 Revenue grew 17.9% YTD, beating the 14.4% three-year average.
🏗️ Construction business drives growth as Autodesk Forma expands over 20%.
📅 MaintainX acquisition closed Aug 3, 2026, currently impacting operating margins.
As of September 15, 2026, Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) trades at $228.93, trading below its 50-day average of $232.25 and 200-day average of $245.11. The stock exhibits a neutral-to-bearish technical setup with an RSI of 38, indicating it is in the lower half of its recent trading range. Wall Street consensus remains bullish, with 36 analysts maintaining a 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $312.50, implying approximately 36.5% upside potential from current levels.
Fundamentally, Autodesk demonstrates strong operational efficiency with a net profit margin of 21.08% and an operating margin of 29.23%, both significantly outperforming sector averages. Analysts project robust revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year and 11.00% for the following year, alongside an expected 12.7% earnings per share (EPS) growth next year. These figures signal continued expansion opportunities and sustained profitability in the software sector.
However, insider trading activity presents a notable cautionary signal. Insiders have sold approximately $15 million worth of stock compared to only $2.7 million in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention despite the positive analyst consensus. Long-term simulations by CleaRank project a base case price near $336 by 2030, representing a 1.5x return over four years, though downside scenarios could see prices drop to around $130.
📈 Wall Street consensus targets $312.50, implying 36.5% upside from current price.
💰 Revenue growth projected at 16% this year and 11% next year.
📊 Net profit margin of 21.08% significantly outperforms sector averages.
📉 Stock trades below key moving averages with RSI of 38.
⚠️ Insiders sold $15M versus $2.7M purchases, creating a moderate sell signal.
📈 Autodesk trades at $228.93 with a Wall Street consensus price target of $312.50, indicating 36.5% upside potential according to 36 analysts.
💰 The company projects revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year and 11.00% for the next year, signaling strong expansion.
📊 Autodesk boasts a net profit margin of 21.08% and an operating margin of 29.23%, significantly outperforming sector averages.
📉 The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with an RSI of 38, indicating a negative short-term trend.
⚠️ Insiders have sold approximately $15 million worth of stock versus only $2.7 million in purchases, creating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
🔮 CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation projects a base case price near $336 for ADSK by 2030, assuming no dividends are reinvested.
Bullish Signals
Wall Street consensus maintains 'Buy' rating with $312.50 price target.
Analysts project 16% revenue growth and 12.7% EPS growth next year.
Net profit margin of 21.08% outperforms sector averages.
Risk Factors
Insiders sold $15M vs $2.7M buys, triggering 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
Stock trades below 50/200-day averages with bearish RSI of 38.29.
Bullish Signals
Wall Street consensus maintains a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $312.50, representing significant institutional confidence in future performance.
Analysts project revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year and 11.00% for the next year, alongside a projected 12.7% EPS growth next year.
Autodesk boasts a net profit margin of 21.08% and an operating margin of 29.23%, significantly outperforming sector averages and demonstrating efficient operations.
Risk Factors
Insiders have sold approximately $15 million worth of stock versus only $2.7 million in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with a bearish RSI of 38.29, indicating a negative short-term trend that could persist.
Autodesk (ADSK) shares have declined for seven consecutive trading days, resulting in a cumulative drop of 21.6% from its share price and erasing approximately $12 billion in market value, leaving the company with a market capitalization of about $45 billion.
Despite the persistent selling pressure, Autodesk's underlying fundamentals demonstrate continued strength relative to the broader market. The company has achieved revenue growth of 17.9% over the last twelve months, significantly outpacing the S&P 500 median of 8.4%, while maintaining an operating margin of 27.9% compared to the index median of 18.6%.
Autodesk also boasts a free cash flow yield of 6.3%. Although its price-to-earnings multiple of 27.1 is higher than the S&P 500 median of 23.0, it remains below the Information Technology sector median of 35.9, suggesting the stock may be trading at a discount relative to peers despite strong profitability metrics.
Analysts note that such streaks serve as signals regarding market momentum rather than direct instructions to trade. The disconnect between the sharp price decline and robust financial performance suggests investors are re-evaluating the company's valuation in light of recent selling pressure.
📉 Stock fell 21.6% over seven days, erasing $12B in market value.
📈 Revenue grew 17.9%, outpacing S&P 500 median of 8.4%.
🛡️ Operating margins hit 27.9%, significantly above S&P 500 median.
💵 Free cash flow yield stands at 6.3%.
📊 P/E multiple is 27.1, below IT sector median but above S&P 500.
📉 Autodesk stock has fallen for seven consecutive trading days, erasing a cumulative 21.6% from its share price.
💰 The decline has reduced Autodesk's market value by approximately $12 billion to a current level of about $45 billion.
📈 Revenue growth over the last twelve months reached 17.9%, significantly exceeding the S&P 500 median of 8.4%.
🛡️ Operating margins stand at 27.9%, well ahead of the S&P 500 median of 18.6%.
💵 The company maintains a free cash flow yield of 6.3%.
📊 Autodesk's price-to-earnings multiple is 27.1, which is above the S&P 500 median but below the Information Technology sector median.
🔄 The seven-day streak represents a momentum signal rather than a definitive fundamental breakdown.
🏆 Analysts suggest using the lower price to re-evaluate the underlying business fundamentals.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 17.9%, beating S&P 500 median of 8.4%.
Operating margins at 27.9%, well ahead of S&P 500 median.
Free cash flow yield stands healthy at 6.3%.
Fundamentals show continued strength despite recent stock price decline.
Risk Factors
Shares declined 21.6% over seven days.
Market value erased $12 billion.
P/E multiple of 27.1 exceeds S&P 500 median.
Bullish Signals
Revenue growth over the last twelve months reached 17.9%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500 median of 8.4%.
Operating margins are strong at 27.9%, well ahead of the S&P 500 median of 18.6%.
The company maintains a healthy free cash flow yield of 6.3%.
Despite the stock price decline, fundamental metrics indicate continued business strength and profitability.
Risk Factors
Shares have declined for seven consecutive trading days, erasing a cumulative 21.6% from the share price.
The persistent selling has erased approximately $12 billion in market value.
The current price-to-earnings multiple of 27.1 is higher than the S&P 500 median of 23.0, indicating a premium valuation relative to the broad index.
Autodesk (ADSK) shares have declined for six consecutive trading days, resulting in a cumulative loss of 19% and erasing approximately $11 billion from the company's market capitalization. The stock currently trades at roughly $217.9 per share, prompting investors to reassess whether this price level reflects the underlying business fundamentals or represents a potential opportunity.
Despite the significant recent sell-off, Autodesk's financial performance over the last twelve months remains robust. Revenue growth of 17.9% significantly outpaces the S&P 500 median of 8.4%, while operating margins stand at 27.9%, well above the index median of 18.6%. The company maintains a price-to-earnings multiple of 27.9, which is higher than the broad market but lower than the Information Technology sector average.
Analysts and financial observers note that the stock's recent weakness appears disconnected from its strong operational metrics, including a healthy free cash flow yield of 6.1%. While the S&P 500 was essentially flat during this streak, Autodesk's specific decline suggests a momentum-driven event rather than a fundamental deterioration in the company's profitability or growth trajectory.
📉 ADSK shares dropped 19% over six days, erasing $11B in value.
Berenberg reiterated a Buy rating on Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) despite trimming its price target to $333, citing strong core business growth and improving profitability following an impressive second quarter. The company reported revenues of $2.05 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP operating margins expanding to 41% and earnings per share reaching $3.30, surpassing Wall Street expectations.
Autodesk demonstrated robust cash generation with free cash flow rising 24% to $561 million and Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) growing 12% to $5.25 billion, reinforcing the strength of its subscription model. However, analysts note a divergence between revenue growth and billings, which increased only 10%, suggesting potential headwinds in new bookings. Additionally, hedge fund holdings slipped to 51 funds, though major holders like Arrowstreet Capital increased their stakes.
The stock faces competitive pressure from AI-native design tools and large technology firms integrating AI into productivity software. While the acquisition of MaintainX aims to expand Autodesk's presence in operations and asset management, its ability to justify a premium valuation depends on execution. Berenberg acknowledges that while ADSK offers solid fundamentals, some investors may prefer other AI stocks for higher short-term upside potential.
📈 Berenberg maintains Buy on ADSK, lowering price target to $333.
💰 Q2 revenue rose 16% YoY to $2.05B driven by AECO gains.
📊 Non-GAAP EPS hit $3.30, beating expectations of $3.12.
⚠️ Billings grew only 10%, lagging the 16% revenue growth pace.
🤖 Competition intensifies from AI-native design tools and cloud platforms.
📈 Berenberg maintains a Buy rating on Autodesk (ADSK) despite lowering its price target to $333 from $335.
💰 Autodesk reported Q2 revenues of $2.05 billion, representing a 16% year-over-year increase driven by strong AECO gains.
📊 Non-GAAP operating margins expanded to 41%, with non-GAAP EPS reaching $3.30, exceeding analyst expectations of $3.12.
💵 Free cash flow surged 24% year over year to $561 million, highlighting strong cash conversion capabilities.
📅 Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) grew 12% to $5.25 billion, providing visibility into future subscription revenue.
⚠️ Billings growth of 10% lagged behind revenue growth of 16%, raising concerns about the pace of new bookings.
🤖 Autodesk faces intensifying competition from AI-native design tools and cloud-native engineering platforms.
🏢 Hedge fund holdings decreased to 51 funds in Q2, though Arrowstreet Capital increased its stake by 6%.
🛒 The acquisition of MaintainX aims to strengthen operations and asset management but carries valuation execution risks.
📉 Citi raised its price target to $276 while maintaining a Neutral rating due to limited organic growth catalysts.
Bullish Signals
Berenberg reiterated Buy rating after impressive Q2.
Non-GAAP margins improved significantly to 41%.
Free cash flow increased 24% year over year.
RPO grew 12% to $5.25 billion.
EPS of $3.30 beat Wall Street expectations.
Risk Factors
Billings grew only 10% vs. 16% revenue, signaling booking slowdown.
Faces competition from AI-native tools and large tech firms.
Hedge fund holdings slipped to 51 funds in Q2.
Citi Neutral rating cites lack of organic growth catalysts.
Bullish Signals
Berenberg reiterated a Buy rating on Autodesk (ADSK) following an impressive second quarter with revenue exceeding guidance.
Autodesk (ADSK) shares fell 8% on September 4, 2026, closing at $218 after a sector-wide rout triggered by Adobe's surprise CEO transition. While Autodesk reported no specific bad news, the stock absorbed significant selling pressure as investors repriced fears regarding generative AI disruption to legacy licensing models. The decline was disproportionate to peers like Adobe and Workday, suggesting underlying concerns about Autodesk's valuation and cash flow trajectory were already priced in before the broader market move.
Despite the recent price drop, fundamental performance remains mixed but resilient. Autodesk beat revenue expectations with $2.05 billion in fiscal Q2 revenue (up 16.1% year-over-year) and non-GAAP EPS of $3.30 versus a $3.12 consensus. However, the company missed third-quarter EPS guidance of $3.04-$3.09 and narrowed its full-year free cash flow outlook to $2.725-$2.750 billion due to costs associated with the MaintainX acquisition. This guidance miss left the stock vulnerable to sentiment-driven selling.
Analyst sentiment remains strongly bullish despite the sharp price decline, creating a significant valuation gap. Of the 36 analysts covering Autodesk, 24 rate it as a Buy or Outperform, with zero Underperform or Sell ratings. The mean price target stands at $315, representing a 45% upside from Friday's close and marking the widest target-to-close ratio in six quarters. Coverage has expanded to 34 analysts, indicating growing interest despite the stock trading at 17 times forward earnings, well below its historical average of 28x.
Long-term models suggest substantial recovery potential if sentiment stabilizes. TIKR's mid-case model values Autodesk at $379 by January 2031, implying a 74% total return from current levels or approximately 13% annualized over the next four and a half years. This valuation assumes a multiple reset to around 15x forward earnings, reflecting the market's current skepticism about growth premiums in the enterprise software sector. The divergence between falling stock prices and stable analyst targets suggests the recent decline is driven by macro sentiment rather than deteriorating fundamentals.
📉 Stock dropped 8% on sector-wide sell-off unrelated to fundamentals.
💰 Q2 revenue rose 16.1% YoY with EPS beating consensus.
⚠️ Missed Q3 guidance due to MaintainX acquisition costs.
🎯 Analysts see 45% upside with mean target of $315.
📈 Trades at 17x forward earnings, well below historical average.
📉 Autodesk stock dropped 8% to $218 on September 4, 2026, following a sector-wide sell-off triggered by Adobe's CEO transition news.
💰 Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $2.05 billion, up 16.1% year-over-year, while non-GAAP EPS beat consensus at $3.30.
⚠️ The company missed third-quarter EPS guidance of $3.04-$3.09 and narrowed full-year free cash flow guidance to $2.725-$2.750 billion due to MaintainX acquisition costs.
📊 Analyst sentiment remains bullish with 24 Buy/Outperform ratings out of 36 total, and zero Underperform or Sell calls.
🎯 The mean analyst price target is $315, representing a 45% upside from the current trading price of $218.
📈 Coverage has expanded to 34 analysts, with the buy count rising from 19 to 24 over the last quarter.
💵 Autodesk trades at 17 times forward earnings, significantly below its historical average of 28x and near a 15x low.
🔮 TIKR's mid-case model projects a $379 valuation by January 2031, implying a 74% total return from current levels.
🧠 The recent price decline is attributed to sentiment-driven repricing of AI disruption fears rather than fundamental deterioration.
Bullish Signals
Revenue grew 16.1% YoY to $2.05B.
Beat EPS with $3.30 vs $3.12 consensus.
24 Buy ratings among 36 analysts.
Price target implies 45% upside.
Trades at 17x forward earnings.
Risk Factors
Missed Q3 EPS guidance of $3.14.
Narrowed full-year FCF guidance due to MaintainX costs.
Shares fell 8% on disproportionate selling pressure.
Autodesk (ADSK) shares fell 7.3% following its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, driven primarily by profit outlook details that tempered investor enthusiasm despite a strong revenue beat. While the company reported fiscal Q2 revenue of $2.046 billion, representing a 16% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.30 which exceeded prior guidance, the market reaction was negative due to softer forward-looking statements.
The company raised its full-year revenue outlook to between $8.295 billion and $8.345 billion but maintained non-GAAP operating margin guidance around 39%. This flat margin guidance is attributed to dilution from the MaintainX acquisition offsetting stronger underlying margins, leading investors to view profitability growth as stalled in the near term.
Forward guidance for the third quarter showed Q3 revenue expected between $2.125 billion and $2.140 billion with non-GAAP EPS of $3.04 to $3.09. Additionally, full-year free cash flow guidance was narrowed to a range of $2.725 billion to $2.750 billion, which includes approximately $45 million in transaction expenses related to the MaintainX deal.
Despite the stock decline, insider trading data reveals significant buying activity from executives including CEO Andrew Anagnost and CFO Janesh Moorjani over the past six months. Institutional investors also showed mixed signals, with major firms like Invesco and JPMorgan Chase adding substantial positions while others reduced holdings.
Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2027, ending July 31, 2026. The company's revenue grew 16% year over year on a reported basis and 14% on a constant currency basis, reaching $2.05 billion. This growth reflects consistent execution and momentum within the company's core business segments.
CEO Andrew Anagnost highlighted the strategic importance of AI in transforming connected data into actionable project intelligence to help customers manage capacity constraints. The company emphasizes its position as a trusted platform combining rich context with accurate, fast, and affordable AI models for the built world.
CFO Janesh Moorjani announced that fiscal 2027 billings and revenue growth guidance have been increased to reflect higher underlying growth expectations and incremental contributions from the MaintainX acquisition. While non-GAAP margin guidance remains unchanged due to acquisition-related dilution, free cash flow expectations were narrowed to account for operating costs and approximately $45 million in transaction expenses related to the MaintainX deal.
Autodesk continues to focus on four primary product families: AECO, AutoCAD/MFG, and Media & Entertainment. The company is actively managing its transition from multi-year discounts to a new transaction model while integrating MaintainX, which adds to revenue but impacts short-term cash flow and margin metrics.
📈 Q2 FY2027 revenue reached $2.05 billion, up 16% year-over-year.
💰 MaintainX acquisition added revenue but caused margin dilution and costs.
🧠 CEO Anagnost highlights AI converting data into actionable project intelligence.
🔄 Sales reorganization shifts from multi-year discounts to new transaction model.
📈 Autodesk reported second quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $2.05 billion, representing a 16% year-over-year increase.
💰 Revenue grew 14% on a constant currency basis, demonstrating resilience against foreign exchange headwinds.
🚀 Management increased fiscal 2027 billings and revenue growth guidance to reflect higher underlying growth expectations.
🤝 The MaintainX acquisition is contributing incremental revenue but resulted in margin dilution and $45 million in transaction expenses.
💸 Free cash flow expectations were narrowed to account for operating costs and financing costs associated with the MaintainX integration.
🧠 CEO Andrew Anagnost emphasized that AI turns connected data into actionable project intelligence to ease capacity constraints.
📉 Non-GAAP margin guidance remains unchanged, balancing higher underlying margins from operating leverage against acquisition-related dilution.
🔄 The company is proceeding with a sales reorganization and transitioning from multi-year discounts to a new transaction model.
🏗️ Autodesk's product portfolio spans Architecture, Engineering, Construction (AECO), Manufacturing (MFG), and Media & Entertainment (M&E).
📊 Remaining performance obligations (RPO) are being managed as the company winds down multi-year Maintenance-to-Subscription renewals.
📅 The company will host a conference call today at 5 p.m. ET to discuss these results in further detail.
Bullish Signals
Autodesk reported second quarter revenue of $2.05 billion, a significant 16% year-over-year increase driven by strong execution.
Management raised fiscal 2027 billings and revenue growth guidance, signaling confidence in higher underlying business growth.
The MaintainX acquisition is successfully contributing incremental revenue to the company's top line.
Operating leverage is driving higher underlying margins despite the integration costs associated with the MaintainX deal.
CEO Andrew Anagnost highlighted successful AI strategy implementation, positioning the platform as essential for customers facing capacity constraints.
Risk Factors
Free cash flow expectations were narrowed to reflect approximately $45 million in transaction expenses related to the MaintainX acquisition.
The integration of MaintainX is causing margin dilution, which offsets some of the benefits from operating leverage and optimization.
The company is winding down multi-year Maintenance-to-Subscription renewals, which temporarily weighs on unbilled deferred revenue and RPO growth.
Autodesk faces risks related to the integration of MaintainX, including challenges associated with combining businesses and potential customer acceptance issues.
Amundi reduced its stake in Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) by 16.3% in the first quarter, selling 409,593 shares and holding a remaining position valued at approximately $504.8 million. While Amundi trimmed its holdings, several other institutional investors increased their positions during the same period. Rokos Capital Management acquired a new stake worth about $3.5 million, Empowered Funds boosted its stake by 127.1%, and Quantinno Capital increased its holdings by 17.8%. These shifts indicate mixed but active institutional interest in the software giant.
Autodesk stock opened at $245.25, trading above its 50-day simple moving average of $214.47 but below its 200-day average of $233.86. The company maintains a market capitalization of $51.75 billion with a P/E ratio of 35.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78. Analyst consensus remains moderately bullish, with an average price target of $323.40, though recent rating adjustments from major firms like BMO Capital Markets and Wells Fargo have lowered their individual targets.
Insider trading activity shows mixed signals regarding management confidence. Director John T. Cahill doubled his personal stake by purchasing 2,000 shares at an average cost of $189.20, while Director Stacy J. Smith increased her position by nearly 15% in a transaction valued at roughly $794,000. Collectively, insiders have purchased 7,935 shares worth approximately $1.67 million over the last 90 days, representing 0.14% of the company's total stock.
📉 Amundi sold shares, reducing holding to $504.8 million.
📈 Empowered Funds increased stake by 127.1% to $9.1 million.
💰 Directors Cahill and Smith bought shares, doubling and increasing stakes.
📊 Autodesk trades at $323.40 target with 35.75 P/E ratio.
📉 Amundi sold 409,593 shares of Autodesk, reducing its holding by 16.3% to a remaining value of $504.8 million.
📈 Rokos Capital Management acquired a new stake worth approximately $3.5 million in the first quarter.
📈 Empowered Funds LLC increased its Autodesk position by 127.1%, now owning shares valued at $9.1 million.
📈 Quantinno Capital Management LP boosted its holdings by 17.8% to a total value of $92.3 million.
📉 BMO Capital Markets lowered its price target from $279.00 to $262.00 with a 'market perform' rating.
📉 Wells Fargo & Company cut its price target from $350.00 to $330.00 while maintaining an 'overweight' rating.
📈 UBS Group reaffirmed its 'buy' rating on Autodesk shares.
📈 BNP Paribas Exane initiated coverage with an 'outperform' rating and a $295.00 price objective.
💰 Director John T. Cahill purchased 2,000 shares at an average cost of $189.20, doubling his personal stake.
💰 Director Stacy J. Smith acquired 3,435 shares for a total value of $794,068.95, increasing her position by 14.88%.
📊 Autodesk trades at a P/E ratio of 35.75 with a market cap of $51.75 billion and a beta of 1.32.
📉 The stock currently has a consensus rating of 'Moderate Buy' with an average analyst target price of $323.40.
Bullish Signals
Institutional investors increased holdings; Empowered Funds up +127.1%.
Insiders net buyers over 90 days, purchasing 7,935 shares worth $1.67M.
Director John T. Cahill doubled ownership by buying 2,000 shares at $189.20.
Analysts rate 'Moderate Buy' with average price target of $323.40.
Risk Factors
Amundi reduced stake by 16.3% in Q1.
BMO lowered target to $262 and downgraded.
Wells Fargo cut target from $350 to $330.
Loop Capital reduced objective to $235.
Stock trades below 200-day moving average of $233.86.
Bullish Signals
Multiple institutional investors, including Empowered Funds LLC (+127.1%), Quantinno Capital Management LP (+17.8%), and Rokos Capital Management (new stake), increased their holdings in the first quarter.
Insiders have been net buyers over the last 90 days, purchasing a total of 7,935 shares worth $1.67 million, indicating management confidence.
Director John T. Cahill doubled his personal stock ownership by purchasing 2,000 shares at an average price of $189.20.
The company maintains a 'Moderate Buy' consensus rating from analysts with an average price target of $323.40, which is significantly higher than the current trading price.
BNP Paribas Exane initiated coverage with an 'outperform' rating and a specific price objective of $295.00.
Risk Factors
Amundi, a significant institutional holder, reduced its stake by 16.3% in the first quarter.
BMO Capital Markets lowered its price target from $279.00 to $262.00 and downgraded the rating to 'market perform'.
Wells Fargo & Company cut its price target from $350.00 to $330.00.
Loop Capital reduced its price objective from $250.00 to $235.00 and assigned a 'hold' rating.
The stock is trading below its 200-day simple moving average of $233.86, suggesting potential short-term weakness relative to long-term trends.
WS Amati Global Innovation Fund released its second quarter 2026 investor letter, highlighting a market environment dominated by geopolitical conflict and enthusiasm for artificial intelligence. While the fund outperformed benchmarks through diversified exposure to semiconductors and data center construction, it noted significant investor skepticism toward software and IT services due to fears regarding automation, despite acknowledging their long-term potential.
The fund specifically addressed Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK), noting that equity markets have written off the company amidst AI enthusiasm. The firm views this as an attractive opportunity, arguing that specialist software providers in regulated industries are difficult to replicate and foundational for clients. They believe Autodesk is embracing AI to improve offerings and efficiency, creating a runway for a more balanced market view over a 3-5 year horizon.
Despite the bullish thesis on value, the fund indicated that Autodesk is not among their top picks for higher returns within shorter time frames compared to other AI stocks. The letter reported that hedge fund holdings of Autodesk decreased from 81 portfolios in the previous quarter to 67 at the end of the first quarter. The article concludes by directing readers to external reports on oversold stocks and specific 'cheapest AI stock' recommendations.
📅 WS Amati released Q2 2026 letter favoring AI over software services skepticism.
💰 Autodesk closed at $209.75 with $44.29B market cap and 7.43% one-month gain.
📉 Stock lost 31.11% over 52 weeks as hedge fund holdings dropped from 81 to 67.
💡 Fund views Autodesk as undervalued due to regulated industry software barriers and AI adoption.
⏳ Firm maintains 3-5 year horizon, preferring Autodesk over other high-upside AI stocks.
📅 WS Amati Global Innovation Fund released its Q2 2026 investor letter, highlighting market enthusiasm for AI versus skepticism toward software services.
💰 Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) closed at $209.75 per share on July 24, 2026, with a market capitalization of $44.29 billion.
📉 The stock posted a one-month return of 7.43% but lost 31.11% over the past 52 weeks.
💡 The fund argues that Autodesk is undervalued because specialist software in regulated industries is difficult to replicate and foundational for clients.
🤖 Autodesk is noted as embracing AI to improve its offerings and customer efficiency, countering fears of automation replacing jobs.
⏳ The firm maintains a 3-5 year investment horizon to allow a more balanced market view to assert itself regarding the company.
📉 Hedge fund interest in Autodesk declined, with portfolios holding the stock dropping from 81 in Q1 to 67 at the end of Q1 2026.
🚫 The fund explicitly states that while they acknowledge Autodesk's risk and potential, they believe other AI stocks offer higher returns in shorter time frames.
🔗 The article references external reports on 'oversold stocks' and claims a specific alternative AI stock has 10,000% upside potential.
Bullish Signals
Equity markets undervalue Autodesk despite years of demand growth.
Highly regulated industries create a strong moat for specialists.
Foundational technology ensures continued relevance in customer ecosystems.
Active AI adoption aligns with long-term innovation frontiers.
3-5 year horizon reflects confidence in long-term value.
Risk Factors
Hedge fund holdings dropped from 81 to 67.
Fund favors other AI stocks for higher returns.
Autodesk excluded from top 40 popular stocks list.
Less immediate upside than competing AI stocks.
Bullish Signals
The fund views Autodesk as an attractive investment opportunity because equity markets have written off the company despite having many years of demand growth ahead.
Specialist software providers into highly regulated industries are described as extremely difficult to replicate, creating a moat for companies like Autodesk.
Autodesk is recognized as being foundational for clients that use its technology, ensuring continued relevance and integration within customer ecosystems.
The company is actively embracing AI to improve its own offering and the efficiency of its customers, aligning with long-term innovation frontiers.
The fund's 3-5 year time horizon suggests confidence that the current market pricing does not reflect the company's long-term value proposition.
Risk Factors
Hedge fund portfolios holding Autodesk decreased from 81 in the previous quarter to 67 at the end of the first quarter, indicating a reduction in institutional interest.
The fund explicitly states that their conviction lies in other AI stocks that they believe hold greater promise for delivering higher returns within a shorter time frame.
Autodesk is not included on the fund's list of '40 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds Heading Into 2026', signaling it is not a primary focus for capital allocation.
The article suggests Autodesk has less immediate upside potential compared to other AI stocks, which are viewed as more promising for near-term performance.
Andra AP fonden reduced its position in Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) by 33.3% during the first quarter, selling 36,118 shares to hold a remaining stake of 72,462 shares valued at $17.3 million. While this major institutional investor trimmed holdings, several other institutions increased their stakes, including Torren Management LLC, Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC, Kemnay Advisory Services Inc., and Archer Investment Corp, which raised its position by 112.2% to own 87 shares.
Autodesk's stock opened at $217.80 with a market capitalization of $45.96 billion and a P/E ratio of 31.75. The company maintains strong analyst support, with Jefferies Financial Group upgrading the stock to a 'strong-buy' rating and BTIG Research issuing a $300 target price. However, sentiment is mixed as BMO Capital Markets lowered its price target from $279 to $262 and Weiss Ratings downgraded the stock slightly.
Insider activity remains positive with directors John T. Cahill and Stacy J. Smith purchasing significant shares totaling over $1.1 million in recent transactions, bringing total insider ownership to 0.14%. The company continues to dominate the AEC and manufacturing sectors with its industry-standard CAD software portfolio, including AutoCAD and Revit, while cloud platforms like BIM 360 drive collaboration services.
📉 Andra AP trimmed stake by 33.3% to 72,462 shares worth $17.3M.
📈 Archer Investment Corp raised position by 112.2%.
💰 Market cap is $45.96B with P/E of 31.75 near $217.80 price.
👔 Directors purchased over $1.1M in shares recently.
📊 Analyst consensus 'Moderate Buy' with average target of $326.10.
📉 Andra AP fonden trimmed Autodesk holdings by 33.3% in Q1, reducing its stake to 72,462 shares worth $17.3 million.
📈 Multiple institutional investors including Archer Investment Corp increased their stakes, with Archer raising its position by 112.2%.
💰 Autodesk trades at a market cap of $45.96 billion with a P/E ratio of 31.75 and a current stock price near $217.80.
📊 Analyst consensus is 'Moderate Buy' with an average target price of $326.10, though BMO Capital Markets lowered its target to $262.
👔 Directors John T. Cahill and Stacy J. Smith purchased over $1.1 million in shares recently, signaling insider confidence.
🛠️ The company offers industry-standard design tools like AutoCAD and Revit for architecture, engineering, and media sectors.
☁️ Autodesk's portfolio includes cloud-based platforms such as BIM 360 and Autodesk Construction Cloud for project management.
📉 Stock price range over the last 52 weeks spans from a low of $185.50 to a high of $329.09.
Bullish Signals
Jefferies upgraded stock to 'strong-buy' rating.
BTIG set $300 target price.
Insiders bought $1.1M in shares recently.
90.24% institutional ownership remains high.
Risk Factors
Major fund cut holdings by 33.3%.
BMO lowered target to $262 and downgraded.
Weiss Ratings downgraded outlook to 'hold (c-)'.
Stock trades below 200-day moving average of $237.33.
Bullish Signals
Jefferies Financial Group upgraded Autodesk to a 'strong-buy' rating, indicating strong institutional confidence in the company's prospects.
BTIG Research issued a $300 target price on the stock, suggesting potential upside from current levels.
Insider buying activity is robust, with directors purchasing over $1.1 million in shares recently, totaling 7,935 shares bought by insiders in three months.
Autodesk maintains a dominant market position with industry-standard CAD software serving global customers in architecture and manufacturing.
Institutional ownership remains high at 90.24%, indicating continued interest from major investment firms despite some trimming.
Risk Factors
Andra AP fonden significantly reduced its Autodesk holdings by 33.3% in the first quarter, potentially signaling a lack of near-term growth visibility for this large investor.
BMO Capital Markets decreased its price target from $279 to $262 and downgraded the rating to 'market perform', reflecting cautious sentiment among some analysts.
Weiss Ratings downgraded Autodesk from a 'hold (c)' to a 'hold (c-)', indicating a slight deterioration in credit or fundamental outlook.
The stock is trading below its 200-day simple moving average of $237.33, suggesting short-term weakness relative to longer-term trends.
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_ga
Distinguishes unique visitors (Google Analytics)
2 years
_ga_*
Maintains session state (Google Analytics)
2 years
Personalization cookies
Remember your quiz progress and work out your investing level so we can recommend knowledge-base articles and the right reading depth for you. Stored only on your device.
Cookie
Purpose
Duration
bes_user_level
Your quiz-derived investing level, used to tailor content
