Elevance Health Inc (ELV) — MCH Advisory Research
MCH Advisory Research maintains a HOLD rating on Elevance Health (ELV) with a 12-month probability-weighted target price of $371, representing an -8% downside from the current spot price of $402. The firm's triangulated fair value sits at $326 (-19%), driven by a conservative intrinsic DCF...
Bullish Signals
- Narrow moat from BCBS scale and Carelon growth.
- Trades at discount to peers, implying multiple expansion.
Bearish Signals
- Stock trades 19% rich vs. DCF anchor.
- Medical cost spike risks earnings severely.
- $22.2B net debt limits buybacks and adds risk.
- Cash flow converts at only 76% of income.
- Medicaid redeterminations strip members and pressure margins.