Texas Instruments Incorporated

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Bullish +75

Was There Any Sign Texas Instruments Stock Would Run?

πŸ“ˆ TXN shares returned 67% in the twelve months ending October 8, 2026, vastly outpacing the S&P 500's 17% gain.

πŸ“‰ Revenue contraction slowed significantly from a 15.6% drop in Q3 2024 to a mere 1.7% decline by Q4 2024.

πŸš€ Actual revenue growth began in early 2025, rising 11.1% in Q1 and accelerating to 16.4% in Q2.

πŸ’° Industrial and automotive customers account for approximately 70% of the company's total revenue.

🏭 Management emphasized that geopolitically dependable capacity is becoming a critical competitive advantage.

πŸ“Š Revenue grew 22.8% year-over-year in Q2 2026, marking an acceleration from the previous quarter's 18.6% growth.

πŸ’΅ Industrial sales rose around 30% while data center sales doubled in the second quarter of 2026.

πŸ“ˆ The company is trading at 43.4 times earnings, approaching its ten-year high of 44.9x.

πŸ”’ Customers are placing a higher premium on component origin due to trade wars and tariff disruptions.

πŸ—“οΈ Management forecasts Q3 2026 revenue between $5.65 billion and $6.15 billion following the strong Q2.

Bullish Signals
  • Shares returned 67% in twelve months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 17% gain.
  • Revenue contraction slowed from 15.6% to 1.7% by Q4 2024 before turning into growth.
  • Revenue grew 22.8% year-over-year in Q2 2026, accelerating from the prior quarter's 18.6% growth.
  • Industrial sales rose approximately 30% and data center sales doubled in Q2 2026.
  • The company successfully raised prices while maintaining a growing backlog of orders.
  • Geopolitically dependable capacity is now a validated competitive advantage for the firm.
  • Stock trades at 43.4 times earnings, sitting close to its ten-year high of 44.9x.
Full Analysis
Texas Instruments (TXN) shares surged 67% over the twelve months ending October 8, 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 17% gain. This substantial stock appreciation was driven primarily by a recovery in demand for the company's chips within industrial and data center sectors. The performance highlights a successful turnaround that began well before the broader market rally. The earliest indicators of this recovery emerged in late 2024, as financial filings showed the rate of revenue contraction slowing from 15.6% to just 1.7% by the fourth quarter. By early 2025, actual growth materialized with revenue rising 11.1% in Q1 and accelerating to 16.4% in Q2. Management noted that industrial and automotive customers, comprising roughly 70% of revenue, were key drivers of this expansion. Current financial data confirms that growth is accelerating further, with revenue jumping 22.8% in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the prior year. The company's backlog has increased, and executives have begun raising prices, validating their earlier strategic emphasis on geopolitically dependable capacity. With industrial sales up around 30% and data center sales doubling, TXN is trading at a valuation near its ten-year high. Looking ahead, management forecasts Q3 revenue between $5.65 billion and $6.15 billion, following the strong second quarter. The company's ability to supply from reliable capacity has become a distinct competitive advantage, particularly as customers prioritize component origin amidst geopolitical tensions and tariff disruptions affecting global supply chains.