Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Somewhat Bullish +50

Here is What to Know Beyond Why Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a Trending Stock

๐Ÿ“ˆ Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) shares returned +8.7% over the past month, slightly trailing the S&P 500's +12.2% gain.

๐ŸŽฎ The company publishes popular franchises like "Grand Theft Auto" and operates within the gaming sector which gained 8.3% recently.

๐Ÿ“Š Analysts forecast current quarter earnings of $0.58 per share, down 46.8% year-over-year, with no consensus estimate change in the last 30 days.

๐Ÿš€ Long-term outlook is positive with full fiscal year and next fiscal year estimates rising +90.7% and +104.7% respectively from prior years.

๐Ÿ“‰ Sales estimates for the current quarter are $1.55 billion, down -1.9% year-over-year, contrasting with the recent reported revenue beat of 27.9%.

๐Ÿ† Take-Two has beaten both consensus EPS and revenue estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

๐Ÿ”ญ The stock received a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) based on earnings estimate revisions and proprietary analysis indicating potential outperformance.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Current sales forecasts project $6.67 billion for this fiscal year and $9.16 billion for the next, showing growth of +18.2% and +37.3%.

โš–๏ธ The company's Zacks Value Style Score is graded D, suggesting it trades at a premium compared to its peers based on valuation metrics.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent quarterly reported revenues were $1.76 billion, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $1.58 billion by +10.95%.

๐Ÿ’น EPS surprise in the last quarter was substantial at +48.19% compared to analyst expectations.

๐Ÿค– Stock price movements often correlate strongly with trends in sell-side analyst earnings estimate revisions according to empirical research.

๐Ÿงฎ Valuation multiples like P/E, P/S, and P/CF are evaluated against historical values and peers to determine if the stock is overvalued or undervalued.

๐Ÿ“‰ Fair value for the stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings according to Zacks methodology.

๐ŸŽฏ Despite current earnings projection decline for this quarter, strong future growth estimates support a buy rating from Zacks analysts.

Bullish Signals
  • Take-Two Interactive shares have returned +8.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Gaming industry's 8.3% gain.
  • The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year shows a strong +90.7% growth compared to the prior year at $3.91 per share.
  • Forward projections indicate significant growth potential, with next fiscal year estimates reaching $8 per share, representing a +104.7% increase from last year.
  • Take-Two holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), which indicates the stock may outperform the broader market in the near term based on earnings estimate revisions and fundamental factors.
  • The company consistently beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, demonstrating a strong track record of exceeding expectations.
  • Recently reported revenues of $1.76 billion surpassed the consensus estimate by +10.95%, highlighting positive operational performance.
  • Take-Two topped revenue estimates over the trailing four quarters, reinforcing its ability to deliver superior financial results compared to analyst predictions.
Risk Factors
  • Take-Two's quarterly earnings are expected to drop 46.8% year-over-year at $0.58 per share, signaling near-term earnings deterioration.
  • Revenue growth is projected to be negative for the current quarter with an estimated -1.9% year-over-year change of $1.55 billion.
  • The company trades at a premium to its peers with a Zacks Value Style Score of D, indicating potential overvaluation risks.
  • Over the past month, earnings estimates for the next fiscal year decreased by -1.2%, suggesting some analyst caution about future growth.
  • Recent quarterly performance does not align perfectly with expectations despite beating consensus, as reported revenues and EPS differed from the $1.58 billion and implied targets.
Full Analysis
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) has emerged as a trending stock recently, with shares returning 8.7% over the past month, compared to an 8.3% gain for the broader Zacks Gaming industry and a 12.2% gain for the S&P 500 composite. While media releases often drive short-term price movements, Zacks emphasizes evaluating fundamental factors, specifically changes in earnings projections, which historically correlate strongly with near-term stock performance. The company is currently graded by analysts as having an impressive track record, and its valuation analysis utilizes metrics including earnings estimate revisions to determine fair value based on the present value of future earnings streams. Earnings expectations for Take-Two vary across different time horizons. For the current quarter, a consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $0.58 represents a year-over-year decline of 46.8%, though this estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. Looking further out, the current fiscal year's consensus EPS estimate stands at $3.91, indicating a projected increase of 90.7% from the prior year, while the next fiscal year is forecast at $8, representing a 104.7% increase over last yearโ€™s figures. Although the current quarterly estimate remains static, the estimate for the upcoming year saw a slight decrease of -1.2% over the past month. Revenue projections also play a critical role in assessing the company's financial health, as sustainable earnings growth typically requires corresponding revenue expansion. The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $1.55 billion, reflecting a 1.9% year-over-year decline, whereas estimates for the current and next fiscal years are $6.67 billion and $9.16 billion, respectively, showing projected increases of 18.2% and 37.3%. Take-Two recently reported actual revenues of $1.76 billion for its last quarter, a 27.9% year-over-year increase that surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.58 billion by 10.95%, while EPS per share of $1.23 exceeded expectations by 48.19%. The company has beat both revenue and earnings estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. In terms of valuation, Take-Two is graded a D on the Zacks Value Style Score, which suggests it is trading at a premium relative to its peers when compared against historical values and peer metrics such as price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, and price-to-cash flow ratios. Despite being overvalued according to this specific style metric, the stock holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), primarily driven by its earnings estimate revisions, which indicates potential for outperforming the broader market in the near term.