Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

(New York Stock Exchange)
Bullish +65

What Was Stanley Black & Decker Telling You Before Its Stock Ran?

πŸ“ˆ SWK shares returned 50.3% in the twelve months to October 29, 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500.

πŸ’° The company generated $15.2 billion in revenue for the four quarters ended July 4, 2026, which was flat compared to the prior year.

πŸ“Š Operating profit margins expanded from 6.7% a year earlier to 9.2% despite flat sales growth.

πŸ› οΈ Reported gross margin reached 33.0% in the quarter ended July 4, 2026, up from 27.0% a year prior.

πŸ”„ Management sold its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing business to Howmet Aerospace on April 6, 2026.

🌍 The company is repositioning its supply chain by shifting U.S. tools production from China to North America.

πŸ“ˆ Adjusted gross margin rose 620 basis points year-over-year, excluding a 250 basis point tariff refund benefit.

🎯 Management targets an adjusted gross margin of 34% to 35% in the second half of 2026.

πŸ’Ή Further price increases are expected by 2027 due to persistent inflation in battery metals, tungsten, and oil.

πŸ“… The third-quarter report expected in November 2026 is a key metric for monitoring future margin performance.

Bullish Signals
  • SWK shares returned 50.3% in the twelve months to October 29, 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 13.3% gain.
  • The company improved operating profit margins from 6.7% a year earlier to 9.2% while revenue remained flat at $15.2 billion.
  • Reported gross margin expanded to 33.0% in the quarter ended July 4, 2026, driven by both operational improvements and tariff refunds.
  • Management successfully sold its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing business to Howmet Aerospace on April 6, 2026.
  • The company is executing a supply chain repositioning strategy to shift U.S. tools production from China to North America.
  • Underlying adjusted gross margin rose 620 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating strong cost restructuring efforts.
  • Management projects an adjusted gross margin of 34% to 35% in the second half of 2026 through productivity gains and supply chain shifts.
Risk Factors
  • Operating margins fell from 8.6% in the quarter ended September 2024 to 4.9% in the quarter ended June 2025 due to tariffs.
  • Revenue was lower than a year earlier across all four quarters from September 2024 to June 2025 before margin improvements took hold.
  • Future price increases are dependent on persistent inflation in battery metals, tungsten, and oil by 2027.
Full Analysis
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) shares delivered a significant 50.3% return over the twelve months ending October 29, 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 13.3% gain during the same period. This strong stock performance occurred despite relatively flat revenue growth of approximately $15.2 billion for the four quarters ended July 4, 2026, which was nearly identical to the prior year. The company successfully improved its profitability on a per-dollar-of-sales basis, raising operating profit margins from 6.7% a year earlier to 9.2%. Management has consistently highlighted margin expansion as a key driver, citing a reported gross margin of 33.0% in the quarter ended July 4, 2026, up from 27.0% a year prior. This improvement was bolstered by a one-time benefit of roughly 250 basis points from net tariff refunds, while the underlying adjusted gross margin still rose 620 basis points year-over-year. The company sold its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing business to Howmet Aerospace on April 6, 2026, which impacted revenue calculations but did not hinder overall profit growth. Looking forward, management aims to reach an adjusted gross margin of 34% to 35% in the second half of 2026 through productivity gains and a strategic supply chain repositioning. This involves shifting production for its U.S. tools business from China to North America, a move previously announced in April 2025 to mitigate tariff impacts. The company also anticipates further price increases by 2027 due to persistent inflation in battery metals, tungsten, and oil, which could support future margin expansion. The article notes that while the stock climbed on management's plans regarding cost restructuring and supply chain shifts, investors are now watching for continued execution of these strategies. The gross margin reported in the upcoming third-quarter report, expected in November 2026, is identified as a critical metric to monitor for further validation of the company's profitability trajectory.