Rigetti Computing, Inc.

(NASDAQ Capital Market)
Slightly Bearish -20

What Is Next For Rigetti Stock?

πŸ“‰ Rigetti shares fell 68% over the last twelve months, trailing the S&P 500's 17.0% return.

πŸ’° The company recorded $5.1 million in revenue for Q2 2026, driven by Novera system sales to corporate and academic clients.

🀝 A major deal with India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit system valued at $8.4 million represents more than the company's entire Q2 revenue.

⏳ Revenue recognition from the C-DAC order is delayed until Q4 2026 pending installation and performance acceptance testing.

πŸ”¬ Rigetti aims to increase its median two-qubit gate fidelity from 99.1% to 99.5% later in 2026.

πŸ’Έ Cash and investments dropped to $541.3 million at the end of Q2 2026, down from $569 million three months earlier.

Bullish Signals
  • Rigetti recorded revenue of $5.1 million in Q2 2026, a significant increase from $1.8 million the prior year.
  • Corporate organizations and national labs are driving demand for the Novera quantum computing system delivered to customer sites.
  • The company secured a major order from India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit system valued at $8.4 million.
Risk Factors
  • Shares have fallen 68% over the past twelve months while the company lost approximately $0.2 billion in revenue over the same period.
  • The stock trades at 350 times trailing sales, a multiple vastly higher than the S&P 500's 3.1 times, indicating high valuation risk relative to current performance.
Full Analysis
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) shares have declined 68% over the past year, trading at a valuation of approximately $4.7 billion despite recent losses. The market currently prices the stock at roughly 350 times trailing sales, significantly higher than the S&P 500's multiple of 3.1 times, suggesting investors are betting on future revenue growth that has not yet materialized. The company is focusing on selling its Novera quantum computing systems directly to customers, a strategy that drove Q2 2026 revenue to $5.1 million from $1.8 million the prior year. Corporate clients and national labs are driving this initial demand, with a notable order from India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit system valued at $8.4 million. Rigetti faces challenges in converting large orders into recognized revenue due to installation and performance acceptance testing requirements. While the company aims to improve hardware fidelity from 99.1% to 99.5% later in 2026, its cash and investments have decreased to $541.3 million as it continues to consume capital while awaiting future sales milestones.