Oracle Stock Plunges 8.8% on US$20bn Capital Raise Plans
π Oracle shares fell 8.8% after the company announced plans to raise US$20 billion via stock and bond sales to fund AI infrastructure expansion.
π° The capital raise includes US$10 billion in bonds and US$10 billion in equity, intended for general corporate purposes including capex and debt repayment.
π Oracle issued a revenue forecast of at least US$225 billion for fiscal 2030 but confirmed capping total funding for the 2027-2030 investment cycle at US$20 billion.
π¦ To reach positive free cash flow by H2 2028, Oracle plans to utilize vendor financing, customer-provided hardware, and customer prepayments.
β οΈ Analysts warn the strategy is highly risky if AI demand does not materialize as expected, noting the company is currently spending more than it makes.
π Oracle shares are down 33% in 2026 and 50% over the past 12 months, trading at half their year-to-date high.
ποΈ S&P downgraded Oracle to BBB- in July, placing it one rating level above high yield with US$125.34 billion in total debt as of August.
π€ Oracle relies heavily on a US$300 billion cloud partnership deal with OpenAI, though concerns exist regarding OpenAI's profitability and recent project withdrawals.
π Despite the stock plunge, Wall Street consensus remains 'Strong Buy' with a mean price target of US$241, indicating potential upside from current levels.
π Oracle's five-year credit default swaps show deteriorating risk sentiment despite remaining an investment-grade credit.
- Wall Street maintains a 'Strong Buy' consensus rating on Oracle with a mean price target of US$241, suggesting nearly 100% upside from current levels.
- Oracle issued a long-term revenue forecast of at least US$225 billion for fiscal 2030 during its recent investor day.
- Oracle's stock plunged 8.8% after announcing plans to raise US$20 billion, signaling market concern over the scale of debt accumulation for AI expansion.
- Investors are increasingly worried about the company spending more than it makes, with analysts warning the strategy is highly risky if AI demand falls short.
- Oracle's shares are down 33% in 2026 and 50% over the past 12 months, currently trading at half their year-to-date high.
- S&P downgraded Oracle to BBB- in July, moving it one rating level above high yield with US$125.34 billion in debt as of August.
- The company faces sustained pressure on its bonds and credit default swaps due to concerns over the scale of debt required for its AI buildout.