NVIDIA Corporation

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Somewhat Bullish +45

Nvidia Stock Just Crashed 22%. Jim Cramer Says It’s the Cheapest in a Decade

πŸ“‰ Jim Cramer labels Nvidia the cheapest stock in a decade as the share price drops 22% over the past month to $186.24.

πŸ“ˆ Nvidia reported record revenue of $96.22 billion in Q2, with Data Center revenue jumping 117% to $89.02 billion.

πŸš€ Management guided for $108 billion in the current quarter, explicitly citing supply constraints as the primary growth limiter.

πŸ“‰ Gross margins are expected to compress to a floor of 71% to 72% due to rising memory costs in the fourth quarter.

πŸ’° Nvidia has committed nearly $50 billion to frontier AI lab investments and holds $279 billion in supply commitments.

⏳ Days sales outstanding have extended from 45 to 60 days, indicating a slowdown in payment collection cycles.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Current financial guidance excludes all China data center compute revenue due to regulatory restrictions.

πŸ“Š The stock trades at approximately 20x trailing earnings and 12x forward earnings, well below its 15-year average of 30x.

πŸ’Έ Nvidia returned $26 billion in the quarter via buybacks and dividends, representing 60% of free cash flow year-to-date.

πŸ” Analyst estimates for fiscal 2028 EPS show a wide spread ranging from $12.85 to $18.75, reflecting uncertainty about growth sustainability.

Bullish Signals
  • Nvidia reported exceptional revenue growth with Q2 figures doubling to $96.22 billion, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $92.07 billion.
  • Data Center revenue surged 117% year-over-year to reach $89.02 billion, demonstrating massive demand for AI infrastructure.
  • The company provided strong guidance for the current quarter of $108 billion, with management confirming that supply is the only constraint on growth.
  • Nvidia returned $26 billion to shareholders in the second quarter through buybacks and dividends, maintaining a disciplined capital return program.
  • Jensen Huang stated that unconstrained revenue numbers would be significantly higher than current guidance, implying even stronger underlying demand.
Risk Factors
  • Gross margins are expected to decline to a floor of 71% to 72% in the fourth quarter due to rising memory costs.
  • The company has taken on massive financial commitments, including nearly $50 billion in AI lab investments and $279 billion in supply contracts.
  • Days sales outstanding have deteriorated from 45 days to 60 days, suggesting potential liquidity or collection efficiency issues.
  • Current financial guidance explicitly excludes all revenue from China data center compute, limiting the total addressable market view.
  • Analyst consensus for fiscal 2028 EPS shows a wide dispersion between $12.85 and $18.75, indicating significant uncertainty about future growth rates.
Full Analysis
Jim Cramer recently characterized Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) as the cheapest stock in a decade, noting its forward multiple has dropped to approximately 16.5x earnings. This assessment comes as the stock price fell 22% over the past month, trading at $186.24 on November 5, 2026. Cramer argues that despite recent selling pressure, the valuation metrics support a buy recommendation, citing historical lows in forward multiples compared to the company's long-term average. Financially, Nvidia reported robust performance in its fiscal second quarter with revenue doubling to $96.22 billion and Data Center revenue surging 117% to $89.02 billion. The company beat consensus estimates for both revenue and non-GAAP EPS of $2.22. Management provided guidance for the current quarter of $108 billion, explicitly stating that supply constraints are currently limiting growth rather than demand. However, several factors are driving investor caution and suppressing the stock's multiple. Gross margins are expected to compress to a floor of 71% to 72% due to rising memory costs. Additionally, Nvidia has committed nearly $50 billion to frontier AI lab investments and holds $279 billion in supply commitments. Days sales outstanding have also extended to 60 days from 45, reflecting changes in payment collection cycles. The market's skepticism is further fueled by the exclusion of China data center compute revenue from current forecasts and a wide spread in analyst earnings estimates for fiscal 2028. While Nvidia has returned significant capital through buybacks and dividends, the combination of margin pressure, massive capex, and geopolitical headwinds suggests investors are pricing in potential growth deceleration despite strong underlying demand.