MSCI Inc.

(New York Stock Exchange)
Somewhat Bearish -45

Strategy Made $19.5 Billion in Profit. So Why Is MSCI Removing It From Stock Indexes?

๐Ÿ“‰ MSCI has removed MicroStrategy (MSTR) from major indexes like the MSCI USA Index and MSCI World following a November review based on new rules targeting non-operating companies.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ The exclusion is driven by MSCI's classification of MicroStrategy as an investment vehicle holding financial assets rather than an operating company, despite MicroStrategy's claims of a genuine software business.

๐Ÿ’ฐ MicroStrategy reported $19.53 billion in quarterly profit, but nearly all of its $20.91 billion operating income came from accounting changes in Bitcoin value rather than software revenue.

๐Ÿ“Š MicroStrategy's software division generated only $125.4 million in quarterly revenue, a 3% decline year-over-year, while total annual revenue for 2025 was slightly below pre-Bitcoin levels.

๐Ÿ“‰ Approximately 13 million shares of MSTR, or 3.1% of outstanding stock, are held by funds linked to MSCI indexes, creating potential immediate selling pressure upon removal.

๐Ÿ’ธ The index exclusion threatens MicroStrategy's capital raising efficiency; a lower stock price would require issuing more shares to raise the same amount of cash for Bitcoin purchases.

โš–๏ธ MicroStrategy has criticized MSCI's decision as discriminatory and arbitrary, arguing that the provider should act as a market mirror rather than an arbiter of business models.

๐Ÿ“… The removal from indexes will take effect after trading closes on November 30, forcing passive funds to adjust their portfolios regardless of manager preference.

Bullish Signals
  • MicroStrategy maintains a software division that recorded $125.4 million in quarterly revenue, demonstrating an ongoing operational business beyond its Bitcoin holdings.
  • The company argues that raising capital, managing its Bitcoin treasury, and issuing financial products amount to a genuine operating business rather than mere investment activity.
Risk Factors
  • MSCI has removed MicroStrategy from major indexes like the MSCI USA Index and MSCI World due to new rules excluding non-operating companies that primarily hold financial assets.
  • Nearly all of MicroStrategy's $20.91 billion in reported operating income came from a rise in the accounting value of its Bitcoin, with only minimal contribution from software sales.
  • Funds linked to MSCI indexes hold roughly 13 million shares of MicroStrategy, representing 3.1% of outstanding stock, which may face immediate selling pressure upon index removal.
  • The exclusion complicates MicroStrategy's capital strategy, as a potential stock price decline would force the company to issue more shares to raise the same amount of cash for Bitcoin purchases.
Full Analysis
MSCI has decided to remove MicroStrategy (MSTR) from its major stock indexes, including the MSCI USA Index and broader global benchmarks, following a November review. This action stems from new rules adopted in October that aim to exclude 'non-operating companies'โ€”entities primarily holding financial assetsโ€”from indexes designed to track operating businesses. Consequently, ETFs tracking these indexes will likely be forced to sell their MicroStrategy holdings after trading closes on November 30. The core of the dispute lies in how MSCI classifies MicroStrategy's business model versus its own definition. While MicroStrategy argues it maintains a genuine software operating business and that its Bitcoin activities constitute a legitimate operational strategy, MSCI views the company primarily as an investment vehicle managing a Bitcoin treasury. This classification ignores MicroStrategy's reported $19.53 billion in quarterly profit, which is largely driven by accounting changes in the value of its Bitcoin holdings rather than traditional software revenue. The immediate financial impact for MicroStrategy involves potential selling pressure on its stock, as funds linked to MSCI indexes hold approximately 13 million shares, representing about 3.1% of its outstanding common stock. Beyond index exclusion, the decision complicates MicroStrategy's capital raising strategy; if the stock price declines due to the removal from benchmarks, the company will need to issue more shares to raise the same amount of capital for Bitcoin purchases, potentially diluting existing shareholders and altering its balance sheet dynamics.