Moderna, Inc.

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Bullish +65

What Is Behind The Rise In Moderna Stock?

πŸ“ˆ Moderna shares climbed 5.3% after reporting third-quarter revenue of $1.3 billion, which comfortably beat the $890.3 million analyst consensus.

πŸ’° The company achieved a quarterly profit of $0.38 per share, surpassing expectations for an adjusted loss of $1.10 and reversing a loss from the prior year.

πŸ“ˆ Management raised its 2026 revenue outlook to 15-25% growth, upgrading from a previous guidance of up to 10% growth.

🌍 International sales were a standout driver, with $900 million in 2026 so far already exceeding the total full-year revenue of 2025 by $200 million.

πŸ’Έ The company cut its 2026 R&D budget by $200 million to $2.7 billion as more studies are winding down.

βš–οΈ Moderna and GSK settled a patent dispute over their COVID and RSV shots on the same day as the earnings release.

πŸ“‰ The stock closed at $254.19, settling just below its 52-week high of $258.38 set on November 4.

πŸ”¬ Previous volatility included a massive 177% jump in August following positive Phase 3 trial results for a cancer vaccine developed with Merck.

πŸ“… Investors will watch full-year 2026 revenue growth when the fourth-quarter results are expected in February 2027.

Bullish Signals
  • Moderna reported third-quarter revenue of $1.3 billion, significantly beating analyst expectations of $890.3 million.
  • The company turned a quarterly profit with earnings per share of $0.38, exceeding the projected adjusted loss of $1.10.
  • Management raised its 2026 revenue outlook to a growth range of 15% to 25%, upgrading from a previous guidance of up to 10% growth.
  • International sales were exceptionally strong, with $900 million in 2026 so far already exceeding the total annual revenue of 2025 by $200 million.
  • The company successfully settled a patent dispute with GSK regarding their COVID and RSV shots.
Risk Factors
  • The stock experienced significant volatility recently, including a sharp 24% fall the day after a massive 177% jump in August.
Full Analysis
Moderna (MRNA) shares rose 5.3% on November 6, 2026, following the release of strong third-quarter results and a raised revenue outlook for the full year. The company reported Q3 revenue of $1.3 billion, significantly beating analyst expectations of $890.3 million, driven primarily by higher COVID-19 vaccine sales. Notably, Moderna turned a quarterly profit with earnings per share of $0.38, contrasting sharply with the projected adjusted loss of $1.10 and a loss of $0.51 a year prior. Management increased its 2026 revenue guidance to a growth range of 15% to 25%, up from a previous expectation of up to 10% growth, citing a strong start to the vaccination season. International sales were particularly robust, with $900 million in revenue for 2026 so far, already exceeding the total annual revenue achieved in 2025 by $200 million. Additionally, the company reduced its 2026 R&D budget by $200 million to $2.7 billion as several studies wind down. Moderna also resolved a patent dispute with GSK regarding their COVID and RSV shots on the same day. The stock has seen significant volatility recently, including a massive 177% jump in August following positive Phase 3 trial results for a cancer vaccine developed with Merck, followed by a sharp correction. Shares closed at $254.19, just below the 52-week high of $258.38 set on November 4. Looking ahead, investors will focus on full-year 2026 revenue growth when comparing it to the updated outlook in February 2027 upon the release of fourth-quarter results. The stock has outperformed the S&P 500 significantly over the past year, returning nearly 980% compared to the index's roughly 10% gain, though this comes with inherent risks associated with betting on a single high-volatility biotech stock.