Moderna shares plunge after cancer vaccine data leaks β despite positive results - CNBC
π Moderna shares plunged up to 25% on Thursday following a leak of partial data for its intismeran autogene cancer vaccine.
β The full Phase 3 trial data showed the vaccine combined with Merck's Keytruda reduced recurrence or death risk by 42% in melanoma patients.
π Approximately 82% of patients on the combination therapy were alive without recurrence at two years, compared to 70% for Keytruda alone.
π The personalized vaccine demonstrated milder toxicity and side effects relative to other cancer treatments.
π¬ A separate analysis revealed a 58% reduction in risk of recurrence or death after the six-month vaccine regimen.
π Moderna CEO StΓ©phane Bancel stated the company is finalizing regulatory filings with hopes for approval next year.
π€ Merck and Moderna are expanding trials to test the vaccine on non-small cell lung cancer, bladder cancer, and renal cell carcinoma.
β³ The manufacturing process currently takes six weeks due to personalization, though Merck aims to shorten this timeline.
π Analysts suggest the stock drop reflects inflated expectations rather than a failure of the therapy's efficacy.
π Moderna views this product as a critical addition to its pipeline following successful vaccines for Covid-19, flu, and RSV.
- The full data release showed the intismeran autogene vaccine combined with Keytruda reduced the risk of recurrence or death by 42% in melanoma patients.
- Approximately 82% of patients receiving the combination therapy remained alive without cancer returning at two years, significantly outperforming the 70% rate for Keytruda alone.
- The treatment demonstrated clinically meaningful benefits with much milder toxicity and side effects compared to other standard cancer treatments.
- A separate analysis indicated a 58% reduction in risk of recurrence or death after the six-month vaccine regimen.
- Analysts from BMO Capital Markets described the data as clinically meaningful, suggesting the stock drop was driven by inflated expectations rather than poor results.
- UBS analysts characterized the dataset as strong and expressed increased confidence in upcoming studies for kidney and bladder cancers.
- The vaccine represents a critical additional commercial product for Moderna's pipeline following its successful vaccines for Covid-19, flu, and respiratory syncytial virus.
- Moderna shares dropped as much as 25% on Thursday immediately following the leak of partial data regarding its cancer vaccine.
- The company has not yet determined whether the treatment helps patients live longer overall, despite strong short-term efficacy metrics.