Alphabet Is Building An AI Empire, But Investors May Be Paying Too Much
π Alphabet is well-positioned in AI due to its strong existing customer base in cloud and advertising sectors.
π° Cloud revenue surged 82% year-over-year to $24.8 billion last quarter, validating AI-driven demand.
β οΈ Heavy capital investment and cash conversion issues remain significant concerns for the company's financial stability.
π The author projects 2027 revenue of $550 billion with core EPS potentially reaching $11.90.
π Margin compression risks could lower projected 2027 earnings to $10.50 per share.
πΈ At ~$339/share, GOOGL trades at ~28.5x core earnings, suggesting the stock is fully valued.
- Alphabet is well-positioned in AI due to its existing customer base in cloud and advertising.
- Cloud revenue grew 82% YoY to $24.8B last quarter, validating AI-driven demand.
- Heavy capital investment and cash conversion remain concerns for the company.
- Margin compression could reduce projected 2027 earnings from $11.90 to $10.50 per share.
- The stock trades at ~28.5x core earnings, indicating little room for upside as it prices in successful AI monetization.