Gilead Sciences, Inc.

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Bullish +75

Gilead, Merck Report Positive Phase III HIV Study Data, End NSCLC Study

πŸ”¬ Gilead and Merck announced positive Phase III data from ISLEND-1 and ISLEND-2 studies evaluating an investigational once-weekly oral HIV treatment combining islatravir and lenacapavir.

βœ… Both studies met their primary efficacy endpoint at week 48, demonstrating non-inferior efficacy compared to Biktarvy in ISLEND-1 and standard of care regimens in ISLEND-2.

πŸ›‘οΈ The investigational regimen showed a safety profile comparable to comparator treatments with no new safety concerns identified during the trials.

πŸ“ˆ Gilead's shares gained 2.2% year-to-date, contrasting with an industry decline of 3.1%, following the positive HIV study results.

πŸ’Š The new combination therapy could become the first long-acting oral HIV treatment with weekly dosing, offering a more convenient option for patients if approved.

πŸ“… Gilead and Merck plan to submit ISLEND trial data to regulatory authorities worldwide and present findings at an upcoming scientific conference.

πŸ’° Gilead raised its 2026 sales guidance for lenacapavir (Yeztugo) to $1 billion, positioning the drug for blockbuster status in its first full year on the market.

πŸš€ Lenacapavir's approval for HIV prevention has significantly boosted Gilead's HIV franchise due to its twice-yearly dosing compared to daily oral pills.

⚠️ Concurrently, Merck and Gilead announced the discontinuation of the Phase III KEYNOTE-D46/EVOKE-03 study evaluating Trodelvy with Keytruda for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer.

πŸ“‰ The discontinued NSCLC study showed a numerical but not statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival compared to Keytruda alone.

πŸ₯ Gilead's Trodelvy is currently approved for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer and continues to gain market share in the second-line setting.

πŸ”¬ Gilead has submitted supplemental biologics license applications seeking approval of Trodelvy for first-line use in metastatic triple-negative breast cancer patients.

πŸ“Š Keytruda alone accounts for around 50% of Merck's sales and is approved for several types of cancer.

πŸ† GSK continues to grow its HIV business driven by strong patient demand for long-acting injectable medicines like Cabenuva and Apretude.

πŸ“‰ Gilead currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) according to the article's stock rating system.

Bullish Signals
  • Gilead and Merck announced positive data from two late-stage Phase III HIV studies, ISLEND-1 and ISLEND-2, demonstrating that the investigational once-weekly oral regimen of islatravir/lenacapavir met primary efficacy endpoints at week 48.
  • In ISLEND-1, the new regimen demonstrated non-inferior efficacy compared to Biktarvy, while in ISLEND-2 it achieved non-inferior results versus standard daily oral antiretroviral therapies.
  • The investigational combination could become the first long-acting oral HIV treatment with weekly dosing, potentially offering a more convenient option for people living with HIV if approved.
  • Gilead's shares have gained 2.2% year to date against the industry's decline of 3.1%, reflecting strong market performance following the positive study results.
  • The FDA approved lenacapavir for prevention under the brand name Yeztugo in 2025, significantly boosting Gilead's HIV franchise with a blockbuster potential of $1 billion in 2026 sales guidance.
  • Gilead raised its 2026 sales guidance to $1 billion for lenacapavir, positioning the drug to achieve blockbuster status in its first full year on the market.
  • Trodelvy continues to gain market share in the second-line setting for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, with Gilead having submitted two supplemental biologics license applications seeking approval for first-line use.
Risk Factors
  • Gilead and Merck discontinued the Phase III KEYNOTE-D46/EVOKE-03 study evaluating Trodelvy combined with Keytruda for metastatic NSCLC after the external Data Monitoring Committee determined the likelihood of achieving a statistically significant overall survival benefit was low.
  • The combination therapy showed only a numerical improvement in progression-free survival compared to Keytruda alone, which did not achieve statistical significance, raising concerns about the efficacy of this potential first-line treatment approach.
  • Gilead faces increasing competition from long-acting injectable HIV medicines like Cabenuva and Apretude from GSK, as well as other competitors in the HIV franchise market.
Full Analysis
Gilead Sciences and its partner Merck announced positive Phase III data from the ISLEND-1 and ISLEND-2 studies evaluating a once-weekly oral HIV treatment regimen combining islatravir and lenacapavir. Both trials met their primary efficacy endpoint at week 48, demonstrating non-inferior efficacy compared to Biktarvy in ISLEND-1 and standard of care regimens in ISLEND-2, with a safety profile comparable to comparators. Following these results, the companies plan to submit data to regulatory authorities globally, potentially establishing the first long-acting oral HIV treatment with weekly dosing. Gilead's shares gained 2.2% year-to-date against an industry decline of 3.1%, and the company raised its 2026 sales guidance for lenacapavir (Yeztugo) to $1 billion following FDA approval for pre-exposure prophylaxis in early 2025. Concurrently, Gilead and Merck announced the discontinuation of the Phase III KEYNOTE-D46/EVOKE-03 study evaluating Trodelvy combined with Keytruda as first-line treatment for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) expressing high PD-L1 levels. The external Data Monitoring Committee recommended stopping the trial after reviewing interim data, noting that while there was a numerical improvement in progression-free survival compared to Keytruda alone, the result lacked statistical significance and the likelihood of achieving a statistically significant overall survival benefit was low. Trodelvy remains approved for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer and HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer, with Gilead seeking first-line approval for triple-negative cases. Merck's Keytruda accounts for approximately 50% of its sales, while Gilead continues to expand its HIV franchise amidst competition from long-acting injectables like Cabenuva and Apretude.