Cisco Systems, Inc.

(NASDAQ Global Select)
Slightly Bullish +25

Dell Rises 4% and HP 6% Premarket. Cisco Sinks 7%. What’s Causing the Biggest Premarket Moves?

πŸ“ˆ Lenovo reported quarterly revenue up 43%, marking its fastest growth in five years with record server turnover driven by AI infrastructure demand.

πŸ–₯️ Dell Technologies closed Wednesday at $485, up roughly 10% on the session and 288% year-to-date following a strong earnings report.

πŸš€ Dell raised its full-year AI server shipment guidance to $20 billion, supported by a 69% year-over-year increase in Servers and Networking revenue.

πŸ’» HP Inc. closed Wednesday at $29, up roughly 35% year-to-date, with Personal Systems revenue growth of 13% driven by AI PC adoption.

πŸ“‰ Cisco Systems shares sank 7% premarket despite a fiscal fourth-quarter revenue beat of 18% to $17.25 billion and an Adjusted EPS of $1.22.

πŸ’° Cisco reported product sales climbed 24% to $13.46 billion, exceeding expectations of $13.04 billion and demonstrating strong operating leverage.

πŸ“ˆ Cisco raised its fiscal first quarter adjusted EPS guidance to $1.32-$1.34 and revenue guidance to $18 billion-$18.2 billion.

⚠️ Cisco's services revenue was flat year-over-year at $3.79 billion, falling short of the FactSet-polled consensus of $3.81 billion.

πŸ“‰ Cisco shares are up nearly 61% this year as of Wednesday's close, meaning the positive earnings surprise was largely already priced in.

πŸ” Analysts are monitoring whether Cisco's 66.3% gross margin and soft services line will cause the stock drawdown to spread to peers like Arista Networks.

Bullish Signals
  • Lenovo reported quarterly revenue up 43%, its fastest growth in five years, driven by a record high for the group and doubling server turnover on an AI infrastructure boom.
  • Dell Technologies raised its full-year AI server shipment guidance to $20 billion following a report showing Servers and Networking revenue of $12.944 billion, up 69% YoY.
  • HP Inc. reported Personal Systems revenue growth of 13% with commercial PCs up 14% on AI PC adoption, closing Wednesday at $29, up roughly 35% year to date.
  • Cisco delivered record revenue, non-GAAP operating income and EPS in the fourth quarter, with Adjusted EPS increasing to $1.22 from $0.99 a year ago.
  • Cisco's product sales climbed 24% to $13.46 billion, exceeding expectations of $13.04 billion and demonstrating strong financial discipline and operating leverage.
  • Cisco raised its full-year fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.05-$5.11 versus the $4.83 estimate and revenue guidance to $72.2 billion-$73.4 billion versus $69.12 billion.
Risk Factors
  • Cisco's services revenue was flat year over year at $3.79 billion, which is short of the FactSet-polled consensus of $3.81 billion.
  • Cisco's fiscal fourth quarter gross margin was 66.3%, down from 68.4% in the prior period, indicating a shift in AI mix that may impact profitability.
  • Cisco shares are up nearly 61% this year as of Wednesday's close, meaning the positive earnings beat and raise were largely already priced in by the market.
Full Analysis
Hardware stocks showed divergent premarket performance on Thursday, driven by contrasting earnings reports from major peers. Lenovo reported a blowout quarter with revenue surging 43%, its fastest growth in five years, fueled by an AI infrastructure boom and record server turnover. This strong performance from Lenovo, a direct competitor to Dell and HP Inc., suggests that robust demand for AI servers and premium PCs is effectively offsetting previous concerns regarding memory cost inflation. Dell Technologies closed Wednesday with a significant gain, rising roughly 10% on the session and up 288% year-to-date. The company reported Servers and Networking revenue of $12.944 billion, a 69% increase year-over-year. Management subsequently raised its full-year AI server shipment guidance to $20 billion, reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the sector as peers validate the strength of AI-driven demand. In contrast, Cisco Systems saw its shares sink 7% premarket despite reporting a clean earnings beat and raising guidance. Revenue jumped 18% to $17.25 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, while Adjusted EPS increased to $1.22 versus the Street's $1.17 estimate. Product sales climbed 24% to $13.46 billion, demonstrating strong financial discipline and operating leverage as the company delivered record revenue and non-GAAP operating income. The decline in Cisco stock is attributed largely to the fact that a beat and raise were already priced in, with shares up nearly 61% year-to-date prior to the report. Additionally, services revenue came in flat at $3.79 billion, slightly missing consensus estimates, while Arista Networks recently raised its bar for the sector. Analysts are now questioning whether Cisco's gross margin compression and soft services line will cause the drawdown to spread to other networking names.