Coinbase Global, Inc.

(NASDAQ Global Select)
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Bearish -72

Insights Into Coinbase Global (COIN) Q3: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Analyst downgrade AI-generated analysis

πŸ“‰ Analysts forecast a quarterly loss of $0.15 per share for Coinbase, marking an 110.4% year-over-year decline.

πŸ’° Consensus revenue estimates total $1.17 billion, representing a 37.4% decrease from the year-ago quarter.

πŸ“‰ The consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 59.2% over the last 30 days.

πŸ“Š Net Revenue is projected at $1.10 billion, indicating a -38.9% change compared to the prior year.

πŸ’Έ Transaction revenue estimates stand at $526.79 million, showing a steep -49.7% year-over-year drop.

πŸ“‰ Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs) are expected to reach 8.11 million, down from 9.30 million last year.

πŸ’» Total Trading Volume is forecast at $134.05 billion, a significant decline from the previous year's $295.00 billion.

🏦 Institutional trading volume is estimated at $109.92 billion compared to $236.00 billion reported last year.

πŸ“‰ Consumer trading volume is projected at $24.14 billion versus $59.00 billion in the same quarter of the prior year.

πŸ’Ό Assets on Platform are expected to be $318.45 billion, down from $516.00 billion last year.

πŸ“‰ COIN shares have fallen 15.7% in the past month compared to a -1.2% move in the S&P 500.

βš–οΈ Zacks Investment Research assigns COIN a Rank #3 (Hold) rating for near-term market performance.

Risk Factors
  • Analysts project a quarterly loss of $0.15 per share, indicating an 110.4% year-over-year decline in earnings.
  • Consensus revenue estimates of $1.17 billion reflect a sharp 37.4% decrease compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 59.2% over the past 30 days, signaling deteriorating analyst sentiment.
  • Net Revenue is forecast at $1.10 billion, representing a -38.9% year-over-year decline in core business performance.
  • Transaction revenue estimates of $526.79 million show a severe -49.7% drop compared to the same quarter last year.
  • Monthly Transacting Users are expected to fall to 8.11 million, down from 9.30 million in the prior-year quarter.
  • Total Trading Volume is projected at $134.05 billion, a massive decline from the $295.00 billion reported last year.
  • Institutional trading volume estimates of $109.92 billion are significantly lower than the $236.00 billion recorded previously.
  • Consumer trading volume is forecast at $24.14 billion, compared to $59.00 billion in the same quarter of the prior year.
  • Assets on Platform are expected to be $318.45 billion, a substantial decrease from the $516.00 billion reported last year.
Full Analysis
Wall Street analysts project that Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) will report a quarterly loss of $0.15 per share in its upcoming earnings release, representing an 110.4% year-over-year decline. Consensus revenue estimates stand at $1.17 billion, reflecting a significant 37.4% decrease compared to the prior-year quarter. Analysts have collectively revised their consensus EPS estimate downward by 59.2% over the past 30 days, signaling a sharp reassessment of the company's near-term performance. Specific metric forecasts indicate substantial year-over-year declines across key revenue streams, with Net Revenue estimated at $1.10 billion (-38.9%) and Transaction Revenue dropping to $526.79 million (-49.7%). Trading activity metrics also show weakness relative to the previous year, with projected Trading Volume of $134.05 billion compared to $295.00 billion reported last year. Monthly Transacting Users are expected to fall to 8.11 million from 9.30 million, while Assets on Platform are forecast at $318.45 billion versus $516.00 billion in the same quarter of the prior year. Following these projections, COIN shares have declined 15.7% over the past month, significantly outperforming the broader market's -1.2% move. With a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), analysts expect the stock to mirror overall market performance in the near future rather than showing strong independent momentum.