Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE) Slide as Treasury Yields Surge. Why Valuations Matter
π Caterpillar shares slid up to 7% as 30-year Treasury yields climbed to 5.7%, making heavy equipment more expensive for credit-financed buyers.
π° The stock traded at 37.1x trailing earnings prior to the selloff, well above historical industrial sector norms and raising valuation concerns.
π Caterpillar's Power & Energy segment generated $8.24 billion in Q2 2026 sales, driven by data-center demand but creating a specific sentiment risk.
π Hedge fund ownership declined from 87 funds to 84 between the first and second quarters as investors reduced exposure to high multiples.
βοΈ Investors must distinguish between buying a rate-driven drop in a fundamentally strong company versus a stock already priced for perfection.
ποΈ Caterpillar maintains a backlog extending into 2029-2030, supported by growth in construction and resource industries alongside data-center power demand.
- Caterpillar's Power & Energy segment generated $8.24 billion in total sales in the second quarter of 2026, representing a 17% year-over-year increase.
- The company benefits from growing data-center power demand and strong performance in its Construction and Resource Industries segments.
- Caterpillar maintains a substantial backlog extending into 2029 and 2030, providing visibility on future revenue streams.
- The stock traded at approximately 37.1 times trailing earnings before the selloff, significantly above historical norms for an industrial sector.
- Rising long-term borrowing costs increase the effective price of heavy equipment, negatively impacting demand from construction firms and farmers financing fleets.
- Investors face a dual vulnerability where AI infrastructure sentiment risks could compound traditional concerns about a slowing construction cycle.