The Boeing Company

(New York Stock Exchange)
Somewhat Bearish -30

Boeing out-delivers Airbus in first quarter

πŸ“Š Boeing briefly reclaimed the quarterly delivery lead from Airbus, delivering 143 commercial aircraft in Q1 2026 versus 114 for Airbus.

✈️ This marks Boeing's best quarterly delivery total since 2019, representing a significant recovery from previous safety crises and regulatory scrutiny.

πŸ’° Boeing reported revenue of $22.2bn (up 14% year-over-year) but still posted an operating loss of $563mn due to elevated production and remediation costs.

πŸ“‰ Airbus revenues fell 7% to €12.7bn, while adjusted operating profit collapsed by 52% to €300mn primarily driven by lower deliveries.

⚠️ Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury attributed the shortfall to a "desynchronisation between production and delivery" caused by overlapping bottlenecks.

πŸ”§ Pratt & Whitney engine supply remains a key pacer constraint for Airbus, specifically affecting the A320 ramp-up through 2026 and 2027.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Airbus faced additional delays in Q1 from an administrative issue with Chinese deliveries that delayed ~20 aircraft and a fuselage panel quality issue on A320s.

βš™οΈ To compensate for supply chain friction, Airbus delivered some aircraft without buyer-furnished seats rather than waiting indefinitely on late suppliers.

πŸ“ˆ Despite delivery struggles, Airbus maintains a massive backlog of 9,037 commercial aircraft with new orders totaling 408 gross in Q1.

πŸ›‘οΈ Airbus Defence and Space provided a bright spot with 7% revenue growth to €2.8bn and adjusted operating profit up 69%.

🎯 Airbus has set full-year guidance for around 870 commercial aircraft deliveries, which requires accelerating sharply after the slow start.

βš–οΈ Boeing’s 737 programme is producing at 42 aircraft per month with plans to increase to 47/month by summer subject to FAA approval.

πŸ›οΈ The relationship with the FAA remains a critical constraint on Boeing's pace of recovery following the 737 Max door plug incident in early 2024.

πŸš€ Boeing expects certification for the 737 Max 7 and Max 10 later this year, with deliveries targeted to begin in 2027.

✈️ The Boeing 777X has entered a new phase of flight testing with first delivery of the 777-9 also targeted for 2027.

Bullish Signals
  • Boeing delivered 143 commercial aircraft in Q1, marking its best quarterly delivery total since 2019.
  • Boeing revenue reached $22.2 billion, representing a 14% year-over-year increase.
  • The net loss narrowed significantly to just $7 million compared to $31 million in the previous year.
  • Boeing beat analyst expectations for adjusted loss, reporting only 20 cents per share loss versus an expected 83 cents.
  • CEO Kelly Ortberg plans to lift 737 production rates from 42 to 47 aircraft per month by summer subject to regulatory approval.
  • The 737 Max 7 and Max 10 variants are on track for certification later this year with deliveries beginning in 2027.
  • The 777X has entered a new phase of flight testing after receiving regulatory authorization.
  • First delivery of the 777-9 is also targeted for 2027, representing a meaningful milestone in the company's turnaround.
Risk Factors
  • Airbus reported adjusted operating profit collapse of 52% to €300mn and free cash flow turned negative at -€2.5bn due to delivery delays.
  • Commercial aircraft division profits fell 84% to just €81mn, indicating severe margin pressure despite high order volumes.
  • Boeing still posted a commercial aircraft operating loss of $563mn with a negative 6.1% operating margin despite record deliveries.
  • The net loss at Boeing only narrowed by half due to years of quality remediation costs and regulatory compliance expenses that have not yet normalized.
  • Engine supply bottlenecks from Pratt & Whitney are constraining A320 ramp-up, affecting delivery targets for both 2026 and 2027.
  • Airbus faced delays of approximately 20 aircraft due to Chinese administrative issues and pushed fuselage rework timelines by three months.
  • Boeing's production rate increase is subject to regulatory approval from the FAA, creating significant uncertainty around planned capacity expansion.
  • The relationship between Boeing and the FAA remains a defining constraint on recovery pace following the door plug incident in early 2024.
  • Airbus must accelerate sharply through remaining quarters to hit its full-year delivery target after delivering only 114 aircraft in Q1 against an annual goal of 870.
  • Boeing's new 737 variants and the 777X are not expected to begin deliveries until 2027, extending the recovery timeline longer than initially anticipated.
Full Analysis
Boeing surpassed Airbus in quarterly aircraft deliveries during the first quarter of 2026, with Boeing delivering 143 commercial aircraft compared to Airbus's 114, marking Boeing's best quarterly total since 2019 and its first delivery lead in years. However, this operational recovery masks deeper structural issues for both manufacturers. Airbus generated €12.7bn in revenue but suffered a 52% collapse in adjusted operating profit down to €300mn due primarily to production bottlenecks, particularly engine supply from Pratt & Whitney which is constraining the A320 ramp-up. Additionally, Airbus faced delays regarding roughly 20 aircraft for Chinese deliveries and quality issues requiring rework on fuselage panels for some A320 family units, pushing resolution timelines into the first half of the year. Despite delivering fewer planes, Airbus maintained a massive backlog of 9,037 commercial aircraft and saw relief from its Defence and Space segment which posted strong growth in revenue and operating profit, though CEO Guillaume Faury emphasized urgent priorities to "ramp up" production to hit a full-year target of 870 deliveries. In contrast, Boeing reported $22.2bn in revenue representing a 14% year-over-year increase, but the company continues to operate with significant margin compression as it works through years of disruption. Boeing posted a net loss of $7mn, a narrow improvement from $31mn the previous year, and an adjusted loss of 20 cents per share versus analyst expectations of 83 cents. The commercial division specifically recorded an operating loss of $563mn with a negative 6.1% operating margin, indicating that the company is converting more aircraft into revenue but struggling to achieve profitability on each unit due to elevated production costs, quality remediation expenses, and regulatory compliance requirements following past safety crises and the door plug incident. Looking forward, Boeing’s recovery remains tightly coupled with regulatory approvals from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for any increases in production rates. The 737 program is currently producing at 42 aircraft per month with plans to increase output to 47 units monthly this summer pending further FAA sign-off on new variants like the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, which are expected to be certified later this year with deliveries beginning in 2027. The 777X program has also entered a new phase of flight testing after receiving regulatory authorization, with first delivery for the 777-9 also targeted for 2027, signaling meaningful but distant milestones in a turnaround effort that has stretched far beyond initial expectations.