Broadcom Just Dropped 15% in a Week. Is It Time to Sell, or Load Up?
π Broadcom shares fell 15.5% in the week to Nov. 5 amid sector-wide weakness caused by Intel's weak outlook and fears of tighter AI regulations.
π° Fiscal Q3 revenue surged 86% year-over-year to $29.6 billion, with AI chip revenue jumping 221% to $16.7 billion.
π Committed contract value reached $179.2 billion as of Aug. 2, providing a robust order book for future growth.
β οΈ The company faces a significant risk from backstopping up to $72 billion in financing for AI racks leased to Anthropic.
π― Management aims to generate approximately $115 billion in AI revenue by fiscal 2027, targeting its largest custom-chip buyer.
π Analysts expect normalized EPS to reach $30.37 by fiscal 2028, representing a more than fourfold increase from current levels.
π΅ The stock trades at under 19x forward earnings on Nov. 2, well below its five-year average of 24x.
π CEO Hock Tan identified power availability and building shells as major concerns that could be exacerbated by regulatory changes.
π The upcoming December report is a key test requiring $21.7 billion in AI revenue and gross margins near 73%.
- Fiscal third-quarter revenue rose 86% to $29.6 billion, demonstrating strong demand for the company's products.
- AI chip revenue jumped 221% to $16.7 billion in the fiscal third quarter, highlighting a dominant growth segment.
- Committed contract value hit $179.2 billion at Aug. 2, indicating a robust pipeline of future sales.
- Management targets approximately $115 billion in AI revenue for fiscal 2027, signaling confidence in long-term growth.
- The stock trades at under 19x forward earnings on Nov. 2, which is significantly below its five-year average of 24x.
- Broadcom shares dropped 15.5% in the week to Nov. 5 due to sector-wide fears of tighter AI rules and Intel's weak outlook.
- The company backstops up to about $72 billion of financing for AI racks leased to Anthropic, creating a potential liability of up to $43 billion if defaults occur.
- CEO Hock Tan warned that land, power, and building shells are 'more than a big concern,' which could constrain execution on large orders.
- The stock's recent decline was exacerbated by broader market worries about slower data center building following the US midterm elections.