ASML Holding NV (ASML) Stock Up 4.2% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 94/100 - GuruFocus
📈 ASML shares rose 4.2% to $1,714.88 on September 04, 2026, extending a strong performance within the semiconductor industry.
💰 The stock is currently trading at a 37.0% premium over its GF Value™ estimate of $1,252.14, indicating it is significantly overvalued.
📊 ASML holds a high GF Score™ of 94/100 with perfect ratings for profitability and growth, but a weak valuation rank of 5/10.
📉 The current P/E ratio of 53.5x is substantially higher than the company's 5-year median P/E of 39.2x.
👥 Institutional sentiment is mixed with 20 gurus holding positions, while no insider transactions have occurred in the past 12 months.
⚠️ The elevated valuation suggests potential downside risk if market conditions change or company growth slows.
Bullish Signals
- ASML maintains an exceptional GF Score™ of 94/100, reflecting strong overall financial health and operational efficiency.
- The company achieved perfect scores of 10/10 in both profitability and growth metrics, indicating robust business fundamentals.
Risk Factors
- The stock is currently trading at a 37.0% premium over its GF Value™ estimate of $1,252.14, signaling significant overvaluation.
- The current P/E ratio of 53.5x is considerably higher than the 5-year median of 39.2x, suggesting a trading premium that may not be sustainable.
- There have been no insider transactions in the past 12 months, which could signal a lack of confidence from company executives regarding the current valuation.
Full Analysis
ASML Holding NV shares rose 4.2% to $1,714.88 on September 04, 2026, continuing a strong performance within the semiconductor sector that has seen the stock range from a 52-week low of $735.43 to a high of $1,999.96. Despite this upward momentum, GuruFocus analysis indicates the stock is significantly overvalued at its current price relative to its intrinsic value estimate.
The GF Value™ model estimates ASML's fair value at $1,252.14, suggesting the current market price represents a 37.0% premium and a negative margin of safety. This valuation discrepancy is driven by a current P/E ratio of 53.5x, which stands considerably higher than the company's 5-year median P/E of 39.2x, indicating a trading premium that may challenge long-term investors.
While ASML maintains an exceptional GF Score™ of 94/100 driven by perfect scores in profitability and growth, its valuation rank is notably weak at 5/10. The mixed sentiment among institutional investors is evident as 20 gurus hold positions with a split between those adding stakes and those trimming them, while no insider transactions have occurred in the past 12 months.