Is The Market Underpricing Amazon Stock At Twenty Times Earnings?
π Amazon trades at a P/E multiple of 20.5x for the twelve months to June 2026, well below its historical average of 41.2x.
π° Net income for the quarter ended June 2026 was $62.6 billion, significantly higher than operating income of $27.5 billion.
π Revenue grew 15.8% in the twelve months to June 2026, accelerating to 19.6% in the quarter ended June 2026.
βοΈ AWS was the fastest-growing segment in fiscal 2025 with 19.7% expansion, outpacing North America's 10.0% growth.
π Management guidance for the quarter ending September 2026 expects revenue growth of 9% to 12%, below the recent annualized pace.
π Modeling suggests Amazon stock could be worth 34.7% more in three years if the P/E multiple remains at current levels.
β οΈ The diluted share count rose 4.3% over the three years to June 2026, which dilutes per-share gains from revenue growth.
π Operating margins stand at 12.1% today, up from a 9.0% average between June 2023 and March 2026.
ποΈ The next critical data point is the earnings report expected on or around October 28, 2026.
- Amazon stock trades at a P/E multiple of 20.5x, which is significantly below its historical average of 41.2x, suggesting potential undervaluation.
- Net income for the quarter ended June 2026 reached $62.6 billion, demonstrating strong profitability that exceeded operating income of $27.5 billion.
- Revenue growth accelerated to 19.6% in the quarter ended June 2026, outpacing the twelve-month average of 15.8%.
- AWS expanded by 19.7% in fiscal 2025, serving as the primary engine for segment growth compared to North America's 10.0% expansion.
- Current operating margins of 12.1% are elevated compared to the 9.0% average recorded between June 2023 and March 2026.
- Management guidance for the quarter ending September 2026 projects revenue growth of 9% to 12%, which is lower than the recent annualized growth pace.
- The diluted share count increased by 4.3% over the three years to June 2026, which will dilute per-share gains from future revenue expansion.
- Revenue growth could decelerate significantly, potentially falling to 2.7% annually before the stock generates a positive return over a three-year holding period.