Should Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Stock Spin Off AWS?
π Citi Research analyst Mark May has proposed that Amazon.com (AMZN) should split into two separate companies: Amazon Web Services (AWS) and the rest of the business.
π‘οΈ Pro No. 1: A spinoff would reduce regulatory risk, potentially avoiding scrutiny from government officials concerned about monopoly power or taxpayer subsidies via the USPS.
π° Pro No. 2: Separating AWS could boost shareholder value as Wall Street typically values standalone profitable units higher than they are valued within a conglomerate.
π€ Pro No. 3: A split would align stock-based compensation more directly with divisional performance and reduce conflicts of interest between high-margin cloud operations and retail.
πΈ Con No. 1: AWS currently subsidizes Amazon's low-margin retail business, providing essential capital for innovation, logistics, Prime, and other risky investments.
π Financial Impact Data: In the first half of 2018, AWS accounted for only 11% of sales but generated 62% of the company's total operating profit.
π Investment Risk: Separating the divisions might lead investors to prefer betting on high-growth cloud computing while leaving the low-margin retail business stagnant with limited cash.
π Strategic Alternative: Amazon could achieve better transparency by reporting finances like Google, which organized itself into a holding company (Alphabet) without fully separating operations.
π€ Industry Context: Competitors like Netflix already use AWS servers, creating a unique conflict of interest that a split might complicate or resolve differently depending on structure.
π Market Performance: AMZN stock is trading at a 154 price-earnings ratio and has gained over 90% in the last year, making further valuation gains less certain.
π§ Analyst Perspective: Technology analyst Rob Enderle notes that while synergy isn't strong between AWS and retail, the difficulty of separation shouldn't be underestimated.
- Citi Research analyst Mark May suggests a potential spin-off could boost AMZN's valuation by unlocking value for shareholders, as Wall Street often values distinct profitable businesses higher than they are bundled together.
- A split into two companies would allow employees in both the e-commerce and AWS divisions to receive stock options more directly tied to their specific division's performance rather than being diluted by the other unit's results.
- Separating the businesses could help align incentives for each segment, potentially allowing each company to create compensation structures that prioritize customer experience first within their specific operations.
- While maintaining the combined entity provides synergy, the high-margin AWS segment already accounts for 62 percent of Amazon's operating profit, demonstrating the strong cash generation capability of its cloud computing business.
- The potential regulatory scrutiny reduction argument suggests a split could protect AMZN from an overzealous Trump White House and mitigate accusations of monopolistic practices.
- If the company chooses to remain combined, AWS continues to provide vital funds that allow Amazon to innovate, take risks, and invest heavily in other areas like low-margin retail, overnight shipping, logistics, warehousing, Alexa development, Prime Music and Video.
- Amazon's retail division operates at a significant loss without the subsidy from AWS; in the first half of 2017, Amazon was unprofitable without its cloud computing arm contributing 62% of combined operating profit.), (