NVIDIA Corporation

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Bullish +75

S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise to new highs as Nvidia jumps

📈 S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose to new record highs on Thursday, driven significantly by Nvidia's stock performance.

🎮 Nvidia shares jumped 1.9% in premarket trading after reports that the U.S. cleared roughly 10 Chinese firms to purchase its second-most powerful AI chip, the H200.

💰 The deal lifts Nvidia's total market valuation to approximately $5.9 trillion as technology stocks rally despite macroeconomic concerns.

📉 Market gains helped offset lingering worries regarding the Middle East conflict and inflation caused by surging oil prices.

🌍 Chinese President Xi Jinping warned during a summit with Donald Trump that tensions over Taiwan could escalate relations dangerously even as trade talks progress.

⚠️ The U.S.-China summit occurs alongside Iran war concerns, with President Trump seeking Beijing's assistance to help end the costly conflict affecting global energy costs.

📊 Futures data showed Dow E-minis up 215 points, S&P 500 E-minis up 11.25 points, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis up 30.5 points at one morning check.

💹 Previous record closes in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were sustained by AI-linked technology shares despite hotter-than-expected producer prices data.

📅 Stronger recent consumer and producer prices readings reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain restrictive monetary policy for longer.

🏦 Traders now price a 28% probability of a quarter-point Fed rate hike by year-end, up from 20.7% just a week prior according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

🛒 Investors are anticipating April retail sales data at 8:30 a.m. ET to gauge if high energy costs are squeezing consumer spending power.

💼 Weekly initial jobless claims are also scheduled for release to provide clues about the current state of the labor market.

🚀 Cisco Systems soared 16.5% as a major market mover after announcing plans to cut nearly 4,000 jobs as part of a restructuring initiative.

💰 Cisco also raised its annual revenue forecast following a surge in orders from hyperscalers.

🔄 The broader tech rally indicates continued investor confidence in AI-related sectors despite the geopolitical headwinds and inflationary pressures.

Bullish Signals
  • Nvidia's shares jumped 1.9% in premarket trading, pushing the chipmaker's market valuation to $5.9 trillion.
  • Reuters reported that the U.S. cleared about 10 Chinese firms to buy Nvidia's second-most powerful AI chip, the H200, providing a significant revenue catalyst.
  • Cisco soared 16.5% after raising its annual revenue forecast due to a surge in hyperscaler orders, demonstrating strong demand for networking infrastructure.
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced on Wednesday with strength in AI-linked technology shares helping investors look past higher inflation data.
Risk Factors
  • Inflation concerns persist due to surging oil prices driven by the Middle East conflict, with rising producer prices reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep monetary policy restrictive longer.
Full Analysis
Nvidia shares jumped 1.9% in premarket trading on Thursday, pushing its market valuation to $5.9 trillion as it aided a broader rally where S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures hit record highs. The specific catalyst for Nvidia's surge was Reuters reporting that the U.S. government has cleared approximately 10 Chinese firms to purchase the H200, its second-most powerful AI chip, suggesting regulatory thawing despite previous restrictions. This move comes alongside broader market strength in technology stocks, which helped offset lingering concerns about Middle East conflict and higher inflation driven by surging oil prices. Geopolitical developments played a secondary role in Thursday's session, with Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the White House for a two-day summit where he indicated trade talks were progressing but warned that Taiwan tensions could lead to dangerous outcomes or even conflict. Additionally, US President Trump is seeking assistance from Beijing regarding the war with Iran, which has pushed global energy prices higher and contributed to inflationary pressures. Market data reflects the cautious optimism among investors, who are now pricing in a 28% chance of a quarter-point Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end, up from roughly 20.7% a week prior due to hotter-than-expected producer price data. Traders are preparing to digest key economic indicators later on Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET, including April retail sales data to assess if high gasoline costs are squeezing consumer spending and weekly initial jobless claims for labor market clarity. Elsewhere in the movers list, Cisco surged 16.5% after announcing plans to cut nearly 4,000 jobs as part of restructuring while raising its annual revenue forecast due to increased hyperscaler orders.