IonQ, Inc.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈNew York Stock Exchange
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Somewhat Bullish +40

The Zacks Analyst Blog IonQ, D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti

πŸ“… Zacks.com released an Analyst Blog on May 14, 2026, featuring IonQ (IONQ), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Rigetti Computing (RGTI) as key stocks to watch.

🌑️ The quantum computing sector is experiencing tightened competition following first-quarter 2026 earnings, influenced by moderating inflation and expectations of future interest rate cuts.

πŸ’° Lower yields and a softer U.S. dollar are supporting high-growth, pre-profit tech companies, though elevated volatility and cash burn remain significant risks.

πŸ† IonQ is viewed as the current leader in the commercial race due to its larger revenue base, expanding backlog, and deeper enterprise penetration.

πŸ“ˆ IonQ reported record Q1 revenues of $64.7 million, a 755% year-over-year surge driven by demand for Tempo systems and international expansion.

πŸš€ IonQ raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $260-$270 million, while remaining performance obligations jumped 554% to $470 million.

πŸ’Έ Despite strong top-line growth, IonQ posted an adjusted loss of 34 cents per share as it continues heavy investments in R&D and commercialization efforts.

πŸ”’ Nearly 60% of IonQ's revenue now originates from commercial customers, signaling a significant shift away from reliance on government contracts.

🎯 Analysts for IonQ set an average price target of $57.99, representing a 22.2% increase from the previous closing price of $55.87.

πŸ“‰ D-Wave Quantum reported mixed Q1 results with revenues declining 81% to $2.9 million due to the absence of a large system sale in the prior year.

🀝 However, D-Wave's bookings surged nearly 2,000% year-over-year to a record $33.4 million, backed by major new orders and multi-year agreements.

πŸ’Ό The company narrowed its first-quarter loss to 5 cents per share compared to the expected loss of 8 cents, showing improving profitability.

πŸ“ˆ Analysts for D-Wave Quantum set an average price target of $39.06, implying a 54.3% upside from the current trading price of $24.03.

πŸ§ͺ Rigetti Computing achieved operational progress with revenues tripling to $4.4 million, boosted by government activity and cloud-based services.

βš™οΈ Rigetti launched its 108-qubit Cepheus-1 system, advancing its superconducting quantum computing roadmap and improving gate fidelity.

πŸ’΅ Rigetti ended the quarter with approximately $569 million in cash and no debt, providing financial flexibility for future development.

🎯 Analysts for Rigetti set an average price target of $32.57, suggesting a 54.1% upside from the current trading price of $20.51.

πŸ‘‰ Zacks maintains a Rank #3 (Hold) rating for all three stocks, suggesting investors wait for clearer commercialization trends and sustained revenue execution.

πŸ† IonQ currently leads in revenue scale and enterprise traction, while D-Wave and Rigetti offer higher-risk, high-upside potential for aggressive investors.

Bullish Signals
  • IonQ delivered the strongest quarter among pure-play quantum names with revenues surging 755% year over year to $64.7 million.
  • The company beat Zacks Consensus Estimates by 30.2%, driven by strong demand for its Tempo systems and international expansion.
  • IonQ raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $260-$270 million while reporting remaining performance obligations (RPOs) of $470 million, up 554% year over year.
  • Nearly 60% of IonQ's revenues now come from commercial customers, signaling broad enterprise adoption beyond government contracts.
  • IonQ shares have an average price target increase of 22.2% based on analyst short-term targets.
  • D-Wave Quantum saw bookings surge nearly 2,000% year over year to a record $33.4 million despite mixed top-line revenue.
  • D-Wave secured a $20 million quantum system order and a multi-year quantum-computing-as-a-service agreement with a Fortune 100 company.
  • D-Wave's first-quarter loss narrowed to 5 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 8 cents.
  • D-Wave shares carry an average price target increase of 54.3% based on analyst short-term targets.
  • Rigetti Computing saw revenues nearly triple to $4.4 million, beating estimates by 35.6%, and launched its new 108-qubit Cepheus-1 system.
  • Rigetti ended the quarter with roughly $569 million in cash and no debt, providing significant financial flexibility for future development.
  • Rigetti shares have an average price target increase of 54.1% based on analyst short-term targets.
Risk Factors
  • The quantum computing sector faces elevated volatility and persistent cash burn risks despite the macro conditions supporting high-growth names.
  • IonQ recorded an adjusted loss of 34 cents per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of a 26-cent loss, reflecting continued heavy investments in R&D and commercialization.
  • D-Wave Quantum reported a significant revenue decline of 81% year over year to just $2.9 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 42.9%.
  • Rigetti Computing remains early in its commercialization phase despite operational progress, carrying inherent risks associated with scaling new technologies.
  • All three featured quantum stocks are currently rated as a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting investors may prefer to wait for clearer commercialization trends and sustained revenue execution before committing capital.
  • D-Wave Quantum's strong bookings of $33.4 million do not yet translate into proportional top-line revenue, creating potential timing mismatches in cash flow realization.
Full Analysis
IonQ (IONQ) has demonstrated strong performance relative to peers in the quantum computing sector following its first-quarter 2026 earnings release, reporting revenues that surged 755% year over year to $64.7 million. This figure significantly exceeded analyst consensus estimates by over 30%, driven primarily by demand for its Tempo systems, increased cloud usage, and international expansion efforts. The company also notably improved its commercialization profile, with nearly 60% of its total revenue now originating from commercial customers rather than government contracts, signaling broader enterprise adoption. Consequently, IonQ raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $260 million and $270 million and reported remaining performance obligations (RPOs) of $470 million, a 554% increase year over year. Despite these revenue gains, the company incurred an adjusted loss of 34 cents per share against an estimated loss of 26 cents, reflecting ongoing investments in research and development and commercialization activities; however, analysts maintain a short-term average price target that implies a 22.2% upside from its closing price of $55.87. Competitors in the space showed mixed results during the same period, with D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) experiencing a sharp decline in reported revenues of 81% year over year to just $2.9 million, largely because a major system sale recorded in the prior year skewed the comparison. Although D-Wave missed consensus estimates by nearly 43% on revenue, the company reported positive momentum in its booking metrics, which surged nearly 2,000% year over year to a record $33.4 million. This growth was bolstered by a new $20 million quantum system order and a significant multi-year quantum-computing-as-a-service agreement with a Fortune 100 entity, indicating rising interest in the company's hybrid systems and optimization capabilities. Rigetti Computing (RGTI) also delivered encouraging operational progress with revenues nearly tripling to $4.4 million, beating consensus estimates by over 35% due to increased government-related activity and expanded cloud-based services; notably, the firm recently launched its 108-qubit Cepheus-1 system while maintaining a healthy balance sheet with roughly $569 million in cash and no debt. Analyst sentiment remains cautiously optimistic for these speculative quantum names as macroeconomic conditions, including moderating inflation and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2026, improve valuation multiples for high-growth technology companies. While IonQ is currently viewed as the market leader due to its superior revenue scale and enterprise traction, analysts suggest that investors may still prefer a "Hold" stance (Zacks Rank #3) until clearer commercialization trends are sustained across the sector. Among the three, D-Wave Quantum carries the highest implied upside with an average price target suggesting a 54.3% increase from its closing price of $24.03, while Rigetti also offers significant potential upside at approximately 54.1%.