Dell is back on Josh Brown's Best Stocks list. Why more gains are ahead
π Dell Technologies (DELL) is being added back to Josh Brown's Best Stocks list after a three-month absence following a pullback below its 200-day moving average.
π» The stock previously faced concerns about AI capex boom uncertainty but has since broken out and is trading near a new 52-week high among only 15 stocks making such highs in the S&P 500.
π§ Dell's primary business driver now includes customizable AI and data center infrastructure through Integrated Rack Scalable Systems (IRSS), offering end-to-end data center solutions.
π Management guided FY27 AI server revenue to roughly $50 billion, a 103% increase that will drive the company's total FY27 revenue guide of $138β$142 billion.
π° Dell expects 23% EPS growth for the current year and 15% growth for next year while trading at a forward P/E ratio of approximately 12x earnings (0.7 PEG).
π Technical analysis indicates a golden cross with the 50-day moving average breaking above the 200-day, confirming the recent rally as a valid trend.
β οΈ Short-term trading risk exists due to the RSI pushing into the high 70s, suggesting potential shakeouts or sideways digestion before further upside.
π The breakout zone around $150 acts as key support for traders, while holding above the rising 200-day average near $130 remains the longer-term risk level for investors.
βοΈ Dell transformed from a traditional PC manufacturer to an essential infrastructure provider for the AI goldmine, with revenue growing from near zero a few years ago to $24.7 billion in FY2026.
π Risk management advises giving the stock a couple of days to cool off if RSI indicators suggest it is overextended before chasing the rally.
- Dell has broken out again and is now making 52-week highs, placing it among only 15 stocks achieving such new highs in the S&P 500.
- The company reported $64.1B in AI-related orders during FY26 and entered the year with a record backlog of $43B.
- Dell's five-quarter forward pipeline continues to grow sequentially, indicating strong demand for its data center solutions.
- Management guided FY27 AI server revenue at roughly $50B, representing a massive 103% increase over previous levels.
- This AI growth is set to drive Dell's overall FY27 revenue guide to $138β$142B.
- The company expects 23% EPS growth for the current year and 15% growth for next year.
- Shares are trading at a forward 12x earnings multiple with a 0.7 PEG, which is considered favorable.
- Technical analysis shows a 'golden cross' forming with the 50-day moving average breaking above the 200-day moving average.
- The stock has extended well above prior resistance in the $150β$155 zone, flipping that level from a ceiling to a floor.
- Dell offers an end-to-end solution for data centers with its Integrated Rack Scalable Systems (IRSS) and forward-deployed engineers.
- The stock previously rolled over two months after its initial inclusion on Sept. 29, falling below its 200-day moving average before Thanksgiving and spending three months off the Best Stocks list.
- Many traders would likely forget about the ticker or take it off their screen given the failure of the first breakout trend, highlighting the emotional difficulty investors face in revisiting such names after a loss.
- The stock's RSI is pushing into the high 70s, indicating it is getting stretched short-term and carries a risk of a shakeout or sideways digestion before continuing higher.
- Technically, there is a defined risk zone at $150; if the price breaks back under this breakout level, it could invalidate the current bullish thesis, while a tighter stop might be keyed off a break under $160.
- The longer-term trend remains intact only as long as the stock holds above the rising 200-day moving average around $130, which serves as the key risk support level.