Broadcom Inc.

NASDAQ Global Select
Bullish +65

Forget the Magnificent 7. This Duo Says Broadcom, Not Nvidia, Wins the Next Leg of AI.

πŸ“ˆ Broadcom reported Q3 fiscal 2026 AI semiconductor revenue of $16.7 billion, representing a 221% year-over-year increase.

πŸš€ The company guided fourth-quarter AI revenue to $21.7 billion, up 236% from the prior year period.

πŸ’° Broadcom trades at a forward P/E of 19x, significantly cheaper than Nvidia despite similar high-growth trajectories.

πŸ”‹ XPU shipments accounted for 73% of Broadcom's total AI revenue in the most recent quarter.

🀝 Management projects fiscal 2027 AI revenue to reach approximately $115 billion and $230 billion by fiscal 2028.

⚑ OpenAI's Jalapeno chip, co-developed with Broadcom, runs at half the cost of a standard GPU for specific workloads.

πŸ“‰ Shares are down 12.99% over the past month despite nine consecutive quarters of EPS beats.

πŸ’΅ The company generated $13.66 billion in free cash flow during the reported period.

🏭 Broadcom's custom silicon strategy targets stable inference workloads where ASICs outperform general GPUs on cost and power.

πŸ“Š Analyst price target stands at $531.85 against a recent trading price of $361.99.

Bullish Signals
  • Broadcom's AI revenue surged 221% year over year to $16.7 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, demonstrating strong demand for its custom accelerators.
  • The company guided Q4 AI revenue to $21.7 billion (up 236%), projecting a trajectory toward $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
  • XPU shipments comprised 73% of AI revenue last quarter, highlighting the dominance of its custom silicon strategy in stable inference workloads.
  • Broadcom trades at a forward P/E of 19x, offering a cheaper valuation alternative to Nvidia for investors seeking AI exposure.
  • The company has delivered nine consecutive quarters of EPS beats and generated $13.66 billion in free cash flow.
Risk Factors
  • Shares have declined 12.99% over the past month, potentially reflecting market skepticism about sustaining such high growth rates.
  • The company faces risks related to customer concentration among a handful of frontier labs and financing exposure in AI vehicle partnerships.
Full Analysis
Two finance podcast hosts debated the future of AI investment, with one arguing that Broadcom (AVGO) offers a superior alternative to Nvidia for the next leg of growth. The article highlights that Broadcom's AI revenue surged 221% year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026, reaching $16.7 billion, while guiding Q4 to $21.7 billion. This performance positions Broadcom as a cheaper entry point into the AI cycle compared to Nvidia, trading at a forward P/E of 19 versus Nvidia's higher valuation. Broadcom's custom accelerator business is central to this thesis, with XPU shipments accounting for 73% of its AI revenue last quarter. The company co-develops chips optimized for specific large language model workloads, such as OpenAI's Jalapeno, which reportedly runs at half the cost of a general-purpose GPU. Management projects revenue growth to roughly $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028, suggesting a trajectory that investors may be undervaluing. Analysts note that while Nvidia dominates frontier training due to shifting architectures, Broadcom's ASICs excel at stable inference workloads where cost and power efficiency are paramount. Despite recent stock weakness of nearly 13% over the past month, Broadcom has logged nine consecutive EPS beats and generated $13.66 billion in free cash flow. The article concludes that Broadcom represents a constructive risk/reward opportunity for patient investors seeking exposure to AI capex without Nvidia's premium valuation.