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Analyzing Stocks Step 2.6 · article 12 of 32 in the learning path

How to Value a Stock: Multiples, DCF and Margin of Safety

Is a stock cheap or expensive? Learn the main valuation tools — P/E, P/S, P/B and EV/EBITDA multiples, discounted cash flow, and the margin-of-safety mindset — and how to use them together.

Key terms in this article

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Valuation answers one question: is this stock cheap, fair, or expensive for what you get? There's no single magic number — you triangulate with a few complementary tools.

Multiples: quick relative checks

MultipleWhat it comparesWatch out for
P/EPrice to earningsDistorted by one-off profits and debt
P/SPrice to salesIgnores whether sales are profitable
P/BPrice to book valueLess useful for asset-light firms
EV/EBITDAWhole-firm value to operating cash earningsEBITDA ignores capex and is easy to flatter

A multiple only means something in context — versus the company's own history, its peers, and its growth rate. A P/E of 30 can be cheap for a fast grower and expensive for a no-growth utility.

Discounted cash flow (DCF): intrinsic value

A DCF estimates value from the cash a business will generate, discounted back to today at a rate that reflects risk (the WACC). It forces you to be explicit about growth, margins and reinvestment — its weakness is that small input changes swing the answer, so treat it as a range, not a point.

Example: two firms both trade at a P/E of 18. One grows earnings 3% a year, the other 12%. The faster grower is arguably the cheaper stock despite the identical multiple — this is the idea behind the PEG ratio (P/E ÷ growth).

Margin of safety

Because every estimate is uncertain, disciplined investors buy only when price sits comfortably below their estimate of value. That cushion — the margin of safety — protects you when the future doesn't match the forecast.

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